Anthony Eyanson

P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.8 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP50OGV rank#25ETA2028MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	21	MIX2 levels	22	21	99	1.54	2.37	37.1%	9.2%	—	K 29.7% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.27
2027PROJ	22	MLBBAL	1	1	6	3.74	3.74	28.2%	8.3%	0.1
2028PROJ52% MLB	23	MLBBAL	11	11	61	3.77	3.72	28.3%	7.9%	1.3
2029PROJ71% MLB	24	MLBBAL	17	17	96	3.72	3.67	28.4%	7.6%	2.1

Next 3 projected WAR 3.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$11M2033Arb-3$14M

Career WAR2.0 WAR median (P10 -0.9 / P90 34, comp-based) · star 8% · didn't stick 55%

CompsJosé De León (age 22) · Kyle Brnovich (age 23) · Gavin Stone (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10496vR 88

ERA3.74

FIP3.74

K%28.2%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%19.9%

Proj IP95

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$80M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.8	$18M	+$13M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+2.7	$16M	+$9M
2033	Arb-3	$14M	+2.6	$14M	+$6M
Totals		$34M		$88M	+$68M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	37.1%	9.2%	27.9%	2.1%	1.54	2.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BAL	1	1	6	25	7	2	1	100%	6.0	28.2%	8.3%	19.9%	2.9%	3.74	3.74	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	22	22	118	498	141	39	14	100%	5.4	28.3%	7.9%	20.5%	2.9%	3.70	3.65	+2.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	24	24	134	568	162	43	16	100%	5.6	28.4%	7.6%	20.8%	2.8%	3.65	3.60	+2.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	24	24	142	599	171	45	17	100%	5.9	28.5%	7.5%	21.0%	2.8%	3.61	3.57	+3.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	24	24	142	600	171	45	17	100%	5.9	28.6%	7.4%	21.1%	2.8%	3.59	3.56	+3.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	23	23	140	589	168	44	17	100%	6.1	28.6%	7.5%	21.0%	2.9%	3.60	3.60	+3.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	22	22	134	568	162	44	17	100%	6.1	28.4%	7.7%	20.8%	3.0%	3.65	3.69	+2.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	21	21	127	535	151	42	17	100%	6.0	28.2%	7.9%	20.3%	3.1%	3.75	3.82	+2.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	19	19	116	491	137	40	16	100%	6.1	27.9%	8.2%	19.7%	3.3%	3.90	3.99	+2.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	17	17	105	442	121	38	16	100%	6.2	27.5%	8.6%	18.9%	3.6%	4.08	4.20	+1.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	15	15	92	390	105	35	15	100%	6.2	27.0%	8.9%	18.1%	3.8%	4.28	4.42	+1.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	13	13	80	337	89	32	14	100%	6.1	26.5%	9.4%	17.1%	4.1%	4.52	4.67	+0.7
2039	34	MLB MLE	BAL	11	11	68	287	74	28	13	100%	6.2	25.9%	9.9%	16.1%	4.4%	4.78	4.95	+0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	11	11	61	258	73	20	8	100%	5.5	28.3%	7.9%	20.5%	3.0%	3.77	3.72	+1.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	17	17	96	405	115	31	12	100%	5.6	28.4%	7.6%	20.8%	3.0%	3.72	3.67	+2.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	20	20	116	490	140	37	14	100%	5.8	28.5%	7.5%	21.0%	3.0%	3.68	3.64	+2.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	21	21	125	528	151	39	16	100%	6.0	28.6%	7.4%	21.1%	3.0%	3.66	3.63	+2.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	21	21	126	532	152	40	16	100%	6.0	28.6%	7.5%	21.0%	3.0%	3.67	3.67	+2.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	21	21	124	524	149	40	16	100%	5.9	28.4%	7.7%	20.8%	3.1%	3.72	3.76	+2.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	20	20	118	498	140	39	16	100%	5.9	28.2%	7.9%	20.3%	3.3%	3.83	3.90	+2.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	18	18	109	460	128	38	16	100%	6.1	27.9%	8.2%	19.7%	3.5%	3.98	4.07	+1.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	99	418	115	36	16	100%	6.2	27.5%	8.6%	18.9%	3.7%	4.17	4.29	+1.4
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	15	15	88	372	100	33	15	100%	5.9	27.0%	8.9%	18.1%	4.0%	4.37	4.51	+1.0
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	13	13	76	321	85	30	14	100%	5.8	26.5%	9.4%	17.1%	4.3%	4.62	4.77	+0.6
