Chris WilliamsC
Syracuse Mets
Age 29
R/R
5'11" / 225 lbs
AAA
H +5%HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .276 / .361
PA170
HR6
K%38
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
52→52
SPD
47→47
EYE
57→57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.0M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-1M | $-1M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 261 | 230 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .183 | .268 | .365 | .634 | .183 | .203 | 28 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 284 | 242 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .140 | .257 | .293 | .551 | .153 | .195 | 37 | 13 | .252 | 51 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 169 | 146 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .123 | .229 | .212 | .441 | .089 | .239 | 47 | 11 | .215 | 23 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 495 | 443 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 44 | 187 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .190 | .266 | .391 | .656 | .201 | .252 | 38 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 376 | 329 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 153 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .185 | .274 | .374 | .648 | .188 | .265 | 41 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 334 | 294 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 128 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .170 | .263 | .344 | .606 | .173 | .239 | 38 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 57 | 51 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .137 | .228 | .255 | .483 | .118 | .214 | 39 | 11 | .215 | 23 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 170 | 150 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .286 | .373 | .659 | .173 | .282 | 38 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | NYM | 243 | 216 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .194 | .278 | .366 | .644 | .171 | .282 | 37 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | NYM | 238 | 211 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 86 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .194 | .280 | .355 | .635 | .161 | .281 | 36 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | NYM | 222 | 198 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .277 | .354 | .631 | .157 | .280 | 36 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | NYM | 194 | 172 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 71 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .281 | .355 | .636 | .157 | .279 | 37 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | NYM | 154 | 137 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .190 | .275 | .336 | .610 | .146 | .276 | 37 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +4 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3197 | 2819 | 508 | 97 | 12 | 118 | 308 | 1198 | 32 | 19 | 3 | .180 | .268 | .349 | .617 | .168 | .254 | 37 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -118 | +3 | -17 | +57 | +91 | 1.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 24 | 63 | 244 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .180 | .269 | .347 | .617 | .168 | .253 | 38 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -24 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | 261 | 214 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .252 | .377 | .500 | .877 | .248 | .258 | 20 | 15 | .382 | 150 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 51 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .073 | .240 | .146 | .386 | .073 | .095 | 39 | 16 | .200 | 11 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 233 | 188 | 41 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .361 | .473 | .834 | .255 | .250 | 24 | 18 | .364 | 137 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 106 | 89 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .225 | .330 | .404 | .735 | .180 | .304 | 31 | 12 | .321 | 104 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 63 | 50 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .100 | .286 | .160 | .446 | .060 | .217 | 43 | 21 | .234 | 37 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 177 | 151 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .293 | .424 | .717 | .232 | .211 | 31 | 12 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 318 | 271 | 75 | 16 | 1 | 18 | 42 | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .277 | .375 | .542 | .917 | .266 | .343 | 28 | 13 | .396 | 161 | +22 | -0 | — | — | +9 | 3.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 376 | 309 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 21 | 51 | 122 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .236 | .358 | .495 | .853 | .259 | .301 | 32 | 14 | .369 | 140 | +17 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 2.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 334 | 280 | 62 | 16 | 0 | 17 | 48 | 106 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .221 | .341 | .461 | .802 | .239 | .283 | 32 | 14 | .353 | 128 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +9 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 57 | 47 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .170 | .298 | .319 | .617 | .149 | .250 | 32 | 16 | .284 | 76 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Chris Williams (OGILVIE) | 29 | 20 | 52 | 47 | 57 | .192/.276/.361 | .169 | .282 | 6 | 2 | 38% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brian O'Keefe 2022 · AAA |
29 | 41→42 | 52→55 | 44→40 | 41 | .216/.275/.373 | .157 | .293 | 22 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .211/.270/.375 | .164 | .278 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .198/.262/.368 | .171 | .244 | 22 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37 | 52→55 | 46→40 | 48 | .196/.288/.367 | .171 | .263 | 19 | 6 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .195/.284/.358 | .163 | .250 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .173/.269/.328 | .156 | .208 | 22 | 3 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB |
