Rafael Flores Jr.

Rafael Flores Jr.C Indianapolis Indians

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 232 lbs AAA BB +7% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.5 · 2028

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .283 / .368

PA152

HR5

K%33

BB%7

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

35→35

FLD

45→45

EYE

48→48

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$13M	+$10M
2029	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$12M	+$8M
2030	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$11M	+$5M
Totals		$14M		$48M	+$34M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	434	404	83	11	1	7	27	141	2	3	1	.205	.259	.290	.548	.084	.296	32	6	.244	45	-27	+0	+0	+8	+12	-0.7
2024	23	AA	2 teams	506	460	102	25	0	17	40	169	5	8	1	.222	.291	.387	.678	.165	.309	33	8	.294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.5
2025	24	AA	3 teams	593	541	128	24	2	18	40	197	6	6	0	.237	.296	.388	.685	.152	.331	33	7	.297	86	-10	+1	+0	-11	+17	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	94	84	16	3	1	2	10	28	0	0	0	.190	.277	.321	.598	.131	.259	30	11	.264	60	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	PIT	58	53	11	2	0	2	5	19	0	0	0	.208	.276	.358	.634	.151	.295	33	9	.289	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	25	MLB	PIT	152	137	27	5	1	4	15	47	0	0	0	.197	.276	.336	.612	.139	.267	31	10	.274	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 56%	PIT	415	375	83	16	2	13	34	122	3	3	0	.221	.291	.379	.670	.157	.289	29	8	.298	86	-6	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.4
2028	27	MLB 74%	PIT	421	380	85	17	2	13	35	122	3	3	0	.224	.294	.382	.676	.158	.290	29	8	.300	88	-6	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.5
2029	28	MLB 82%	PIT	422	381	86	17	2	13	35	122	3	3	0	.226	.296	.383	.679	.157	.289	29	8	.300	88	-6	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.4
2030	29	MLB 88%	PIT	414	373	83	16	2	13	35	120	3	2	0	.223	.294	.381	.675	.158	.289	29	8	.299	87	-6	+0	-1	+7	+12	1.2
2031	30	MLB 94%	PIT	407	367	80	16	1	12	34	120	3	1	0	.218	.290	.365	.655	.147	.287	29	8	.296	84	-7	+0	-2	+7	+12	1.0
2032	31	MLB	PIT	380	342	73	14	1	11	32	113	3	0	0	.213	.286	.357	.643	.143	.286	30	8	.292	81	-8	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.7
2033	32	MLB	PIT	351	315	67	13	1	10	30	106	3	0	0	.213	.287	.356	.643	.143	.284	30	9	.287	78	-9	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.4
2034	33	MLB	PIT	312	281	58	11	1	8	26	97	2	0	0	.206	.278	.338	.616	.132	.282	31	8	.281	74	-9	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.1
2035	34	MLB	PIT	263	237	49	9	1	7	22	84	2	0	0	.207	.280	.342	.621	.135	.280	32	8	.275	69	-9	+0	-5	+5	+7	-0.2
2036	35	MLB	PIT	210	190	38	7	1	5	17	69	1	0	0	.200	.269	.326	.596	.126	.278	33	8	.267	63	-9	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5186	4699	1026	198	17	149	412	1601	39	29	2	.218	.287	.363	.650	.144	.295	31	8	.288	79	-123	+5	-25	+71	+147	7.7
/ 162G	—			650	589	129	25	2	19	52	201	5	4	0	.219	.288	.365	.653	.146	.296	31	8	.288	79	-15	+1	-3	+9	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	434	382	99	15	1	8	49	108	2	3	1	.259	.346	.366	.713	.107	.341	25	11	.325	107	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.6
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	273	241	66	14	0	15	28	73	4	6	0	.274	.359	.519	.878	.245	.333	27	10	.385	153	+16	+1	—	—	+8	2.6
2024	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	233	193	55	17	0	6	38	55	1	2	1	.285	.405	.466	.871	.181	.368	24	16	.389	155	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2025	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	.200	.294	.333	.627	.133	.375	41	12	.286	77	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0
