Devin Mann — OGILVIE

Devin Mann3B Sacramento River Cats

Age 29 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .290 / .334

PA250

HR5

K%28

BB%8

ISO126

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	264	233	46	10	1	1	25	65	4	7	4	197	286	262	548	64	266	25	9	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	264	224	54	13	1	2	34	50	4	7	4	241	351	335	686	94	299	19	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	499	444	98	20	1	20	42	145	5	5	6	221	295	405	701	185	272	29	8	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	499	428	118	25	2	20	58	105	5	5	6	276	369	484	852	208	315	21	12	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	440	388	74	20	1	14	30	138	15	6	4	191	275	356	630	165	247	31	7	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	440	369	90	27	1	14	49	100	15	6	4	244	356	436	792	192	290	23	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	451	396	89	17	3	14	44	114	8	1	2	225	315	389	704	164	277	25	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	451	375	99	21	3	16	64	86	8	1	2	264	382	464	846	200	301	19	14	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	550	488	112	33	1	19	51	180	7	4	1	230	311	418	729	189	317	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	550	460	127	42	1	20	79	149	7	4	1	276	390	502	892	226	363	27	14	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	485	437	90	18	0	11	35	136	7	4	2	206	276	323	598	117	271	28	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	485	412	104	21	1	15	60	108	7	4	2	252	357	417	774	165	306	22	12	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	267	235	41	11	0	3	23	71	8	1	0	174	271	260	530	85	235	27	9	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	267	223	50	13	0	4	34	56	8	1	0	224	346	336	682	112	280	21	13	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	SF	—	250	222	46	11	0	5	21	69	5	2	1	207	290	324	615	117	278	28	8	285	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	SF	27%	287	256	54	13	0	6	24	79	5	2	1	211	291	332	623	121	278	28	8	286	77	-7	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	SF	37%	292	260	55	13	0	6	25	80	5	2	1	212	293	331	624	119	277	27	9	285	76	-8	+0	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
2027	30	MLB	SF	27%	78	70	14	3	0	2	7	21	1	1	0	200	282	329	611	129	273	27	9	268	63	-3	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	SF	37%	109	97	20	5	0	2	9	30	2	1	0	206	287	320	607	113	272	28	8	267	63	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	187	167	34	8	0	4	16	51	3	2	0	204	285	323	608	120	265	27	9	268	63	-8	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	118	28	0	14	56	177	10	7	0	203	284	324	609	121	265	27	9	268	63	-27	+1	-6	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	3785	3359	705	166	7	99	320	1077	69	34	22	210	292	352	644	142	274	28	8	286	77	-97	-2	-5	+14	+107	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	121	29	1	17	55	185	12	6	4	210	292	352	644	142	274	28	8	286	77	-17	-0	-1	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	264	224	54	13	1	2	34	50	4	7	4	241	351	335	686	94	299	19	13	316	100	+0	-0	—	—	+7	0.8
2019	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	424	367	102	19	2	19	45	93	5	5	4	278	365	496	860	218	317	22	11	373	144	+21	-1	—	—	+12	3.3
2019	22	ROK	AZL Dodgers Lasorda	—	16	14	7	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	500	562	643	1.205	143	538	6	12	531	264	+3	-0	—	—	+0	0.3
2019	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	59	47	9	4	0	1	11	11	0	0	1	191	345	340	685	149	222	19	19	314	98	-0	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	440	369	90	27	1	14	49	100	15	6	4	244	356	436	792	192	290	23	11	350	126	+13	-0	—	—	+12	2.6
2022	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	156	132	34	5	3	5	21	36	3	0	0	258	372	455	826	197	319	23	13	369	140	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	295	243	65	16	0	11	43	50	5	1	2	267	387	469	856	202	292	17	15	378	147	+16	-1	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	550	460	127	42	1	20	79	149	7	4	1	276	390	502	892	226	363	27	14	392	158	+36	+0	—	—	+16	5.3
