Brian ServenC Las Vegas Aviators
Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 207 lbs AAA HR -6%K -4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 0.7 · 2026
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .261 / .287
PA281
HR5
K%34
BB%8
MLB%10%
BAT: -9.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +2.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +5.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +8.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4040
PWR
3535
SPD
4545
EYE
5455
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M+0.7$3M+$2M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $0.4M $3M +$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKGrand Junction Rockies 143136 21501 4321 03 .154.184.213.398 .059.192 223 .170 -12 -18 -1 +0 +3 +4 -1.3
201722 AAsheville Tourists 199176 381011 12376 34 .216.289.301.590 .085.264 196 .255 53 -10 -1 +0 +4 +6 -0.2
201823 A+Lancaster JetHawks 337299 631727 15976 11 .211.263.351.614 .140.276 294 .258 56 -17 -0 +0 +6 +10 -0.2
201924 AA2 teams 323293 46908 17917 12 .157.221.270.490 .113.193 285 .215 23 -28 -1 +0 +6 +9 -1.4
202126 AAA2 teams 296275 479111 12876 10 .171.222.331.553 .160.201 294 .243 44 -19 +0 +0 +5 +8 -0.5
202227 MLB2 teams 301268 53618 25634 00 .198.276.317.593 .119.226 218 .264 60 -13 +0 +10 +5 +9 1.1
202328 AAA2 teams 185176 24403 6801 00 .136.169.210.380 .074.221 433 .169 -12 -23 +0 +1 +3 +5 -1.5
202429 AAA2 teams 230203 42903 23773 00 .207.297.296.593 .089.317 3310 .266 62 -10 +0 +1 +4 +7 0.2
202530 AAA2 teams 260230 47803 22835 10 .204.288.278.566 .074.299 328 .255 54 -14 +0 +0 +5 +7 -0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202631 AAALas Vegas Aviators 5548 12511 6131 00 .250.345.458.804 .208.324 2411 .339 118 +1 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.4
ROS31 MLBOAK 226202 39914 19733 10 .193.272.307.579 .114.275 328 .264 60 -10 +0 +2 +4 +6 0.3
TOT31 MLBOAK 281250 511425 25864 10 .204.287.336.623 .132.287 319 .278 71 -9 +0 +2 +5 +8 0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202732 MLB 20%OAK 246219 431014 22743 00 .196.279.306.585 .110.270 309 .268 63 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.0
202833 MLB 33%OAK 211187 37814 19653 00 .198.282.316.598 .118.268 319 .262 59 -10 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.2
202934 MLB 43%OAK 167148 27603 15532 00 .182.267.284.550 .101.266 329 .256 54 -9 +0 -3 +3 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 31242812 527110860 21191250 810 .187.256.296.553 .109.250 297 .245 46 -192 -2 +8 +56 +89 -4.2
/ 162G 650585 11023212 4419010 22 .188.257.296.552 .108.252 297 .245 46 -40 -0 +2 +12 +18 -0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKGrand Junction Rockies 143133 27701 7221 03 .203.248.278.526 .075.234 155 .237 40 -10 -1 +4 -0.7
201722 AAsheville Tourists 199168 471411 20296 34 .280.376.393.769 .113.329 1510 .342 120 +5 -1 +6 0.9
201823 A+Lancaster JetHawks 337291 7822312 23686 11 .268.334.488.822 .220.301 207 .343 121 +8 -0 +10 1.8
201924 AAHartford Yard Goats 276242 491209 22617 12 .202.288.364.651 .161.230 228 .290 80 -6 -1 +8 0.1
201924 INTLSalt River Rafters 4746 13312 0130 00 .283.283.522.804 .239.344 280 .340 118 +1 +0 +1 0.2
202126 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 276252 6312216 16616 10 .250.310.504.814 .254.266 226 .353 128 +9 +0 +8 1.7
202126 INTLTigres del Licey 2019 2000 060 00 .105.105.105.211 .000.154 300 .090 -72 -4 +0 +1 -0.3
202227 MLBColorado Rockies 205187 38416 13442 00 .203.262.332.594 .128.232 216 .264 61 -9 +0 +10 +5 +6 1.3
202227 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 9677 21305 16152 00 .273.411.506.917 .234.276 1617 .403 166 +7 +0 +3 1.0
202328 MLBColorado Rockies 2323 3100 0100 00 .130.130.174.304 .043.231 430 .135 -39 -4 +0 +1 +3 +1 0.1
202328 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 162151 30505 8511 00 .199.244.331.575 .132.258 315 .255 53 -9 +0 +5 -0.4