2025	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	206	173	46	4	1	7	26	54	4	0	0	.266	.374	.422	.796	.156	.339	26	13	.355	130	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2025	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	370	335	96	23	1	15	30	94	2	6	0	.287	.349	.496	.844	.209	.354	25	8	.369	140	+17	+1	—	—	+10	2.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			17	15	3	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	.200	.294	.333	.627	.133	.375	41	12	.286	77	-0	+0	+0	-11	+0	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Flores Jr. (OGILVIE)	25	45	55	35	48	.219/.283/.368	.149	.304	5	2	33%	7%	82	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chance Sisco 2020 · MLB	25	45→55	49→50	41→40	43	.224/.308/.369	.145	.304	17	3	30%	8%	92	+1.2	.211/.305/.361	.150	.284	17	4	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.177/.284/.310	.133	.243	14	0	31%	10%	65	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2022 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	44→30	46	.235/.294/.401	.166	.288	20	3	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.287/.380	.148	.304	18	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Matthew Brown 2009 · MLB	26	45→48	52→55	41→45	42	.233/.285/.404	.170	.291	19	6	27%	6%	91	+1.1	.207/.262/.348	.141	.272	15	6	29%	6%	67	-0.5	.183/.241/.305	.122	.246	13	4	31%	6%	44	-1.1
●Tom Murphy 2016 · MLB	25	38→35	52→65	43→45	37	.203/.257/.368	.166	.281	21	5	35%	6%	71	-0.3	.211/.255/.384	.173	.307	20	5	37%	5%	74	-0.1	.244/.316/.459	.215	.308	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.2
●Luke Montz 2009 · MLB	26	41→45	49→55	41→40	45	.214/.275/.358	.144	.270	17	3	28%	7%	75	-0.0	.205/.273/.344	.139	.256	17	4	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.202/.277/.410	.208	.237	29	4	29%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Nick Hundley 2009 · MLB	25	40→45	50→55	40	44	.213/.265/.365	.152	.252	19	2	24%	6%	73	-0.1	.235/.295/.397	.162	.290	18	5	24%	8%	93	+1.3	.254/.322/.429	.174	.319	17	4	25%	8%	107	+1.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	43→44	53→55	36→45	37	.230/.262/.398	.168	.272	21	3	25%	3%	80	+0.4	.220/.270/.369	.149	.258	19	4	23%	5%	76	+0.1	.205/.264/.337	.132	.237	18	2	22%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Dilson Herrera 2019 · MLB	25	44→54	48→50	39→50	40	.225/.275/.361	.136	.290	16	5	28%	6%	76	+0.0	.209/.268/.380	.171	.280	22	9	33%	6%	79	+0.3	.181/.245/.367	.185	.234	25	9	35%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Isan Díaz 2022 · MLB	26	41→40	49→55	38→45	47	.210/.286/.354	.144	.272	17	5	29%	9%	79	+0.3	.212/.287/.388	.176	.283	24	9	32%	9%	89	+0.9	.191/.269/.374	.183	.233	28	8	32%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Drew Ellis 2022 · MLB	26	39→37	53→55	43→40	47	.207/.296/.381	.174	.274	20	3	31%	9%	91	+1.1	.196/.287/.363	.167	.257	19	6	30%	10%	82	+0.5	.177/.274/.338	.161	.222	20	6	29%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	45→54	45→50	43→45	52	.221/.318/.337	.116	.276	13	5	24%	10%	89	+0.9	.225/.296/.348	.123	.290	14	7	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.230/.292/.336	.106	.299	12	8	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2007 · AAA	25	43→44	46→55	42→40	40	.215/.275/.333	.118	.303	15	6	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.231/.288/.340	.109	.327	12	5	31%	7%	76	+0.0	.225/.287/.410	.185	.314	26	2	36%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	40→45	51→55	43→45	43	.211/.284/.372	.161	.275	19	7	30%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.298/.374	.157	.285	17	5	29%	9%	89	+1.0	.215/.298/.370	.155	.281	18	3	29%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Ryan Casteel 2016 · AAA	25	45→47	51→55	44→40	39	.234/.276/.394	.159	.303	20	5	30%	5%	85	+0.7	.220/.259/.334	.114	.305	11	5	30%	5%	60	-1.0	.194/.252/.386	.191	.248	28	0	34%	6%	69	-0.2
✕J.P. Arencibia 2012 · MLB	26	38→47	57→60	43→30	42	.211/.264/.405	.194	.248	25	2	27%	6%	83	+0.6	.215/.260/.405	.190	.260	26	3	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.202/.243/.386	.184	.242	27	1	30%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Aaron Herr 2007 · AAA	26	50→51	50→55	39→45	35	.248/.286/.401	.153	.332	19	5	31%	4%	91	+1.1	.232/.270/.379	.147	.321	17	7	32%	4%	78	+0.2	.221/.258/.367	.147	.306	16	6	33%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Clint Frazier 2020 · MLB	25	46	52→55	46→50	42	.234/.289/.410	.176	.294	19	7	27%	6%	94	+1.3	.222/.305/.377	.155	.299	17	8	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.190/.299/.313	.123	.279	14	9	34%	12%	72	-0.1
✕René Pinto 2022 · AAA	25	42	51→55	44→40	35	.218/.262/.369	.151	.305	19	6	35%	5%	72	-0.2	.215/.254/.384	.169	.302	22	4	35%	4%	73	-0.1	.194/.237/.371	.176	.271	25	2	38%	5%	60	-0.5
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	50	43→30	49	.210/.297/.362	.152	.281	19	3	31%	10%	86	+0.8	.197/.273/.304	.107	.287	11	4	33%	8%	60	-1.0	.154/.226/.214	.060	.231	5	0	33%	7%	17	-1.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)