27 | 42 | 50 | 43→40 | 43 | .209/.295/.363 | .155 | .298 | 17 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .225/.297/.384 | .159 | .313 | 17 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.291/.378 | .157 | .312 | 18 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 49→50 | 46→40 | 51 | .195/.290/.346 | .151 | .268 | 16 | 6 | 32% | 11% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.290/.356 | .146 | .319 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .203/.283/.339 | .136 | .319 | 15 | 4 | 38% | 10% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mike Olt 2017 · MLB |
28 | 39→41 | 51→55 | 41→40 | 41 | .206/.272/.362 | .156 | .295 | 20 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .203/.272/.344 | .141 | .296 | 17 | 3 | 35% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.261/.327 | .141 | .266 | 17 | 0 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jabari Blash 2018 · MLB |
29 | 41→40 | 55→60 | 43→50 | 49 | .210/.315/.398 | .188 | .303 | 24 | 6 | 36% | 12% | 103 | +1.9 | .222/.315/.429 | .207 | .328 | 27 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 111 | +2.5 | .210/.301/.454 | .245 | .297 | 34 | 10 | 40% | 9% | 108 | +1.5 |
|
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 54→55 | 45→40 | 37 | .194/.259/.369 | .175 | .277 | 23 | 2 | 38% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .189/.254/.341 | .152 | .324 | 18 | 5 | 45% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .157/.225/.298 | .141 | .292 | 16 | 2 | 49% | 6% | 37 | -1.8 |
|
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB |
27 | 36→39 | 49→50 | 47→45 | 49 | .192/.289/.338 | .146 | .258 | 18 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | .192/.286/.318 | .126 | .265 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .179/.280/.288 | .109 | .251 | 11 | 11 | 31% | 12% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Andrew Young 2022 · MLB |
28 | 42→46 | 56→55 | 47→40 | 38 | .217/.299/.412 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 101 | +1.8 | .205/.283/.364 | .159 | .324 | 19 | 7 | 40% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .170/.256/.306 | .137 | .263 | 18 | 4 | 40% | 8% | 51 | -1.0 |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB |
30 | 43→48 | 51→50 | 43→45 | 47 | .220/.295/.378 | .157 | .286 | 19 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .211/.280/.369 | .158 | .286 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .200/.280/.351 | .151 | .266 | 19 | 3 | 31% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2022 · AAA |
29 | 42→43 | 53→50 | 48→40 | 36 | .218/.269/.385 | .167 | .317 | 22 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.287/.377 | .154 | .271 | 18 | 7 | 24% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .214/.287/.361 | .147 | .248 | 16 | 5 | 20% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Zach Green 2022 · MLB |
28 | 39→43 | 54→60 | 44→40 | 37 | .198/.271/.374 | .176 | .327 | 23 | 4 | 44% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .196/.253/.351 | .155 | .301 | 18 | 5 | 39% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .172/.225/.332 | .160 | .247 | 19 | 1 | 38% | 5% | 46 | -1.3 |
|
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40→41 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 37 | .206/.257/.340 | .133 | .293 | 16 | 4 | 35% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .201/.243/.328 | .127 | .275 | 16 | 7 | 33% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.239/.321 | .147 | .238 | 22 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB |
28 | 36 | 50→45 | 48→45 | 47 | .189/.279/.338 | .149 | .279 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .177/.257/.305 | .128 | .279 | 16 | 7 | 40% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .109/.194/.201 | .091 | .171 | 14 | 5 | 44% | 9% | 0 | -1.3 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB |
29 | 36→40 | 50 | 46→50 | 41 | .190/.266/.341 | .151 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .188/.260/.304 | .116 | .308 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .166/.236/.251 | .085 | .293 | 9 | 8 | 44% | 8% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Casteel 2021 · AA |
30 | 42→47 | 55 | 48→40 | 39 | .222/.275/.406 | .185 | .304 | 24 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .209/.266/.388 | .179 | .275 | 24 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .181/.241/.366 | .185 | .218 | 28 | 0 | 33% | 6% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2009 · AAA |
28 | 40 | 49→50 | 44→40 | 39 | .209/.268/.352 | .143 | .283 | 19 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .193/.243/.330 | .137 | .305 | 17 | 4 | 41% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .177/.226/.315 | .137 | .293 | 18 | 1 | 44% | 4% | 39 | -1.1 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40 | 52→55 | 45 | 47 | .212/.291/.378 | .166 | .276 | 21 | 8 | 31% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .211/.282/.386 | .175 | .275 | 24 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .177/.251/.338 | .161 | .207 | 27 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 58 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB |
29 | 41→44 | 52→55 | 49→40 | 45 | .217/.282/.379 | .162 | .265 | 21 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .214/.274/.387 | .173 | .271 | 22 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .207/.268/.386 | .179 | .258 | 24 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→32 | 55 | 48→50 | 41 | .206/.272/.384 | .178 | .253 | 25 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .228/.302/.420 | .192 | .300 | 25 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .222/.313/.433 | .210 | .294 | 28 | 11 | 32% | 10% | 107 | +0.8 |