202429 MLBToronto Blue Jays 7163 10400 5222 00 .159.243.222.465 .063.244 317 .219 26 -6 +0 +1 +4 +2 0.1
202429 AAABuffalo Bisons 159132 35603 26461 00 .265.390.379.769 .114.386 2916 .354 129 +5 +0 +5 1.0
202530 AAAToledo Mud Hens 233198 46703 28594 10 .232.339.313.652 .081.309 2512 .302 89 -3 +0 +7 0.4
202530 ALakeland Flying Tigers 2723 5300 3111 00 .217.333.348.681 .130.417 4111 .314 99 -0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 299273 51916 18764 00 .187.247.293.540 .106.234 256 .244 45 -19 +0 +12 +13 +8 1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Brian Serven (OGILVIE) 31 40 35 45 55 .186/.261/.287 .102.271 52 34% 8% 52 -0.7
Joe Hudson
2022 · MLB
31 36 44→45 47→40 39 .188/.240/.299 .111.269 135 35% 6% 44 -2.1 .203/.283/.350 .147.288 198 34% 9% 77 +0.1 .183/.287/.336.152.26122836%11%73-0.0
Matt Pagnozzi
2014 · MLB
31 40 41→45 42→40 42 .199/.255/.295 .096.260 103 27% 6% 50 -1.8 .201/.257/.314 .113.259 144 27% 6% 56 -1.3 .190/.248/.296.106.24215128%6%46-0.8
Sharlon Schoop
2018 · AAA
31 42→44 43→40 44→45 42 .211/.257/.318 .107.265 114 25% 5% 56 -1.3 .220/.278/.344 .124.288 137 27% 6% 72 -0.2 .197/.269/.280.084.2719029%7%50-0.3
Ryan Budde
2011 · AAA
31 39 40→45 46→40 40 .192/.248/.279 .087.282 86 33% 6% 43 -2.2 .190/.254/.277 .087.296 87 36% 7% 45 -2.1 .161/.232/.232.070.2557437%8%23-1.4
Tyler LaTorre
2014 · AAA
31 43 43→40 48→40 44 .212/.273/.320 .107.281 106 28% 7% 63 -0.8 .221/.279/.307 .086.313 77 29% 7% 63 -0.9 .241/.292/.296.055.3433429%7%62-0.3
Dayton Buller
2011 · AAA
30 42 42→45 45→40 39 .205/.262/.314 .109.306 95 35% 6% 57 -1.2 .198/.253/.291 .093.314 75 36% 7% 47 -1.9 .198/.249/.323.125.29612036%6%50-0.3
Deven Marrero
2022 · MLB
31 40→48 46→45 49→50 41 .204/.260/.327 .122.285 159 33% 7% 60 -1.0 .218/.277/.332 .114.295 1312 29% 7% 69 -0.4 .206/.271/.286.080.26891525%8%49-0.5
Yamid Haad
2009 · AAA
31 42 41→45 47→40 41 .206/.252/.299 .093.261 97 25% 5% 49 -1.8 .226/.265/.331 .105.288 105 24% 5% 63 -0.9 .236/.274/.340.104.29610223%5%67-0.3
Kevin Cash
2009 · MLB
31 38 43→40 43→30 44 .192/.265/.301 .108.271 114 32% 8% 56 -1.3 .205/.274/.307 .102.277 114 28% 8% 61 -1.0 .187/.262/.263.076.2468026%8%41-0.8
Ali Solis
2019 · AAA
31 40 42→45 46→30 34 .201/.236/.300 .100.285 106 33% 4% 42 -2.3 .210/.246/.358 .148.285 196 33% 4% 63 -0.9 .196/.230/.353.157.24923332%4%51-1.0
Alex Prieto
2007 · MLB
31 44 41→40 44→45 45 .215/.266/.309 .094.269 99 23% 6% 57 -1.2 .219/.271/.326 .107.269 99 21% 6% 64 -0.8 .219/.273/.332.112.2628519%6%61-0.3
Gookie Dawkins
2011 · AAA
32 40→48 43→45 44→50 38 .201/.250/.311 .110.287 118 33% 6% 52 -1.6 .205/.258/.333 .128.288 1411 32% 6% 61 -1.0 .182/.238/.301.119.246151232%6%42-1.4
Brandon Hicks
2016 · MLB
30 37→40 46→50 47→50 40 .188/.262/.313 .125.291 146 38% 8% 58 -1.2 .194/.263/.307 .113.327 1210 41% 8% 57 -1.2 .169/.240/.260.091.301111245%8%32-1.5
Joseph Odom
2022 · MLB
30 42 42→45 45→30 36 .202/.258/.302 .100.324 105 39% 6% 53 -1.5 .202/.267/.335 .133.380 148 47% 7% 66 -0.6 .164/.236/.303.138.32815451%8%42-0.9
Grayson Greiner
2022 · MLB
29 40 44→45 47→30 40 .200/.262/.313 .113.299 134 36% 7% 58 -1.2 .195/.259/.307 .112.360 126 45% 7% 55 -1.4 .163/.227/.268.105.32115351%7%28-0.9
Xorge Carrillo
2019 · AAA
30 45 42→40 45→30 41 .221/.269/.318 .097.283 104 25% 5% 62 -0.9 .243/.300/.367 .124.283 137 18% 6% 87 +0.8 .264/.325/.383.119.29213214%6%98+0.6
Mike Nickeas
2014 · MLB
31 40 39→40 44→40 45 .196/.252/.282 .086.240 74 21% 6% 45 -2.1 .205/.260/.300 .095.257 107 23% 6% 53 -1.5 .189/.243/.247.058.2329322%7%32-0.9
Tony Wolters
2023 · MLB
31 43→53 38→40 41→45 43 .203/.274/.284 .080.289 64 30% 7% 55 -1.4 .215/.294/.306 .091.298 86 28% 9% 69 -0.4 .208/.308/.273.064.2877027%10%66-0.2
J.C. Boscan
2011 · AAA
31 46 39→40 44→30 45 .222/.279/.304 .081.286 64 24% 7% 62 -0.9 .196/.246/.270 .074.259 54 25% 5% 39 -2.5 .177/.223/.214.037.2332223%5%11-1.3
Ronnie Freeman
2021 · AAA
30 46 44→40 48→30 41 .226/.274/.336 .110.295 125 27% 6% 68 -0.5 .216/.270/.366 .150.289 189 31% 7% 75 -0.0 .154/.212/.315.161.18323032%7%33-0.5