Nolan Gorman — OGILVIE

Nolan Gorman2B St. Louis Cardinals

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 3.663 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8281vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .295 / .382

PA202

HR8

K%35

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO174

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

3312.9%

xwOBA

400.297

POWER60

Barrel%

7612.1

Avg EV

5089.1

Bat Spd

5672.0

EYE50

Chase%

8225.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

1025.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 887 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

206

681

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

296

294

—

ISO

188

174

◀L

BABIP

272

285

▶R

33.0%

35.4%

◀L

BB%

8.7%

9.8%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.663 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	-$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	2 teams	—	274	249	52	9	1	13	22	103	1	1	5	209	276	410	685	201	289	38	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	2 teams	—	274	237	69	13	1	17	34	76	1	1	5	291	382	570	952	278	356	28	12	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	512	474	83	20	5	11	27	201	9	2	1	175	233	308	541	133	273	39	5	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	512	456	113	30	6	15	45	152	9	2	1	248	327	439	766	191	337	30	9	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA	3 teams	—	546	516	118	15	1	23	25	160	2	9	1	229	267	395	662	167	283	29	5	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA	3 teams	—	546	496	140	21	1	26	45	117	2	9	1	282	344	486	830	204	320	21	8	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	—	501	459	97	16	0	25	37	190	3	4	0	211	275	410	684	198	293	38	7	298	86	-8	+1	-8	+2	+14	0.1
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	—	501	454	111	18	0	30	42	172	3	4	0	244	313	482	795	238	319	34	8	347	124	+14	+1	-8	+2	+14	2.3
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	406	96	17	0	27	53	148	3	7	2	236	329	478	807	241	296	32	11	349	126	+13	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.9
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	406	96	17	0	27	53	148	3	7	2	236	329	478	807	241	296	32	11	354	129	+15	+1	-1	+2	+13	3.0
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	500	456	89	19	0	24	40	181	1	6	1	195	262	395	656	200	256	36	8	287	78	-13	+1	-4	+2	+14	0.0
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	500	453	92	19	0	26	43	174	1	6	1	203	274	417	691	214	258	35	9	304	90	-5	+1	-4	+2	+14	0.8
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	351	72	14	1	14	47	136	0	1	1	205	299	370	669	165	283	34	12	293	83	-8	-0	-5	+1	+11	-0.0
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	351	72	14	1	14	47	136	0	1	1	205	299	370	669	165	283	34	12	300	87	-6	-0	-5	+1	+11	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	STL	—	303	264	45	5	0	9	36	111	0	0	1	170	270	292	562	121	245	37	12	251	51	-17	-0	+2	+1	+9	-0.5
YTD	26	MLB	STL	—	303	259	46	5	0	10	41	105	0	0	1	178	290	313	603	135	245	35	14	277	70	-10	-0	+2	+1	+9	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	STL	100%	202	178	37	7	0	8	22	71	0	1	1	208	295	382	677	174	284	35	11	300	88	-3	-0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	STL	100%	202	178	37	7	0	8	22	71	0	1	1	208	295	382	677	174	284	35	11	299	87	-3	-0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
FULL	26	MLB	STL	—	505	442	82	12	0	17	58	182	0	1	2	186	280	328	608	143	263	36	11	271	65	-20	-1	+1	+2	+14	-0.4
TOT	26	MLB	STL	—	505	442	82	12	0	17	58	182	0	1	2	186	280	328	608	143	263	36	11	271	66	-20	-1	+1	+2	+14	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	STL	100%	472	415	86	16	0	19	53	166	1	2	1	207	299	383	682	176	289	35	11	304	91	-5	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.7
2028	28	MLB	STL	100%	466	410	84	16	0	18	52	165	1	2	1	205	296	376	672	171	289	35	11	303	90	-5	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2029	29	MLB	STL	100%	454	399	83	16	0	18	51	162	1	2	1	208	299	383	683	175	288	36	11	301	89	-6	+0	-5	+2	+13	0.4
