Nolan Gorman — OGILVIE

Nolan Gorman2B St. Louis Cardinals

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 3.663 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 7885vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .287 / .399

PA480

HR22

K%34

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

60→60

SPD

40→40

EYE

55↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.663 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.5M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	2 teams	274	248	52	9	1	13	23	101	1	1	5	.210	.279	.411	.691	.202	.287	37	8	.293	82	-5	-2	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2019	19	A	2 teams	512	472	85	21	5	11	29	199	9	2	1	.180	.241	.316	.557	.136	.280	39	6	.242	44	-33	+0	+0	+2	+15	-1.7
2021	21	AAA	3 teams	546	515	119	16	1	22	26	155	2	9	1	.231	.271	.394	.665	.163	.284	28	5	.286	77	-14	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.5
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	501	459	98	17	0	25	37	188	3	4	0	.214	.277	.414	.690	.200	.294	38	7	.300	88	-7	+1	-8	+2	+14	0.2
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	464	406	95	18	0	27	53	148	3	7	2	.234	.327	.478	.805	.244	.292	32	11	.347	124	+13	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.8
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	500	456	89	18	0	25	40	180	1	6	1	.195	.262	.399	.661	.204	.252	36	8	.286	77	-13	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.0
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	402	351	73	13	1	15	47	136	0	1	1	.208	.302	.379	.680	.171	.284	34	12	.298	86	-6	-0	-5	+1	+11	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	88	77	16	1	0	3	9	26	0	0	0	.208	.291	.338	.628	.130	.260	30	10	.269	64	-4	+0	+2	+0	+2	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	STL	392	348	72	12	1	17	40	130	1	3	1	.207	.290	.394	.684	.187	.267	33	10	.303	90	-4	+0	-2	+1	+11	0.7
TOT	26	MLB	STL	480	425	88	13	1	20	49	156	1	3	1	.207	.291	.384	.674	.176	.269	32	10	.297	85	-8	+0	+1	+2	+14	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	STL	476	423	88	15	1	21	49	133	1	4	1	.208	.292	.397	.689	.189	.242	28	10	.303	90	-5	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.8
2028	28	MLB	STL	469	416	86	14	1	21	49	132	1	3	1	.207	.292	.397	.688	.190	.242	28	10	.302	89	-6	+0	-3	+2	+13	0.7
2029	29	MLB	STL	457	405	82	14	0	20	48	130	1	2	0	.202	.289	.385	.674	.183	.240	28	11	.300	88	-6	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2030	30	MLB	STL	446	396	78	13	0	19	46	128	1	1	0	.197	.282	.374	.656	.177	.239	29	10	.297	85	-7	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.3
2031	31	MLB	STL	431	382	75	13	0	18	45	126	1	0	0	.196	.283	.372	.654	.175	.237	29	10	.293	82	-9	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.0
2032	32	MLB	STL	412	365	71	12	0	17	43	122	1	0	0	.195	.281	.367	.648	.173	.235	30	10	.288	79	-10	+0	-6	+1	+12	-0.2
2033	33	MLB	STL	382	339	64	11	0	15	39	116	1	0	0	.189	.274	.354	.628	.165	.233	30	10	.283	74	-11	+0	-6	+1	+11	-0.5
2034	34	MLB	STL	337	299	55	9	0	13	35	105	0	0	0	.184	.269	.344	.614	.161	.230	31	10	.276	69	-12	+0	-7	+1	+10	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7001	6280	1282	225	11	299	649	2229	27	43	14	.204	.281	.386	.668	.182	.260	32	9	.293	83	-136	+3	-56	+25	+198	3.5
/ 162G	—			650	583	119	21	1	28	60	207	3	4	1	.204	.282	.388	.669	.184	.259	32	9	.293	83	-13	+0	-5	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	A	Peoria Chiefs	107	94	19	3	0	6	10	39	1	0	2	.202	.286	.426	.711	.223	.255	36	9	.309	95	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2018	18	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	167	143	50	10	1	11	24	37	0	1	3	.350	.443	.664	1.107	.315	.411	22	14	.476	222	+23	-1	—	—	+5	2.7
2019	19	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	230	215	55	16	3	5	13	73	2	0	1	.256	.304	.428	.732	.172	.365	32	6	.323	106	+1	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2019	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	282	241	58	14	3	10	32	79	7	2	0	.241	.346	.448	.795	.207	.312	28	11	.352	127	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	328	303	83	14	1	14	20	63	2	3	1	.274	.323	.465	.788	.191	.301	19	6	.345	122	+8	+0	—	—	+9	1.8
2021	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	195	177	51	6	0	11	18	52	0	4	0	.288	.354	.508	.862	.220	.351	27	9	.379	148	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	23	16	6	1	0	1	7	2	0	2	0	.375	.565	.625	1.190	.250	.385	9	30	.516	253	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	313	283	64	13	0	14	28	103	2	1	0	.226	.300	.420	.721	.194	.301	33	9	.320	103	+1	+0	-8	+2	+9	0.4
2022	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	188	171	47	5	0	16	14	69	1	3	0	.275	.333	.585	.918	.310	.352	37	7	.392	158	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2023	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	464	406	96	17	0	27	53	148	3	7	2	.236	.329	.478	.807	.241	.296	32	11	.354	129	+15	+1	-1	+2	+13	3.0
2024	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	402	365	74	15	0	19	34	151	1	6	1	.203	.273	.400	.673	.197	.279	38	8	.297	86	-7	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.4
