Rafael Flores Jr.

Rafael Flores Jr.C Indianapolis Indians

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 232 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION399 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP291

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

903.1%

xAVG

420.245

POWER55

Barrel%

8813.9

Avg EV

7991.1

Bat Spd

6973.4

EYE80

Chase%

905.6%

SPEED35

Sprint

2726.4

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%30%▲29% over 87 PA (30d) · proj 31%

BB%8%·8% over 111 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.178▲▲.235 over 102 AB (60d) · proj .141

HR/BB6.7%▲▲10.1% over 69 BBE (60d) · proj 4.6%

BABIP.293·.274 over 62 BIP (60d) · proj .294

SLASH.232/.298/.410▲▲proj .217/.283/.359

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$8M	+$6M
2029	Arb-2	$5M	+1.1	$7M	+$3M
2030	Arb-3	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$26M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	382	99	15	1	8	49	108	2	3	1	259	346	366	713	107	341	25	11	325	106	+3	+0	—	—	+9	1.3
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	273	241	66	14	0	15	28	73	4	6	0	274	359	519	878	245	333	27	10	385	147	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	233	193	55	17	0	6	38	55	1	2	1	285	405	466	871	181	368	24	16	389	149	+14	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2025	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	375	41	12	286	80	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	206	173	46	4	1	7	26	54	4	0	0	266	374	422	796	156	339	26	13	355	127	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	370	335	96	23	1	15	30	94	2	6	0	287	349	496	844	209	354	25	8	369	136	+16	+1	—	—	+8	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	375	41	12	286	80	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	402	85	11	1	6	29	144	2	3	1	211	268	289	556	77	311	33	7	250	55	-23	+0	—	—	+9	-1.4
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	273	249	55	13	0	11	20	87	4	6	0	221	289	406	695	185	293	32	7	300	89	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	233	209	47	13	0	5	22	78	1	2	1	225	302	359	661	134	326	33	9	289	82	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2025	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	375	41	12	284	79	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
2025	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	206	183	40	3	1	5	16	67	4	0	0	219	296	328	623	109	297	33	8	280	76	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	370	344	84	20	1	11	21	118	2	6	0	244	292	404	696	160	329	32	6	298	88	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.4
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	402	85	11	1	6	29	144	2	3	1	211	268	289	556	77	312	33	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	382	99	15	1	8	49	108	2	3	1	259	346	366	713	107	341	25	11	325	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	458	102	26	0	16	42	165	5	8	1	223	295	384	679	162	309	33	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	506	434	121	31	0	21	66	128	5	8	1	279	380	495	876	217	350	25	13	387	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	542	127	25	2	16	39	192	6	6	0	234	293	376	669	142	326	32	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	593	523	145	29	2	22	58	155	6	6	0	277	356	467	823	189	349	26	10	362	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	400	85	11	1	6	29	144	2	3	1	212	268	290	558	77	311	33	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	454	102	26	0	16	42	165	5	8	1	225	295	388	683	163	308	33	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	543	127	25	2	16	39	192	6	6	0	234	293	376	669	142	319	32	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	434	400	85	11	1	6	29	144	2	3	1	212	268	290	558	77	311	33	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	454	102	26	0	16	42	165	5	8	1	225	295	388	683	163	308	33	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	593	543	127	25	2	16	39	192	6	6	0	234	293	376	669	142	319	32	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	PIT	—	399	354	77	13	2	11	43	117	2	0	0	218	306	359	665	141	292	29	11	294	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	PIT	—	123	112	28	4	0	8	11	34	0	0	0	250	317	500	817	250	286	28	9	357	85	-2	+0	+0	+7	+3	0.8