2039	34	MLB CTX	BAL	10	10	61	258	67	25	12	100%	6.1	25.9%	9.9%	16.1%	4.6%	4.89	5.06	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		203	203	1200	5068	1417	409	170	100%	5.9	28.0%	8.1%	19.9%	3.4%	3.94	3.61	+26.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	236	68	28	100%	5.9	28.0%	8.1%	19.9%	3.4%	3.94	3.61	+4.4
Career	—	MLE		22	21	99	380	113	39	10	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+25.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	42	200	765	227	78	19	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAChesapeake Baysox · 79 IPFIP 2.73 → 3.67 (+0.94)K% 34.6% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	34.63%	—	×0.810	28.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.36%	—	×1.100	11.39%
HR / BF /BF	2.27%	÷1.000	×1.200	2.72%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.73 → 3.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 20 IPFIP 0.36 → 1.57 (+1.20)K% 47.9% → 36.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	47.89%	—	×0.770	36.87%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.23%	—	×1.150	4.86%
HR / BF /BF	1.41%	÷1.000	×1.250	1.76%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 0.36 → 1.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Eyanson (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.9%	—	3.60	28.4%	20.8%	394	-0.14	—	—	—
José De León R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	22	SP	3.50	27.9%	8.6%	3.0%	.295	3.62	25.9%	17.9%	130	+0.12	3.24	445	88
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	85
Gavin Stone R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	22	SP	3.15	27.3%	7.8%	2.5%	.385	3.59	22.9%	14.5%	394	+0.44	2.39	500	84
Spencer Strider R 2021 · 3.37 FIP	22	SP	3.37	30.7%	11.6%	2.5%	.298	2.16	37.4%	29.6%	318	-1.21	1.65	589	84
Jaden Hamm R 2024 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP	3.79	23.5%	8.9%	2.8%	.273	4.79	17.1%	7.3%	83	+1.00	3.79	182	83
Chase Hampton R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	26.1%	9.5%	3.5%	.296	7.55	16.7%	-0.5%	36	+3.51	4.04	142	81
Owen Wild R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	22	SP	3.67	23.2%	7.2%	2.9%	.319	4.90	21.2%	12.1%	166	+1.23	3.67	287	81
German Nunez R 2024 · 3.00 FIP	22	SP	3.00	24.8%	6.8%	2.1%	.298	3.36	22.1%	11.2%	19	+0.36	2.27	151	80
Chase Silseth R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	22	SP	4.42	25.2%	9.3%	4.1%	.260	4.18	21.3%	9.7%	165	-0.24	3.23	337	80
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	79
Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	23	SP	3.87	24.0%	7.6%	3.4%	.360	4.59	22.7%	15.9%	243	+0.72	3.87	512	79
Gavin Williams R 2022 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	26.2%	9.9%	2.4%	.238	3.87	25.1%	14.3%	398	+0.43	3.39	697	79
Davis Daniel R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	24	SP	3.93	25.8%	7.7%	3.7%	.313	4.15	19.3%	12.4%	283	+0.22	3.04	593	79
Carson Ragsdale R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.27	25.0%	14.6%	148	+0.06	2.00	352	78
Cole Henry R 2021 · 2.96 FIP	22	SP	2.96	29.8%	7.8%	2.5%	.233	4.99	21.8%	7.7%	56	+2.03	2.96	186	78
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	78
Mason Black R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP	3.95	22.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.297	4.62	21.2%	11.3%	364	+0.67	3.95	569	78
Tanner Bibee R 2022 · 3.13 FIP	23	SP	3.13	25.5%	5.9%	2.6%	.287	3.58	23.9%	16.9%	513	+0.45	3.13	834	78
Tink Hence R 2024 · 2.64 FIP	21	SP	2.64	27.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.300	6.15	17.4%	1.0%	20	+3.51	2.07	248	77
Hayden Wesneski R 2021 · 3.79 FIP	23	SP	3.79	23.2%	7.2%	3.1%	.295	4.16	22.5%	14.9%	336	+0.37	3.31	561	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.5	115	28.0%	8.1%	1.22	3.84
Rich Hill ('25)	7.1	101	23.9%	9.2%	1.12	4.02
Kenta Maeda ('25)	4.9	123	25.8%	7.0%	1.30	4.20
Pete Richert ('62-'74, 13 WAR*)	5.8	90	24.4%*	8.8%*	1.26*	4.04*
Frankie Montas ('25)	3.9	98	23.6%	8.2%	1.20	4.20
Bobby Bolin ('61-'73, 12 WAR*)	7.9	121	22.7%*	9.6%*	1.33*	4.11*
Joe Hesketh ('84-'94, 10 WAR*)	4.8	87	23.2%*	8.8%*	1.07*	3.95*