2024	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	98	88	18	4	0	7	9	23	0	0	0	.205	.278	.489	.767	.284	.186	23	9	.330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	402	351	72	14	1	14	47	136	0	1	1	.205	.299	.370	.669	.165	.283	34	12	.300	87	-6	-0	-5	+1	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1581	1405	306	59	1	74	162	538	6	15	4	.218	.301	.419	.721	.201	.290	34	10	.319	102	+4	+1	-18	+7	+45	4.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Gorman (OGILVIE)	26	35	60	40	50	.204/.287/.390	.186	.242	21	4	28%	10%	90	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ryan Schimpf 2016 · AAA	28	35→39	55→60	41→45	45	.197/.271/.381	.184	.240	24	4	29%	8%	81	+0.4	.198/.286/.413	.215	.252	28	3	33%	10%	95	+1.4	.174/.276/.397	.224	.223	30	1	37%	11%	81	+0.3
✕Rougned Odor 2020 · MLB	26	39→49	57→60	43→50	45	.216/.284/.409	.193	.254	25	13	27%	8%	93	+1.3	.212/.283/.408	.196	.253	26	7	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.202/.282/.366	.164	.240	20	5	25%	8%	76	+0.1
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	57→60	43→30	42	.211/.264/.405	.194	.248	25	2	27%	6%	83	+0.6	.215/.260/.405	.190	.260	26	3	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.202/.243/.386	.184	.242	27	1	30%	4%	67	-0.4
✕John-Ford Griffin 2006 · AAA	26	42→39	55	42→40	43	.225/.280/.400	.175	.278	24	4	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.217/.271/.382	.165	.276	20	5	29%	7%	80	+0.4	.215/.276/.370	.154	.277	17	4	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jakson Reetz 2023 · AAA	27	37→34	56→60	45	38	.204/.280/.395	.191	.270	25	4	34%	6%	89	+0.9	.202/.280/.380	.178	.262	22	6	31%	7%	84	+0.6	.180/.264/.344	.164	.229	20	5	30%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Eric Munson 2004 · MLB	26	43	56→60	48→40	53	.232/.304/.412	.181	.245	25	6	19%	9%	102	+1.8	.231/.298/.433	.202	.254	28	4	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.221/.285/.421	.201	.242	28	1	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	40	52→55	45	47	.212/.291/.378	.166	.276	21	8	31%	9%	88	+0.9	.211/.282/.386	.175	.275	24	9	32%	8%	85	+0.7	.177/.251/.338	.161	.207	27	6	30%	8%	58	-0.4
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→41	57→60	45→50	45	.214/.295/.410	.196	.290	26	9	35%	10%	98	+1.6	.210/.300/.403	.193	.281	26	13	33%	11%	98	+1.6	.198/.296/.384	.186	.261	25	15	33%	11%	87	+0.7
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	40→47	59→60	41→50	53	.221/.306/.429	.207	.257	27	5	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.215/.291/.391	.176	.272	20	8	28%	9%	91	+1.1	.206/.275/.376	.170	.266	19	10	29%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	53→55	43→40	47	.207/.296/.381	.174	.274	20	3	31%	9%	91	+1.1	.196/.287/.363	.167	.257	19	6	30%	10%	82	+0.5	.177/.274/.338	.161	.222	20	6	29%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Adam Witter 2009 · AA	26	40→39	53→50	40→30	46	.216/.282/.385	.169	.271	21	3	29%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.261/.340	.137	.260	16	4	28%	7%	65	-0.7	.164/.213/.271	.107	.203	14	0	27%	6%	24	-1.6
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→32	55	48→50	41	.206/.272/.384	.178	.253	25	7	30%	6%	82	+0.5	.228/.302/.420	.192	.300	25	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.222/.313/.433	.210	.294	28	11	32%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Austin Allen 2020 · MLB	26	44→54	57→60	38→40	41	.237/.284/.433	.195	.284	26	2	27%	5%	99	+1.7	.236/.279/.421	.185	.289	24	3	27%	5%	94	+1.3	.214/.266/.402	.189	.251	27	0	27%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	43→41	54→55	41→40	42	.225/.284/.404	.178	.292	22	5	31%	7%	91	+1.1	.217/.279/.364	.147	.284	17	6	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.182/.246/.304	.122	.227	14	2	26%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	40→46	55	47→30	53	.215/.303/.403	.188	.249	22	3	24%	10%	99	+1.7	.213/.297/.386	.173	.267	21	4	28%	10%	92	+1.2	.184/.260/.333	.149	.236	20	1	31%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	37→46	57→60	48→30	42	.209/.263/.402	.193	.237	27	4	26%	6%	82	+0.5	.219/.284/.377	.158	.264	20	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	.218/.292/.354	.137	.263	18	2	24%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	44→45	53→55	41→40	44	.235/.284/.404	.169	.272	22	3	23%	6%	91	+1.1	.217/.269/.375	.158	.262	19	3	25%	6%	77	+0.1	.232/.307/.388	.157	.271	17	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Kody Clemens 2023 · MLB	27	38→43	53→60	50→45	40	.209/.256/.380	.171	.257	22	8	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.218/.274/.407	.189	.260	24	9	26%	7%	88	+0.9	.216/.278/.416	.200	.247	26	8	25%	7%	88	+0.6
✕Cody Decker 2013 · AAA	26	38→39	60→65	39→30	41	.215/.276/.428	.213	.272	29	3	33%	7%	95	+1.4	.200/.263/.385	.185	.275	24	2	36%	7%	78	+0.2	.183/.255/.341	.158	.267	21	0	38%	8%	62	-0.3
✕Andrew Young 2020 · AAA	26	43→46	53→55	45→40	40	.225/.299/.396	.172	.277	22	5	27%	5%	96	+1.5	.214/.296/.392	.178	.300	21	5	35%	7%	94	+1.3	.187/.272/.359	.173	.302	21	4	42%	7%	72	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)