YTD	25	AAA RAW	PIT	—	276	228	52	10	2	4	46	69	2	0	0	228	362	342	704	114	310	25	17	328	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	PIT	—	123	112	28	4	0	8	11	34	0	0	0	250	317	500	817	250	286	28	9	357	128	+4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.9
ROS	25	AAA MLE	PIT	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		293	33	11	295	86	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	33	11	285	86	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	PIT	—	132	120	29	4	0	8	12	37	0	0	0	242	311	475	786	233	280	28	9	352	85	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
TOT	25	AAA MLE	PIT	—	408	362	78	13	2	11	44	120	2	0	0	215	304	354	658	138	290	29	11	294	85	-7	+0	-0	+7	+9	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	520	463	103	19	2	15	48	155	4	2	1	222	301	369	670	147	294	30	9	299	88	-7	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	520	463	103	19	2	15	48	152	4	2	1	222	301	369	670	147	293	29	9	301	90	-6	+0	-0	+9	+11	1.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	520	462	103	19	2	15	49	151	4	2	1	223	303	370	673	147	293	29	9	301	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	414	369	81	15	1	12	39	120	3	2	1	220	299	363	662	144	292	29	9	300	89	-5	+0	-2	+7	+9	1.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	407	363	79	15	1	11	38	119	3	1	0	218	297	355	652	138	290	29	9	297	87	-6	+0	-2	+7	+9	0.8
2032	31	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	380	338	72	13	1	10	36	113	3	1	0	213	294	346	641	133	288	30	9	293	84	-7	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.5
2033	32	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	351	312	66	12	1	9	33	105	3	1	0	212	293	343	636	131	284	30	9	287	81	-8	+0	-4	+6	+8	0.2
2034	33	MLB MLE	PIT	82%	312	278	58	10	1	8	29	95	2	1	0	209	288	338	626	129	280	30	9	280	76	-9	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	426	381	82	15	2	11	39	127	3	2	1	215	293	352	645	136	291	30	9	288	88	-6	+0	-0	+8	+9	1.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	426	380	84	16	2	11	40	125	3	2	1	221	300	361	661	139	291	29	9	290	90	-5	+0	-0	+8	+9	1.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	426	380	84	16	2	11	40	124	3	2	1	221	300	361	661	139	290	29	9	290	90	-5	+0	-1	+8	+9	1.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	339	301	65	12	1	9	32	99	3	1	0	216	298	352	650	136	289	29	9	289	89	-4	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	334	297	65	12	1	9	31	98	3	1	0	219	299	357	656	138	288	29	9	286	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2032	31	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	312	278	59	11	1	8	29	93	2	1	0	212	291	345	637	133	286	30	9	282	84	-6	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2033	32	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	288	257	54	10	1	7	27	87	2	1	0	210	290	339	629	128	282	30	9	277	81	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2034	33	MLB CTX	PIT	82%	256	228	47	8	1	6	24	78	2	1	0	206	287	329	616	123	278	30	9	271	76	-7	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2833	2525	544	102	11	72	265	841	21	11	3	215	295	350	645	135	290	30	9	285	83	-46	+1	-13	+40	+61	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	125	23	3	17	61	193	5	3	1	216	296	354	650	138	290	30	9	285	83	-11	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4966	4458	980	184	14	133	431	1514	39	29	6	220	294	357	651	137	298	30	9	291	83	-56	+1	-15	+51	+75	5.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	128	24	2	17	56	198	5	4	1	219	293	354	647	135	298	30	9	291	83	-11	+0	-3	+10	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	2.8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
/162	664	25	0	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12
#6Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.7	3,089	91	12	221	296	368	+55	+2	9.4	8.8
