Anthony Eyanson — OGILVIE

Anthony Eyanson P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.4 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 89

ERA3.77

FIP3.77

K%27.7%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%19.7%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$65M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF6060

CTRL5555

CMD5055

K†6565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-1	$9M	+2.7	$17M	+$11M
2031	Arb-2	$15M	+2.9	$17M	+$9M
2032	Arb-3	$21M	+2.8	$15M	+$4M
Totals		$47M		$88M	+$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A+ RAW	BAL	5	5	20	71	34	3	1	100%	4.1	47.9%	4.2%	43.7%	1.4%	0.44	0.36	—
2026	21	AA RAW	BAL	17	16	79	309	107	32	7	94%	4.6	34.6%	10.4%	24.3%	2.3%	1.82	2.73	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	28	28	141	595	167	45	17	100%	5.0	28.1%	7.5%	20.6%	2.9%	3.71	3.64	+2.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	33	33	175	739	210	53	21	100%	5.3	28.4%	7.2%	21.2%	2.8%	3.64	3.56	+2.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	31	31	176	744	213	52	21	100%	5.7	28.6%	7.0%	21.6%	2.8%	3.57	3.50	+3.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	30	30	176	744	215	51	21	100%	5.9	28.8%	6.9%	22.0%	2.8%	3.51	3.46	+3.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	29	29	176	744	216	51	21	100%	6.1	29.1%	6.9%	22.2%	2.8%	3.47	3.44	+3.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	29	29	174	733	213	51	21	100%	6.0	29.0%	6.9%	22.1%	2.9%	3.47	3.48	+3.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	28	28	168	711	206	50	21	100%	6.0	28.9%	7.1%	21.9%	3.0%	3.52	3.56	+2.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	27	27	161	679	195	50	21	100%	6.0	28.7%	7.3%	21.4%	3.1%	3.62	3.69	+2.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	25	25	151	638	181	49	21	100%	6.0	28.3%	7.6%	20.7%	3.3%	3.77	3.87	+1.9
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	24	24	141	595	166	47	21	100%	5.9	27.9%	8.0%	20.0%	3.5%	3.95	4.07	+1.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	22	22	130	551	151	46	21	100%	5.9	27.5%	8.4%	19.1%	3.8%	4.16	4.30	+0.9
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	20	20	120	505	136	44	21	100%	6.0	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	4.1%	4.39	4.55	+0.5
2039	34	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	109	459	121	43	20	100%	6.0	26.4%	9.3%	17.1%	4.4%	4.65	4.82	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	14	14	71	300	84	22	9	100%	5.1	28.1%	7.5%	20.6%	3.0%	3.78	3.71	+1.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	24	24	128	540	153	39	16	100%	5.3	28.4%	7.2%	21.2%	3.0%	3.71	3.63	+2.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	146	616	176	43	18	100%	5.6	28.6%	7.0%	21.6%	3.0%	3.64	3.57	+2.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	27	27	156	659	190	45	19	100%	5.8	28.8%	6.9%	22.0%	2.9%	3.58	3.53	+2.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	27	27	161	680	198	47	20	100%	6.0	29.1%	6.9%	22.2%	2.9%	3.54	3.51	+2.9
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	27	27	161	680	197	47	20	100%	6.0	29.0%	6.9%	22.1%	3.0%	3.54	3.55	+2.8
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	158	667	193	47	21	100%	6.1	28.9%	7.1%	21.9%	3.1%	3.59	3.63	+2.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	153	646	185	47	21	100%	5.9	28.7%	7.3%	21.4%	3.3%	3.70	3.77	+2.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	24	24	144	608	172	46	21	100%	6.0	28.3%	7.6%	20.7%	3.5%	3.85	3.95	+1.8
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	22	22	134	566	158	45	21	100%	6.1	27.9%	8.0%	20.0%	3.7%	4.04	4.16	+1.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	21	21	124	524	144	44	21	100%	5.9	27.5%	8.4%	19.1%	4.0%	4.25	4.39	+0.9
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	19	19	114	481	130	42	20	100%	6.0	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	4.2%	4.49	4.65	+0.5
2039	34	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	98	414	109	39	19	100%	6.1	26.4%	9.3%	17.1%	4.6%	4.76	4.93	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		298	298	1747	7378	2090	554	247	100%	5.9	28.3%	7.5%	20.8%	3.3%	3.84	3.49	+30.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	239	63	28	100%	5.9	28.3%	7.5%	20.8%	3.3%	3.84	3.49	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		22	21	99	380	113	39	10	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+26.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	42	200	765	227	78	19	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Eyanson (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.77	27.7%	8.0%	2.9%	—	3.56	28.4%	21.2%	492	-0.21	—	—	—
Kumar Rocker R 2023 · 2.86 FIP	23	SP	2.86	29.1%	7.3%	2.4%	.317	3.93	22.0%	13.5%	250	+1.07	1.93	278	86
Jimmy Joyce R 2021 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP	3.78	25.0%	9.0%	3.0%	.341	4.03	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.25	3.39	259	86
Andrew Hoffmann R 2021 · 3.17 FIP	21	SP	3.17	23.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.275	4.91	18.6%	8.8%	311	+1.74	3.17	421	84
Cole Henry R 2021 · 2.96 FIP	22	SP	2.96	29.8%	7.8%	2.5%	.233	4.99	21.8%	7.7%	56	+2.03	2.96	186	83
Owen White R 2021 · 2.99 FIP	21	SP	2.99	29.6%	10.5%	1.9%	.343	4.74	17.8%	7.8%	288	+1.75	2.99	402	78
David Sandlin R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	22	SP	4.05	24.8%	6.5%	4.0%	.360	4.39	21.4%	12.1%	253	+0.34	3.94	312	76
Angel Jimenez R 2023 · 3.31 FIP	20	SP	3.31	23.3%	5.1%	2.8%	.368	4.43	21.1%	10.0%	144	+1.12	3.24	223	76
Alec Hansen R 2016 · 3.62 FIP	21	SP	3.62	30.1%	12.7%	2.7%	.150	4.34	21.8%	6.0%	222	+0.72	3.34	288	75
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	75
Jordan Johnson R 2015 · 2.93 FIP	21	SP	2.93	21.2%	5.7%	1.6%	.347	5.00	15.3%	5.2%	350	+2.07	2.93	443	75
Cade Horton R 2023 · 3.22 FIP	21	SP	3.22	26.0%	8.8%	2.2%	.273	3.60	21.6%	13.8%	181	+0.38	3.22	270	74
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	74
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	74
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	73
Nick Frasso R 2022 · 2.60 FIP	23	SP	2.60	27.2%	9.2%	1.1%	.265	3.82	19.3%	9.9%	170	+1.22	2.60	268	73
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	73
Kyle Funkhouser R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	23	SP	3.28	24.5%	8.7%	2.1%	.329	4.40	19.0%	5.9%	193	+1.12	3.28	387	73
Shohei Ohtani R 2018 · 3.43 FIP	24	SP	3.43	29.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.267	3.14	29.3%	21.4%	130	-0.29	1.76	613	72
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	72
Gavin Stone R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	22	SP	3.15	27.3%	7.8%	2.5%	.385	3.61	22.7%	14.3%	394	+0.46	2.39	485	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.1	144	28.3%	7.5%	1.23	3.75
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45