2024	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	403	343	88	17	0	13	48	90	7	4	2	257	359	420	779	163	310	22	12	347	124	+11	+0	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	27	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	82	69	16	4	1	2	12	18	0	0	0	232	346	406	751	174	286	22	15	335	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	199	163	41	11	0	2	28	36	7	1	0	252	384	356	740	104	310	18	14	343	121	+5	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	28	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	68	60	9	2	0	2	6	20	1	0	0	150	235	283	519	133	184	29	9	238	40	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	213	5	2	213	290	339	+1	+0	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	14	5	213	290	339	+2.4	+1.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Devin Mann (OGILVIE)	29	50	40	45	60	209/290/334	125	278	5	2	28%	8%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phillip Evans 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	43→45	41→40	51	227/306/335	108	276	11	4	21%	9%	82	+0.5	223/288/323	100	265	11	4	19%	7%	71	-0.3	221/286/312	92	260	10	2	19%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Danny Mendick 2023 · MLB	29	49	44→45	43→50	46	240/300/357	117	301	12	7	24%	7%	85	+0.7	231/290/367	136	278	15	14	22%	7%	83	+0.6	223/282/357	134	264	16	15	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Andy González 2012 · AAA	30	48→53	42→40	47→50	50	233/303/335	102	291	10	6	23%	9%	80	+0.4	213/286/324	111	260	11	6	21%	9%	71	-0.3	199/278/308	109	239	11	4	21%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Chris Nelson 2015 · MLB	29	49→52	42→50	43→50	45	236/290/339	103	300	10	5	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/257/300	91	257	8	6	21%	5%	51	-1.7	187/228/258	71	226	5	3	20%	4%	24	-1.3
✕Nevin Ashley 2014 · AAA	29	46→51	44→45	47→45	44	225/288/347	122	288	12	7	26%	6%	77	+0.1	222/285/334	112	288	11	4	26%	7%	72	-0.2	219/288/325	106	285	11	1	26%	7%	69	-0.2
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2023 · AAA	29	46→56	46→45	47→45	42	232/277/361	129	281	13	8	23%	5%	76	+0.0	213/256/317	104	257	10	8	21%	5%	55	-1.4	203/243/290	87	241	9	5	20%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Doug Bernier 2009 · AAA	29	49→54	41→40	45	50	232/311/331	99	302	8	5	24%	9%	83	+0.6	204/275/282	78	287	4	7	28%	8%	55	-1.4	240/293/328	88	301	8	6	22%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2016 · MLB	29	43→53	46→45	50→45	47	215/284/346	131	266	13	8	24%	8%	76	+0.0	200/259/317	117	247	12	6	24%	6%	58	-1.2	187/243/291	105	229	12	4	24%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2015 · AAA	29	46→49	43→45	41→50	45	227/302/335	108	290	12	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	223/279/314	91	309	8	6	29%	5%	65	-0.7	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Tony Schrager 2006 · AAA	29	43	47→45	43→45	50	217/290/352	136	259	15	7	22%	9%	80	+0.4	232/296/358	126	295	11	8	24%	8%	84	+0.6	262/328/376	114	349	3	0	24%	7%	95	+0.3
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2021 · MLB	30	47→52	45	47→45	42	235/280/356	122	290	13	7	24%	5%	76	+0.0	222/276/349	127	293	14	13	28%	6%	72	-0.2	202/260/316	113	267	14	14	29%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Craig Stansberry 2011 · MLB	29	48→47	43→50	44→50	47	234/292/349	114	282	11	9	21%	7%	79	+0.3	224/282/341	117	296	11	14	27%	7%	73	-0.1	195/262/295	100	275	9	18	31%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2015 · MLB	29	47→50	45	41→45	48	227/306/348	121	314	14	3	30%	10%	85	+0.7	203/280/327	124	303	13	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	183/264/300	117	281	13	2	37%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Damek Tomscha 2021 · AAA	29	43→53	45	43→40	40	216/270/334	119	274	14	5	26%	5%	66	-0.6	211/266/332	121	291	13	6	31%	5%	65	-0.7	193/248/306	113	266	12	1	31%	5%	46	-1.1
✕David Vidal 2019 · AAA	29	46→45	43→45	48→30	43	224/275/335	111	279	10	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	224/286/350	126	284	15	6	25%	8%	78	+0.2	215/283/336	121	268	16	3	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Austin Romine 2018 · MLB	29	46→53	42→45	46→45	44	227/273/334	107	272	10	4	20%	5%	67	-0.5	244/289/381	137	303	16	4	24%	6%	86	+0.8	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	45→50	46→45	43	229/281/353	124	295	12	4	26%	6%	76	+0.0	203/248/308	105	271	9	8	28%	5%	50	-1.8	162/203/250	88	217	7	7	28%	5%	13	-1.3