Luke Ritter — OGILVIE

Luke Ritter2B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 187 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .283 / .319

PA107

HR3

K%37

BB%9

BABIP288

ISO128

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	283	257	54	8	0	13	18	117	5	3	1	210	275	393	668	183	315	41	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	283	250	58	9	0	14	25	94	5	3	1	232	314	436	750	204	303	33	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	3 teams	—	595	532	96	20	2	18	41	232	16	9	4	180	260	327	587	147	271	39	7	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	3 teams	—	595	505	100	21	3	17	68	185	16	9	4	198	312	352	665	154	269	31	11	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	450	390	79	8	1	25	46	178	10	5	1	203	303	421	723	218	284	40	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	450	369	90	10	1	27	67	137	10	5	1	244	374	496	870	252	303	30	15	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	567	494	100	20	2	18	58	223	13	4	2	202	303	360	663	158	322	39	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	567	479	123	25	2	26	73	174	13	4	2	257	370	480	850	223	345	31	13	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	438	394	73	12	2	6	34	172	9	2	1	185	265	272	537	86	309	39	8	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	438	377	85	16	2	11	51	138	9	2	1	225	332	366	698	141	323	32	12	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AA	PHI	—	143	128	25	4	1	4	13	55	0	0	0	195	270	336	605	141	296	38	9	259	56	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
YTD	29	AA	PHI	—	143	122	27	5	1	4	19	44	0	0	0	221	326	377	703	156	303	31	13	315	99	-0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.4
ROS	29	AA	PHI	2%	107	94	18	3	0	3	10	40	2	1	0	191	283	319	602	128	301	37	9	279	72	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
ROS	29	MLB	PHI	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						303	50	0	271	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	AA	PHI	—	145	130	25	4	1	4	13	56	0	0	0	192	266	331	597	138	292	39	9	259	56	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
TOT	29	AA	PHI	—	250	222	43	7	1	7	23	95	2	1	0	194	275	329	604	135	293	38	9	267	63	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	PHI	23%	510	451	90	16	2	14	47	186	7	2	1	200	285	337	622	137	296	36	9	279	72	-16	+0	-2	+2	+14	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	PHI	35%	531	471	94	17	2	14	48	189	7	2	1	200	283	333	617	134	293	36	9	278	71	-17	+0	-3	+2	+15	-0.3
2027	30	MLB	PHI	23%	116	102	20	4	0	3	11	42	2	1	0	196	287	324	610	127	299	36	9	271	66	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	PHI	35%	184	163	33	6	1	5	17	66	2	1	0	202	286	344	629	141	296	36	9	271	65	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	302	267	53	10	1	8	28	109	4	2	0	199	284	333	618	135	296	36	9	271	65	-12	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	114	22	2	17	60	235	9	4	0	198	284	332	616	134	297	36	9	271	65	-25	+1	-3	+2	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3481	3083	604	104	11	111	302	1337	69	28	11	196	282	345	627	149	298	38	9	278	71	-115	+1	-5	+12	+99	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	113	19	2	21	56	250	13	5	2	196	282	345	628	149	298	38	9	278	71	-21	+0	-1	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	283	250	58	9	0	14	25	94	5	3	1	232	314	436	750	204	303	33	9	330	111	+4	+0	—	—	+8	1.2
2022	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	108	94	15	4	0	2	13	32	1	2	2	160	269	266	534	106	217	30	12	252	51	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	425	363	78	17	3	13	46	133	13	7	2	215	325	386	710	171	295	31	11	320	103	+2	+1	—	—	+12	1.4
2022	25	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	62	48	7	0	0	2	9	20	2	0	0	146	305	271	576	125	172	32	15	265	61	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	264	223	55	6	0	13	37	78	3	1	0	247	361	448	810	202	316	30	14	361	135	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	186	146	35	4	1	14	30	59	7	4	1	240	393	568	962	329	280	32	16	411	173	+15	+0	—	—	+5	2.1
2024	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	567	479	123	25	2	26	73	174	13	4	2	257	370	480	850	223	345	31	13	376	146	+29	+0	—	—	+16	4.6
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	438	377	85	16	2	11	51	138	9	2	1	225	332	366	698	141	323	32	12	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+12	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	305	8	1	200	281	334	+1	+1	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	17	3	200	281	334	+2.4	+2.2	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Ritter (OGILVIE)	29	35	45	45	55	194/275/329	135	293	7	1	38%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→41	49→50	46→50	41	187/265/334	147	282	18	7	38%	8%	66	-0.6	188/258/303	115	312	13	8	41%	8%	54	-1.4	165/233/253	88	291	10	8	44%	7%	27	-1.3
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	49→50	45→40	39	200/259/341	142	281	17	5	35%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/319	109	310	10	9	33%	7%	62	-0.9	179/240/258	79	274	6	4	35%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA	29	36	48→50	44→40	34	190/244/322	132	289	17	3	40%	5%	53	-1.5	203/250/343	140	326	17	5	41%	5%	60	-1.0	195/239/334	139	309	17	2	41%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Mike Olt 2018 · MLB	29	40→42	49→55	44→40	40	205/266/348	143	292	17	3	35%	7%	69	-0.4	197/265/318	121	299	13	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	161/248/270	109	247	12	0	37%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	42	44→45	47→30	39	204/267/318	114	313	12	4	37%	7%	61	-1.0	195/258/307	112	367	12	6	46%	7%	54	-1.4	163/224/271	109	316	15	3	50%	7%	29	-0.9
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	35→40	48→50	47→30	42	188/252/323	135	255	17	3	33%	8%	56	-1.3	206/283/351	145	293	17	8	33%	9%	77	+0.1	200/295/343	143	281	18	0	33%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Jaylin Davis 2023 · MLB	29	39→45	48→50	44→45	41	200/272/339	139	292	16	7	36%	8%	69	-0.4	206/284/353	147	310	17	8	36%	8%	79	+0.3	175/274/336	161	263	19	3	38%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	52→45	48→45	47	191/282/351	160	279	21	6	38%	11%	77	+0.1	177/257/306	129	280	16	7	40%	9%	55	-1.4	106/194/193	87	165	13	5	43%	9%	-2	-1.3
✕Travis Taijeron 2018 · MLB	29	38→41	46→55	42→40	42	186/275/319	133	304	14	3	40%	9%	66	-0.6	192/279/352	160	319	19	6	42%	9%	76	+0.1	175/269/349	174	292	22	5	44%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Lee Mitchell 2010 · AAA	28	41→48	45→50	45	45	202/284/329	127	303	13	4	35%	10%	72	-0.2	223/279/362	139	318	12	8	32%	7%	77	+0.1	238/281/403	165	326	12	8	30%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	40→42	47→55	44→45	37	207/255/336	129	285	16	4	33%	5%	61	-1.0	197/239/324	127	269	16	7	33%	4%	51	-1.7	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Robel García 2022 · MLB	29	35→37	51→50	44→40	40	190/257/347	157	275	20	5	38%	8%	66	-0.6	226/289/411	185	323	24	6	36%	8%	95	+1.4	238/305/488	251	331	37	0	38%	9%	121	+0.9
✕David Masters 2021 · AA	28	43→36	47→45	44→40	42	215/279/349	134	294	15	4	31%	7%	75	-0.0	220/277/383	163	314	21	9	35%	6%	82	+0.5	182/238/383	201	234	33	6	38%	6%	62	-0.2
✕JaCoby Jones 2022 · MLB	30	44→46	47→50	42→50	38	216/275/352	136	325	15	7	37%	6%	73	-0.1	204/257/325	121	346	14	9	42%	6%	59	-1.1	143/188/236	93	288	12	7	53%	4%	4	-1.1
✕Brett Cumberland 2022 · AAA	27	38→39	45→50	47→30	40	186/300/307	121	294	14	5	38%	8%	76	+0.1	216/299/337	121	315	14	7	34%	7%	81	+0.4	221/300/319	98	316	13	0	32%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Seth Bynum 2010 · AAA	29	43→44	50→55	44→50	37	223/263/375	152	297	19	6	32%	5%	74	-0.1	208/255/348	140	291	17	11	33%	6%	63	-0.8	190/242/317	128	268	16	12	35%	6%	47	-1.1