2030	30	MLB	STL	100%	443	390	79	15	0	17	50	159	0	2	1	203	293	372	665	169	286	36	11	298	86	-7	+0	-6	+2	+13	0.2
2031	31	MLB	STL	100%	428	377	75	14	0	16	48	155	0	1	1	199	289	363	653	164	283	36	11	294	83	-8	-0	-6	+2	+12	-0.1
2032	32	MLB	STL	100%	409	360	70	13	0	15	46	149	0	1	1	194	286	356	641	161	278	36	11	289	79	-10	-0	-7	+1	+12	-0.4
2027	27	MLB	STL	100%	472	415	86	16	0	19	53	166	1	2	1	207	299	383	682	176	289	35	11	303	90	-5	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.6
2028	28	MLB	STL	100%	466	410	84	16	0	18	52	165	1	2	1	205	296	376	672	171	288	35	11	302	89	-6	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2029	29	MLB	STL	100%	454	399	82	15	0	18	51	162	1	2	1	206	297	378	676	173	287	36	11	300	88	-6	+0	-5	+2	+13	0.3
2030	30	MLB	STL	100%	443	390	79	15	0	17	50	159	0	2	1	203	293	372	665	169	286	36	11	297	86	-7	+0	-6	+2	+13	0.1
2031	31	MLB	STL	100%	428	377	75	14	0	16	48	155	0	1	1	199	289	363	653	164	283	36	11	293	83	-8	-0	-6	+2	+12	-0.1
2032	32	MLB	STL	100%	409	360	70	13	0	15	46	149	0	1	1	194	286	356	641	161	278	36	11	288	78	-10	-0	-7	+1	+12	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4455	3934	819	155	1	185	484	1565	9	26	11	208	296	389	686	181	288	35	11	305	92	-42	+1	-51	+17	+126	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	120	23	0	27	71	228	1	4	2	209	297	390	687	181	289	35	11	305	92	-6	+0	-7	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6073	5440	1121	207	8	248	573	2146	22	41	18	206	284	384	668	178	284	35	9	294	83	-115	+1	-51	+22	+172	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	120	22	1	27	61	230	2	4	2	206	283	387	670	180	284	35	9	294	83	-12	+0	-5	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	107	94	19	3	0	6	10	39	1	0	2	202	286	426	711	223	255	36	9	309	95	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2018	18	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	167	143	50	10	1	11	24	37	0	1	3	350	443	664	1.107	315	411	22	14	476	222	+23	-1	—	—	+5	2.7
2019	19	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	230	215	55	16	3	5	13	73	2	0	1	256	304	428	732	172	365	32	6	323	106	+1	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2019	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	282	241	58	14	3	10	32	79	7	2	0	241	346	448	795	207	312	28	11	352	127	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	328	303	83	14	1	14	20	63	2	3	1	274	323	465	788	191	301	19	6	345	122	+8	+0	—	—	+9	1.8
2021	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	195	177	51	6	0	11	18	52	0	4	0	288	354	508	862	220	351	27	9	379	148	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	23	16	6	1	0	1	7	2	0	2	0	375	565	625	1.190	250	385	9	30	516	253	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	313	283	64	13	0	14	28	103	2	1	0	226	300	420	721	194	301	33	9	320	103	+1	+0	-8	+2	+9	0.4
2022	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	188	171	47	5	0	16	14	69	1	3	0	275	333	585	918	310	352	37	7	392	158	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	406	96	17	0	27	53	148	3	7	2	236	329	478	807	241	296	32	11	354	129	+15	+1	-1	+2	+13	3.0
2024	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	365	74	15	0	19	34	151	1	6	1	203	273	400	673	197	279	38	8	297	86	-7	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.4
2024	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	98	88	18	4	0	7	9	23	0	0	0	205	278	489	767	284	186	23	9	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	402	351	72	14	1	14	47	136	0	1	1	205	299	370	669	165	283	34	12	300	87	-6	-0	-5	+1	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1581	1405	306	59	1	74	162	538	6	15	4	218	301	419	721	201	290	34	10	319	102	+4	+1	-18	+7	+45	4.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	12	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
	/162	664	20	13	231	330	383	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Brad Millerlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,531 PA	11	3,531	123	43	236	314	416	+7	-38	8.8	9.4
	/162	664	23	8	236	314	416	+1.4	-7.2	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,802	197	29	209	294	389	+17	-33	9.8	9.0