/162	664	19	3	+11.9	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Flores Jr. (OGILVIE)	25	45	55	35	80	217/294/357	141	293	4	1	30%	9%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	46→48	53→50	45→40	46	237/296/409	172	288	21	3	25%	8%	97	+1.1	231/286/376	145	303	17	3	28%	7%	86	+0.3	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Josmil Pinto 2015 · MLB	26	50→58	49→50	36→40	50	251/318/402	152	297	16	2	21%	9%	103	+1.6	228/284/362	134	287	15	3	25%	7%	82	-0.0	216/265/340	124	274	14	0	26%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	51→55	43→45	54	240/332/403	163	278	19	4	21%	10%	109	+2.0	218/315/351	133	261	15	6	22%	10%	92	+0.7	224/307/348	124	255	15	6	18%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	44→53	45→50	43→45	52	219/315/335	115	274	13	5	24%	10%	88	+0.5	224/294/339	115	291	13	7	26%	8%	80	-0.1	235/295/327	92	303	9	7	24%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	47→48	51→55	39→30	47	238/310/398	161	301	19	3	27%	8%	100	+1.3	238/308/383	145	328	16	2	30%	8%	96	+1.0	233/311/364	131	319	13	0	29%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB	25	44→54	48→45	41→40	44	219/306/358	139	297	16	3	30%	8%	91	+0.6	206/300/344	138	280	15	4	30%	9%	85	+0.2	173/280/292	120	239	12	0	31%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2013 · MLB	25	45→46	48→55	45→30	46	228/290/366	138	278	16	2	24%	7%	85	+0.2	234/298/336	102	288	9	3	21%	7%	81	-0.1	221/289/366	145	274	17	0	25%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	40→37	52→55	45→40	48	211/301/384	174	274	19	3	30%	9%	95	+0.9	195/286/357	162	254	18	6	30%	10%	82	+0.0	176/272/329	154	222	18	6	29%	11%	69	-0.5
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	54→60	43→30	45	235/297/411	177	281	23	3	26%	7%	99	+1.2	235/304/428	193	286	26	3	27%	7%	105	+1.7	224/297/427	203	273	28	1	29%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Alex Isola 2023 · AA	25	42→45	50	43→40	48	218/287/363	144	270	19	3	26%	9%	84	+0.1	214/279/337	123	270	14	6	25%	8%	74	-0.5	204/270/318	114	256	13	5	25%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Welington Castillo 2013 · MLB	26	45→55	52→55	43→30	46	235/306/401	166	295	21	2	28%	8%	99	+1.3	248/317/402	154	308	18	3	24%	8%	103	+1.6	253/309/434	181	307	25	1	26%	7%	105	+1.1
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	46→50	52→55	41→45	42	235/286/405	170	291	19	6	26%	6%	93	+0.8	206/261/345	139	273	15	6	29%	6%	70	-0.9	183/242/307	123	248	13	4	30%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	42→43	50	36→30	50	218/297/371	152	264	19	2	25%	9%	89	+0.5	214/280/350	136	275	15	5	27%	7%	78	-0.3	179/248/294	115	224	12	0	25%	6%	52	-0.6
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	58→60	43→30	43	217/271/421	204	252	27	2	27%	6%	92	+0.7	215/260/406	191	260	27	3	29%	5%	84	+0.1	202/243/385	182	242	27	1	30%	4%	71	-0.6
✕James Darnell 2012 · MLB	25	49→52	51→55	46→40	51	249/317/415	166	285	19	4	20%	8%	107	+1.8	231/293/382	151	278	17	6	23%	7%	90	+0.6	211/290/383	172	236	24	3	22%	8%	88	+0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2022 · MLB	26	42→41	47→55	38→45	48	211/290/349	138	276	15	4	28%	9%	82	-0.0	212/286/384	172	286	23	9	33%	9%	88	+0.5	187/266/359	171	232	26	8	32%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	42→44	49→50	42→45	48	216/297/365	150	271	16	5	26%	9%	88	+0.5	214/293/350	136	289	14	5	29%	9%	83	+0.1	203/286/328	126	277	13	4	30%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Luke Montz 2009 · MLB	26	42→45	48→55	41→40	45	215/276/354	139	271	16	3	27%	7%	77	-0.3	201/270/331	130	249	15	4	25%	8%	70	-0.8	201/276/399	198	236	27	4	28%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Michael McKenry 2010 · AA	25	45→48	50→55	39→40	49	228/299/384	156	276	17	4	24%	8%	93	+0.8	221/282/354	133	281	14	3	25%	7%	80	-0.2	251/325/430	179	297	23	2	23%	9%	110	+0.8
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	44→50	50→60	42→40	45	229/284/392	163	271	17	3	23%	6%	89	+0.5	234/296/389	155	270	18	3	20%	7%	93	+0.8	235/326/434	198	266	26	1	22%	9%	109	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps