Anthony Eyanson — OGILVIE

Anthony Eyanson P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 208 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.8 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 44 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110100vR 91

ERA3.96

FIP3.96

K%25.8%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%17.5%

ROS IP44

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6060

CTRL4550

K†6065

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$14M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$20M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	13	12	56	206	71	20	4	92%	4.3	27.3%	10.8%	16.5%	2.4%	1.29	3.45	+0.7
ROS	21	MLB	BOS	9	9	44	187	48	15	5	100%	4.9	25.8%	8.3%	17.5%	2.9%	3.96	3.96	+0.3
ROS	21	MLB	BOS	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	25.8%	8.3%	17.5%	2.9%	3.97	3.97	+0.0
2026 TOT	21	MLB	BOS	—	—	100	393	119	35	9	—	—	30.3%	9.0%	21.3%	2.4%	2.48	3.68	+2.0
2026 FULL	21	MLB	BOS	—	—	1	4	1	0	0	—	—	25.8%	8.3%	17.5%	2.9%	3.97	3.58	+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BOS	28	28	141	595	157	46	17	100%	5.0	26.4%	7.8%	18.6%	2.9%	3.89	3.82	+2.6
2028	23	MLB	BOS	33	33	175	739	198	55	21	100%	5.3	26.8%	7.5%	19.3%	2.8%	3.80	3.72	+3.4
2029	24	MLB	BOS	32	32	179	757	205	55	21	100%	5.6	27.1%	7.3%	19.9%	2.8%	3.73	3.66	+3.7
2030	25	MLB	BOS	31	31	180	760	208	54	21	100%	5.8	27.4%	7.1%	20.2%	2.8%	3.67	3.61	+3.8
2031	26	MLB	BOS	30	30	180	760	210	54	21	100%	6.0	27.6%	7.1%	20.5%	2.8%	3.62	3.59	+3.8
2032	27	MLB	BOS	30	30	177	749	206	54	21	100%	5.9	27.6%	7.2%	20.4%	2.9%	3.63	3.63	+3.7
2033	28	MLB	BOS	29	29	172	726	199	53	21	100%	5.9	27.5%	7.3%	20.1%	3.0%	3.68	3.71	+3.4
2034	29	MLB	BOS	27	27	164	694	189	52	22	100%	6.1	27.2%	7.6%	19.7%	3.1%	3.78	3.84	+3.0
2035	30	MLB	BOS	26	26	154	652	175	51	22	100%	5.9	26.9%	7.9%	19.0%	3.3%	3.93	4.02	+2.5
2036	31	MLB	BOS	24	24	144	608	161	50	21	100%	6.0	26.5%	8.2%	18.3%	3.5%	4.11	4.22	+2.0
2037	32	MLB	BOS	22	22	133	562	146	48	21	100%	6.1	26.0%	8.6%	17.4%	3.8%	4.31	4.45	+1.5
2038	33	MLB	BOS	20	20	122	516	132	47	21	100%	6.1	25.5%	9.1%	16.5%	4.1%	4.54	4.70	+1.0
2039	34	MLB	BOS	19	19	111	470	117	45	20	100%	5.9	25.0%	9.6%	15.4%	4.4%	4.80	4.97	+0.6
2027	22	MLB	BOS	14	14	71	300	79	23	9	100%	5.1	26.4%	7.8%	18.6%	2.9%	3.90	3.83	+0.8
2028	23	MLB	BOS	24	24	128	540	145	40	15	100%	5.3	26.8%	7.5%	19.3%	2.9%	3.81	3.73	+2.5
2029	24	MLB	BOS	27	27	149	629	171	46	18	100%	5.5	27.1%	7.3%	19.9%	2.8%	3.74	3.67	+3.0
2030	25	MLB	BOS	27	27	159	671	184	48	19	100%	5.9	27.4%	7.1%	20.2%	2.8%	3.68	3.62	+3.3
2031	26	MLB	BOS	28	28	165	697	192	50	20	100%	5.9	27.6%	7.1%	20.5%	2.8%	3.63	3.60	+3.5
2032	27	MLB	BOS	27	27	164	692	191	50	20	100%	6.1	27.6%	7.2%	20.4%	2.9%	3.64	3.64	+3.4
2033	28	MLB	BOS	27	27	161	680	187	50	20	100%	6.0	27.5%	7.3%	20.1%	3.0%	3.69	3.72	+3.2
2034	29	MLB	BOS	26	26	156	659	179	50	21	100%	6.0	27.2%	7.6%	19.7%	3.1%	3.79	3.85	+2.8
2035	30	MLB	BOS	24	24	147	621	167	49	21	100%	6.1	26.9%	7.9%	19.0%	3.3%	3.94	4.03	+2.4
2036	31	MLB	BOS	23	23	137	578	153	47	21	100%	6.0	26.5%	8.2%	18.3%	3.5%	4.12	4.23	+1.9
2037	32	MLB	BOS	21	21	127	536	140	46	20	100%	6.0	26.0%	8.6%	17.4%	3.8%	4.32	4.46	+1.4
2038	33	MLB	BOS	19	19	116	490	125	44	20	100%	6.1	25.5%	9.1%	16.5%	4.1%	4.55	4.71	+0.9
2039	34	MLB	BOS	17	17	101	426	106	41	19	100%	5.9	25.0%	9.6%	15.4%	4.4%	4.81	4.98	+0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			304	304	1781	7520	2018	584	241	100%	5.9	26.8%	7.8%	19.1%	3.2%	3.93	3.58	+37.9
/ 200 IP	—			34	34	200	844	227	66	27	100%	5.9	26.8%	7.8%	19.1%	3.2%	3.93	3.58	+4.3
Career	—			13	12	56	206	56	22	5	92%	4.3	27.3%	10.8%	16.5%	2.4%	1.29	3.45	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—			47	43	200	740	202	80	17	92%	4.3	27.3%	10.8%	16.5%	2.4%	1.29	3.45	+4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Eyanson (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	25.8%	8.3%	2.9%	—	3.73	26.8%	19.3%	495	-0.23	—	—	—
Andrew Hoffmann R 2026 · 3.03 FIP	21	SP	3.03	23.6%	8.1%	1.6%	.275	5.12	19.0%	8.7%	311	+2.09	3.03	420	86
Jimmy Joyce R 2027 · 3.67 FIP	22	SP	3.67	25.0%	9.0%	2.8%	.341	3.99	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.32	3.44	259	85
Dylan DeLucia R 2028 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP	3.65	21.6%	7.4%	2.6%	.241	5.26	18.3%	7.9%	176	+1.61	3.65	211	82
Cade Horton R 2026 · 3.09 FIP	21	SP	3.09	26.0%	8.8%	1.9%	.273	3.57	22.0%	13.7%	181	+0.48	3.09	270	82
Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP	4.23	21.7%	8.4%	3.5%	.329	3.55	21.5%	12.4%	178	-0.68	2.49	298	81
Kumar Rocker R 2028 · 2.94 FIP	23	SP	2.94	29.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.317	3.94	21.6%	13.6%	202	+1.00	1.95	230	81
Cole Henry R 2027 · 3.12 FIP	22	SP	3.12	29.8%	7.8%	2.8%	.233	4.91	21.8%	7.7%	56	+1.79	3.12	180	80
Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.56 FIP	23	SP-	3.56	21.9%	8.3%	2.3%	.284	3.43	20.0%	10.3%	195	-0.13	2.97	258	80
Mariano Salomon R 2026 · 3.11 FIP	21	SP-	3.11	21.0%	6.9%	1.7%	.282	4.98	18.5%	10.4%	67	+1.87	2.47	158	80
Jaden Hamm R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	21	SP	4.01	23.5%	8.9%	3.2%	.273	4.70	17.1%	7.3%	83	+0.69	4.01	182	80
Jordan Johnson R 2026 · 2.91 FIP	21	SP	2.91	21.2%	5.7%	1.6%	.347	5.12	15.3%	5.2%	350	+2.21	2.91	443	79
Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	22.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.292	5.42	19.5%	6.0%	244	+1.35	4.07	378	79
JR Ritchie R 2026 · 3.94 FIP	21	SP	3.94	22.8%	9.1%	2.9%	.260	4.47	20.4%	9.0%	234	+0.53	1.00	280	79
Kyle Brnovich R 2028 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	25.1%	7.5%	3.2%	.256	5.06	20.7%	11.0%	89	+1.37	3.69	333	79
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP	22	SP	4.00	21.9%	9.8%	2.7%	.175	4.15	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.15	3.59	307	79
Mike Vasil R 2027 · 3.71 FIP	22	SP	3.71	21.9%	10.5%	2.0%	.264	4.60	19.1%	9.4%	359	+0.89	3.71	429	78
Angel Jimenez R 2025 · 3.27 FIP	20	SP	3.27	23.3%	5.1%	2.7%	.368	3.76	21.3%	10.7%	115	+0.49	3.04	194	78
Brendan Beck R 2029 · 3.18 FIP	24	SP	3.18	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.78	20.9%	13.1%	225	+0.60	3.18	256	78
Ramon Marquez R 2025 · 3.00 FIP	20	SP	3.00	30.4%	10.6%	2.1%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	104	78
Gavin Stone R 2027 · 3.22 FIP	22	SP	3.22	27.3%	7.8%	2.6%	.385	3.71	23.0%	14.2%	394	+0.49	2.39	485	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	14	148	26.8%	7.8%	1.22	3.91
Jon Gray ('24)	10	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Lance Lynn ('24)	9	154	23.9%	8.1%	1.20	3.86
Rich Hill ('23)	9	104	25.0%	8.0%	1.12	3.65
Joe Musgrove ('24)	9	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Kenta Maeda ('24)	8	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
James Paxton ('24)	8	106	25.8%	7.7%	1.12	3.89