	/162	664	27	4	209	294	389	+2.4	-4.5	1.4	pk7: 8
#5Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Gorman (OGILVIE)	26	35	60	40	50	186/280/328	143	263	17	1	36%	11%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ryan Schimpf 2014 · AA	26	34→41	54→65	44→45	46	192/274/367	175	254	22	5	33%	9%	78	+0.2	201/277/398	197	252	25	4	30%	8%	88	+0.9	203/283/425	222	241	28	2	29%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	55	45→40	48	212/303/403	192	269	23	3	30%	10%	99	+1.7	199/289/371	172	258	19	6	29%	10%	85	+0.7	181/276/345	163	230	19	6	29%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	53→55	46→45	47	217/298/391	173	286	22	8	31%	10%	93	+1.3	214/285/396	182	277	26	9	32%	8%	89	+1.0	178/253/347	170	203	29	6	30%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2023 · AAA	27	35→31	56→60	44→45	38	199/276/388	189	265	25	4	35%	6%	85	+0.7	204/280/379	175	262	21	6	30%	7%	84	+0.6	194/277/333	139	240	17	3	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Chris Williams 2023 · AAA	26	36→30	56→60	44→40	42	196/270/381	185	289	25	4	40%	9%	79	+0.3	193/272/369	176	288	24	6	39%	9%	78	+0.2	172/260/348	175	247	25	6	40%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Adam Witter 2009 · AA	26	40→39	53→55	39→30	46	214/280/385	172	267	22	3	29%	8%	85	+0.7	203/260/338	135	261	16	5	28%	7%	63	-0.8	162/211/270	108	201	14	0	27%	5%	24	-1.6
✕John-Ford Griffin 2006 · AAA	26	41→39	55	41→40	43	224/279/400	175	276	25	4	29%	7%	88	+0.9	217/271/382	165	276	20	5	29%	7%	80	+0.4	215/275/369	154	277	17	4	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	52→60	49→45	43	202/278/367	165	273	21	5	33%	8%	79	+0.3	237/301/444	207	322	27	7	33%	8%	108	+2.3	221/284/435	214	280	29	2	32%	7%	97	+0.7
✕Jason Vosler 2019 · AAA	25	38→43	52→55	44→40	40	203/267/368	164	270	21	2	33%	6%	75	-0.0	217/280/393	176	281	22	3	30%	7%	87	+0.8	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	39→42	57→60	45→50	45	211/291/406	195	286	26	8	35%	9%	95	+1.4	209/299/400	191	283	25	13	33%	11%	97	+1.5	199/296/388	189	266	25	15	34%	11%	89	+0.8
✕Matt Lloyd 2022 · AA	26	44→43	56→50	43→50	41	225/295/408	183	318	25	7	36%	8%	98	+1.6	213/281/352	139	306	16	10	34%	8%	76	+0.1	210/283/335	125	290	14	12	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	43→41	54→55	41→40	43	226/286/405	179	293	22	5	31%	7%	92	+1.2	218/279/363	145	286	17	6	29%	7%	78	+0.2	184/247/312	128	230	15	2	27%	6%	48	-0.6
●Pedro Álvarez 2013 · MLB	26	45→46	56→60	44→45	47	235/307/425	190	307	24	3	31%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/452	213	293	30	5	29%	9%	115	+2.7	236/310/454	218	281	32	5	28%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	41→46	54→55	42→40	39	220/279/396	177	281	23	5	30%	6%	88	+0.9	231/285/382	151	303	18	7	29%	6%	85	+0.7	228/280/380	152	293	20	0	29%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Ryan McMahon 2021 · MLB	26	41→51	51→55	45	47	211/287/365	154	282	19	5	31%	9%	82	+0.5	214/296/362	148	275	17	6	27%	10%	85	+0.7	209/295/353	144	270	17	6	28%	10%	80	+0.3
✕Hunter Feduccia 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	51→50	47→40	44	213/275/372	159	274	20	3	30%	8%	79	+0.3	228/307/361	133	307	14	3	28%	10%	89	+1.0	232/319/354	122	311	11	2	27%	11%	90	+0.7
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	40	53→55	49→50	46	212/285/390	178	284	21	12	32%	9%	88	+0.9	221/294/375	154	351	16	13	38%	9%	87	+0.8	196/277/339	144	353	15	13	45%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Michael Chavis 2022 · MLB	26	43→46	54→60	45	36	227/277/398	172	303	23	7	33%	5%	87	+0.8	227/271/379	152	299	19	7	30%	5%	79	+0.3	219/271/388	169	270	22	7	27%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	42→46	51→55	43→45	47	217/297/378	161	275	18	5	28%	8%	90	+1.0	218/295/367	149	292	16	5	29%	8%	86	+0.8	208/288/347	140	280	15	4	30%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Chandler Redmond 2023 · AA	26	40	53→55	43→40	37	205/265/374	169	314	22	3	40%	7%	75	-0.0	201/274/342	141	332	18	5	42%	8%	71	-0.3	186/268/314	128	312	18	4	43%	9%	60	-0.8