Chris Williams — OGILVIE

Chris WilliamsC Syracuse Mets

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .269 / .344

PA170

HR6

K%36

BB%10

ISO165

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	261	230	42	4	1	12	24	74	3	2	1	183	268	365	634	183	203	28	9	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	261	214	54	6	1	15	40	52	3	2	1	252	377	500	877	248	258	20	15	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	2 teams	—	284	242	33	9	2	8	37	115	1	1	0	136	254	289	543	153	203	40	13	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	2 teams	—	284	229	44	12	3	11	50	77	1	1	0	192	339	415	754	223	228	27	18	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	169	146	20	6	1	2	19	80	1	1	0	137	241	233	474	96	269	47	11	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	169	139	25	8	1	3	26	60	1	1	0	180	313	317	630	137	278	36	15	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	495	443	85	15	1	26	44	194	2	2	2	192	268	406	674	214	258	39	9	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	495	422	104	21	1	28	63	144	2	2	2	246	346	500	846	254	297	29	13	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	376	330	60	6	2	17	31	155	8	3	0	182	268	367	635	185	261	41	8	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	376	309	73	13	2	21	51	122	8	3	0	236	358	495	853	259	301	32	14	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	334	294	49	12	0	13	34	129	3	5	0	167	260	340	600	173	234	39	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	334	280	62	16	0	17	48	106	3	5	0	221	341	461	802	239	283	32	14	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	57	51	7	3	0	1	6	22	0	0	0	137	228	255	483	118	214	39	11	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	57	47	8	4	0	1	9	18	0	0	0	170	298	319	617	149	250	32	16	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	NYM	—	170	150	27	6	0	6	16	60	2	2	0	180	268	340	608	160	251	35	9	278	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	NYM	27%	243	215	40	8	1	8	23	84	3	3	0	186	274	344	618	158	255	35	9	280	73	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2028	31	MLB	NYM	37%	238	211	40	8	1	8	23	81	2	2	0	190	275	351	626	161	256	34	10	279	72	-8	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.1
2027	30	MLB	NYM	27%	66	59	10	2	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	169	258	305	563	136	255	35	9	272	66	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
2028	31	MLB	NYM	37%	89	80	15	3	0	3	8	30	1	1	0	188	270	338	607	150	256	34	9	271	66	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	155	139	25	5	0	5	14	53	2	2	0	180	265	324	588	144	247	34	9	272	66	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	105	21	0	21	59	222	8	8	0	180	265	324	589	144	247	34	9	272	66	-25	+2	-7	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2627	2312	403	77	9	101	257	994	25	21	3	174	264	346	611	172	242	38	10	269	64	-107	+3	-5	+47	+74	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	99	19	2	25	64	246	6	5	1	173	263	344	608	171	240	38	10	269	64	-26	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	261	214	54	6	1	15	40	52	3	2	1	252	377	500	877	248	258	20	15	382	150	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.3
2019	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	51	41	3	0	0	1	8	20	1	1	0	73	240	146	386	73	95	39	16	200	11	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2019	22	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	233	188	41	12	3	10	42	57	0	0	0	218	361	473	834	255	250	24	18	364	137	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.7
2021	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	106	89	20	5	1	3	13	33	1	0	0	225	330	404	735	180	304	31	12	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	63	50	5	3	0	0	13	27	0	1	0	100	286	160	446	60	217	43	21	234	37	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	177	151	29	5	0	10	21	54	1	0	0	192	293	424	717	232	211	31	12	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2022	25	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	318	271	75	16	1	18	42	90	1	2	2	277	375	542	917	266	343	28	13	396	161	+22	-0	—	—	+9	3.1
2023	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	376	309	73	13	2	21	51	122	8	3	0	236	358	495	853	259	301	32	14	369	140	+17	+1	—	—	+11	2.9
2024	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	334	280	62	16	0	17	48	106	3	5	0	221	341	461	802	239	283	32	14	353	128	+11	+1	—	—	+9	2.2
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	57	47	8	4	0	1	9	18	0	0	0	170	298	319	617	149	250	32	16	284	76	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chris Williams (OGILVIE)	29	20	51	47	57	181/269/344	163	251	6	2	36%	10%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	35→40	48→50	47→30	42	188/252/323	135	255	17	3	33%	8%	56	-1.3	206/283/351	145	293	17	8	33%	9%	77	+0.1	200/295/343	143	281	18	0	33%	11%	78	+0.1
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	40→42	47→55	44→45	37	207/255/336	129	285	16	4	33%	5%	61	-1.0	197/239/324	127	269	16	7	33%	4%	51	-1.7	176/253/325	149	241	21	5	36%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	184/255/323	140	226	18	4	28%	8%	58	-1.2	193/267/322	129	258	16	4	30%	8%	63	-0.8	168/248/282	114	227	14	0	32%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB	29	38→37	48→50	45	43	201/257/335	134	236	16	5	23%	6%	62	-0.9	199/266/341	142	248	16	4	26%	7%	67	-0.5	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	52→45	48→45	47	191/282/351	160	279	21	6	38%	11%	77	+0.1	177/257/306	129	280	16	7	40%	9%	55	-1.4	106/194/193	87	165	13	5	43%	9%	-2	-1.3
✕Brett Hayes 2014 · MLB	30	39	51→45	49→40	36	211/248/371	161	271	19	5	31%	4%	67	-0.5	191/227/321	130	248	16	6	30%	4%	45	-2.1	151/193/229	78	208	8	0	31%	4%	3	-1.5
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	49→50	45→40	39	200/259/341	142	281	17	5	35%	7%	64	-0.8	210/268/319	109	310	10	9	33%	7%	62	-0.9	179/240/258	79	274	6	4	35%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA	29	36	48→50	44→40	34	190/244/322	132	289	17	3	40%	5%	53	-1.5	203/250/343	140	326	17	5	41%	5%	60	-1.0	195/239/334	139	309	17	2	41%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→41	49→50	46→50	41	187/265/334	147	282	18	7	38%	8%	66	-0.6	188/258/303	115	312	13	8	41%	8%	54	-1.4	165/233/253	88	291	10	8	44%	7%	27	-1.3
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→40	55	45→40	36	193/256/372	178	278	24	2	39%	6%	72	-0.2	191/251/343	152	332	18	5	45%	6%	62	-0.9	158/220/305	147	295	17	2	50%	5%	36	-1.8
✕Mike Olt 2018 · MLB	29	40→42	49→55	44→40	40	205/266/348	143	292	17	3	35%	7%	69	-0.4	197/265/318	121	299	13	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	161/248/270	109	247	12	0	37%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2023 · AAA	29	37→42	52→55	43→45	42	199/262/366	167	247	19	7	28%	6%	72	-0.2	207/272/356	149	273	16	9	29%	7%	73	-0.1	226/290/351	125	289	12	8	25%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0