Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 67% | 1.8 | 25.9% | 3.7% | 22.2% | 3.7% | 10.12 | 3.41 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 67% | 1.8 | 25.9% | 3.7% | 22.2% | 3.7% | 10.12 | 3.48 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 112 | 449 | 134 | 39 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 25.2% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 3.39 | 4.31 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 112 | 449 | 134 | 39 | 18 | 100% | 5.1 | 29.8% | 8.7% | 21.2% | 4.0% | 3.39 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 98 | 407 | 105 | 46 | 10 | 70% | 3.6 | 24.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 3.49 | 3.91 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 98 | 407 | 105 | 46 | 10 | 70% | 3.6 | 25.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 3.49 | 3.69 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 43 | 198 | 38 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 3.9 | 10.7% | 14.4% | -3.7% | 6.5% | 5.40 | 7.60 | -1.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 43 | 198 | 38 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 3.9 | 19.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 5.57 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 8 | 57 | 248 | 68 | 30 | 2 | 24% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 0.7% | 3.16 | 3.47 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 8 | 57 | 248 | 68 | 30 | 2 | 24% | 1.7 | 27.4% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 3.16 | 2.75 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 42 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 28.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.26 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 3.74 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 3.74 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 63 | 271 | 75 | 34 | 6 | — | — | 27.6% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 2.2% | 3.34 | 3.61 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 63 | 265 | 75 | 34 | 6 | — | — | 28.1% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.34 | 3.61 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 66 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 64 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 60 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 61 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 56 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 265 | 17 | 333 | 1426 | 360 | 179 | 46 | 6% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.33 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 10 | 200 | 857 | 216 | 107 | 28 | 6% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 138 | 62 | 351 | 1485 | 341 | 174 | 47 | 45% | 2.5 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 3.69 | 4.37 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 35 | 200 | 846 | 195 | 99 | 27 | 45% | 2.5 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 3.69 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Silseth (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 23.6% | 13.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.62 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 179 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 75 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 70 |
| Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 70 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 70 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 70 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 70 |
| Austin Vernon R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.1% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 261 | 70 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 69 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 69 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 69 |
| Yunior Tur R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.61 | 25.7% | 12.5% | 2.0% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 299 | 68 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 275 | 68 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.5% | .367 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.49 | 3.70 | 258 | 68 |
| Layne Henderson R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.94 | 24.9% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .277 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 82 | +0.69 | 3.91 | 233 | 68 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.53 | 13.7% | 3.1% | 41 | +0.03 | 4.50 | 119 | 68 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 68 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.65 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .267 | 4.98 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.33 | 3.65 | 121 | 68 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 68 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.69 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.84 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 66 | +0.15 | 3.31 | 166 | 68 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 60 | 24.7% | 13.7% | 1.09 | 4.50 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |