Cole Henry
P
Washington Nationals
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
MLB
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 111
ERA4.64
FIP4.91
K%20.7%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.374
FB+1.6 (58%)
SI (10%)
SL-1.6 (35%)
CT-1.8 (7%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 47 | 183 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 91% | 4.3 | 29.8% | 7.8% | 22.0% | 2.8% | 2.30 | 3.12 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 47 | 183 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 91% | 4.3 | 38.3% | 6.6% | 31.7% | 1.6% | 2.30 | 1.72 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 32 | 119 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 26.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 1.5% | 1.71 | 3.13 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 32 | 119 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 100% | 3.5 | 28.6% | 9.2% | 19.3% | 1.7% | 1.71 | 2.82 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 10 | 33 | 148 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 71% | 2.4 | 18.7% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.21 | 6.46 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 10 | 33 | 148 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 71% | 2.4 | 25.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 4.1% | 6.21 | 4.66 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 5 | 16 | 74 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 62% | 2.0 | 17.3% | 16.2% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.31 | 5.90 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 5 | 16 | 74 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 62% | 2.0 | 23.0% | 18.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.31 | 5.18 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 56 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 56 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.3% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.12 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 28 | 1 | 30 | 137 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 4% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 5.70 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.64 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 66 | 289 | 57 | 30 | 12 | — | — | 19.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 5.12 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 50 | 209 | 57 | 30 | 12 | — | — | 27.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 6.81 | 5.74 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 68 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 66 | 42 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 289 | 61 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 5.25 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 56 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.52 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 62 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 5.25 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 53 | 35 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.52 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 287 | 0 | 296 | 1282 | 272 | 171 | 45 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 4.94 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 865 | 184 | 115 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 35 | 213 | 912 | 204 | 105 | 33 | 27% | 1.7 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 3.85 | 4.63 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 33 | 200 | 856 | 192 | 99 | 31 | 27% | 1.7 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 3.85 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Henry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.39 | 21.2% | 7.5% | 204 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 81 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 80 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 78 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.83 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.33 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.50 | 3.11 | 313 | 78 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 78 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 77 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 77 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 77 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 1.34 | 5.19 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |