Anthony Eyanson — OGILVIE

Anthony Eyanson P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.1 · 2030

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 95 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10496vR 87

ERA3.71

FIP3.71

K%28.2%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%20.1%

ROS IP95

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$58M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6060

CTRL5555

CMD5055

K†6565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$12M	+$12M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$15M	+$15M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+2.6	$16M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.5	$14M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$18M	+2.3	$12M	+$2M
Totals		$43M		$76M	+$51M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	99	380	141	35	8	95%	4.5	37.1%	9.2%	27.9%	2.1%	1.54	2.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BAL	19	19	95	401	113	33	12	100%	5.0	28.2%	8.2%	20.1%	2.9%	3.71	3.71	+1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	25	25	133	560	159	43	16	100%	5.3	28.4%	7.7%	20.7%	2.9%	3.68	3.62	+2.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	29	29	162	684	195	51	19	100%	5.6	28.5%	7.4%	21.0%	2.8%	3.63	3.57	+2.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	30	30	177	747	213	55	21	100%	5.9	28.5%	7.3%	21.2%	2.8%	3.59	3.55	+2.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	30	30	177	747	214	54	21	100%	5.9	28.6%	7.3%	21.3%	2.8%	3.57	3.54	+2.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	29	29	174	736	210	54	21	100%	6.0	28.6%	7.4%	21.2%	2.9%	3.58	3.58	+2.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	28	28	169	714	203	54	21	100%	6.0	28.5%	7.5%	21.0%	3.0%	3.63	3.66	+2.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	27	27	162	682	192	53	21	100%	6.0	28.2%	7.7%	20.5%	3.1%	3.73	3.79	+2.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	25	25	152	641	179	52	21	100%	6.1	27.9%	8.0%	19.8%	3.3%	3.88	3.97	+1.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	24	24	142	598	164	50	21	100%	5.9	27.5%	8.4%	19.1%	3.6%	4.06	4.17	+1.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	22	22	131	553	149	49	21	100%	6.0	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	3.8%	4.26	4.40	+0.8
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	20	20	120	508	135	47	21	100%	6.0	26.5%	9.2%	17.3%	4.1%	4.49	4.65	+0.3
2039	34	MLB MLE	BAL	18	18	109	462	120	45	20	100%	6.1	26.0%	9.7%	16.2%	4.4%	4.75	4.92	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	12	12	66	279	79	21	8	100%	5.5	28.4%	7.7%	20.7%	3.0%	3.75	3.69	+1.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	20	20	114	481	137	36	14	100%	5.7	28.5%	7.4%	21.0%	3.0%	3.70	3.64	+1.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	25	25	144	608	174	44	18	100%	5.8	28.5%	7.3%	21.2%	3.0%	3.66	3.62	+2.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	155	654	187	48	19	100%	6.0	28.6%	7.3%	21.3%	3.0%	3.64	3.61	+2.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	158	667	191	49	20	100%	6.1	28.6%	7.4%	21.2%	3.0%	3.65	3.65	+2.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	26	26	156	659	187	49	21	100%	6.0	28.5%	7.5%	21.0%	3.1%	3.70	3.73	+2.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	25	25	150	633	179	49	21	100%	6.0	28.2%	7.7%	20.5%	3.3%	3.81	3.87	+2.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	24	24	142	600	167	48	21	100%	5.9	27.9%	8.0%	19.8%	3.5%	3.96	4.05	+1.6
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	22	22	135	570	157	48	21	100%	6.1	27.5%	8.4%	19.1%	3.7%	4.15	4.26	+1.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	21	21	124	524	141	46	21	100%	5.9	27.0%	8.8%	18.2%	4.0%	4.35	4.49	+0.7
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	19	19	114	481	128	44	21	100%	6.0	26.5%	9.2%	17.3%	4.3%	4.59	4.75	+0.3
2039	34	MLB CTX	BAL	16	16	99	418	109	41	19	100%	6.2	26.0%	9.7%	16.2%	4.6%	4.86	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		263	263	1557	6576	1835	524	224	100%	5.9	27.9%	8.0%	19.9%	3.4%	3.95	3.62	+24.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	236	67	29	100%	5.9	27.9%	8.0%	19.9%	3.4%	3.95	3.62	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		22	21	99	380	113	39	10	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+21.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	42	200	765	227	78	19	95%	4.5	29.7%	10.2%	19.5%	2.5%	1.54	3.27	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Eyanson (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.71	28.2%	8.2%	2.9%	—	3.58	28.5%	21.0%	472	-0.13	—	—	—
José De León R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	22	SP	3.50	27.9%	8.6%	3.0%	.295	3.62	25.9%	17.9%	130	+0.12	3.24	445	87
Kyle Brnovich R 2021 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP	3.95	25.1%	7.5%	3.7%	.256	5.54	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.59	3.95	338	84
Gavin Stone R 2021 · 3.15 FIP	22	SP	3.15	27.3%	7.8%	2.5%	.385	3.59	22.9%	14.5%	394	+0.44	2.39	500	84
Spencer Strider R 2021 · 3.37 FIP	22	SP	3.37	30.7%	11.6%	2.5%	.298	2.16	37.4%	29.6%	318	-1.21	1.65	589	84
Jaden Hamm R 2024 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP	3.79	23.5%	8.9%	2.8%	.273	4.79	17.1%	7.3%	83	+1.00	3.79	182	83
Chase Hampton R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	26.1%	9.5%	3.5%	.296	7.55	16.7%	-0.5%	36	+3.51	4.04	142	81
German Nunez R 2024 · 3.00 FIP	22	SP	3.00	24.8%	6.8%	2.1%	.298	3.36	22.1%	11.2%	19	+0.36	2.27	151	80
Owen Wild R 2024 · 3.67 FIP	22	SP	3.67	23.2%	7.2%	2.9%	.319	4.90	21.2%	12.1%	166	+1.23	3.67	287	80
Chase Silseth R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	22	SP	4.42	25.2%	9.3%	4.1%	.260	4.18	21.3%	9.7%	165	-0.24	3.23	337	79
Braxton Bragg R 2024 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP	3.70	22.3%	6.4%	3.0%	.325	2.58	26.2%	18.1%	59	-1.12	2.58	155	79
Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	23	SP	3.87	24.0%	7.6%	3.4%	.360	4.59	22.7%	15.9%	243	+0.72	3.87	512	79
Davis Daniel R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	24	SP	3.93	25.8%	7.7%	3.7%	.313	4.15	19.3%	12.4%	283	+0.22	3.04	593	79
Gavin Williams R 2022 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	26.2%	9.9%	2.4%	.238	3.87	25.1%	14.3%	398	+0.43	3.39	697	78
Cole Henry R 2021 · 2.96 FIP	22	SP	2.96	29.8%	7.8%	2.5%	.233	4.99	21.8%	7.7%	56	+2.03	2.96	186	78
Tanner Bibee R 2022 · 3.13 FIP	23	SP	3.13	25.5%	5.9%	2.6%	.287	3.58	23.9%	16.9%	513	+0.45	3.13	834	78
Carson Ragsdale R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SP	4.21	25.0%	10.7%	3.4%	.349	4.27	25.0%	14.6%	148	+0.06	2.00	352	78
Mason Black R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP	3.95	22.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.297	4.62	21.2%	11.3%	364	+0.67	3.95	569	77
Xzavion Curry R 2021 · 3.41 FIP	23	SP	3.41	24.6%	5.1%	3.2%	.247	4.97	18.4%	10.8%	320	+1.56	3.41	558	77
Danny Salazar R 2013 · 3.22 FIP	23	SP	3.22	30.8%	7.1%	3.3%	.298	3.46	26.2%	18.4%	432	+0.24	3.22	587	77
Tink Hence R 2024 · 2.64 FIP	21	SP	2.64	27.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.300	6.15	17.4%	1.0%	20	+3.51	2.07	248	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 497 starter careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.5	146	28.0%	7.9%	1.24	3.85
Yu Darvish ('25)	8.9	137	28.4%	7.7%	1.17	3.65
Chris Archer ('22)	6.8	151	25.4%	8.3%	1.09	3.93
Lance Lynn ('24)	10.0	154	23.7%	8.3%	1.04	3.74
Trevor Bauer ('21)	6.5	162	25.9%	9.0%	1.11	3.79
Danny Salazar ('19)	3.0	118	27.7%	8.6%	1.14	3.82
James Paxton ('24)	4.8	95	25.3%	7.9%	1.05	3.77