Chase Silseth — OGILVIE

Chase Silseth P Texas Rangers

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 217 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA3.87

FIP4.12

K%24.1%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7095.9

Whiff%

p9032.5%

p6825.6%

xwOBA vs

p470.315

SI (13%)

FB-0.9 (55%)

SL-1.0 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	5	27	7	1	1	67%	1.8	25.9%	3.7%	22.2%	3.7%	10.12	3.41	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	2	5	27	7	1	1	67%	1.8	25.9%	3.7%	22.2%	3.7%	10.12	3.48	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	112	449	134	39	18	100%	5.1	25.2%	9.3%	15.9%	4.1%	3.39	4.42	+0.6
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	112	449	134	39	18	100%	5.1	29.8%	8.7%	21.2%	4.0%	3.39	3.84	+1.4
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	19	98	407	105	46	10	70%	3.6	23.8%	10.8%	12.9%	2.4%	3.49	3.80	+1.3
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	19	98	407	105	46	10	70%	3.6	23.8%	10.8%	12.9%	2.4%	3.49	3.80	+1.3
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	19	98	407	105	46	10	70%	3.6	25.8%	11.3%	14.5%	2.5%	3.49	3.69	+1.4
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	11	43	198	38	22	9	100%	3.9	10.1%	12.4%	-2.2%	5.7%	5.40	6.93	-1.0
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	11	43	198	38	22	9	100%	3.9	10.1%	12.4%	-2.2%	5.7%	5.40	6.93	-1.0
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	11	43	198	38	22	9	100%	3.9	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	4.5%	5.40	5.57	-0.3
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	8	57	248	68	30	2	24%	1.7	21.2%	12.9%	8.4%	0.7%	3.16	3.30	+0.9
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	8	57	248	68	30	2	24%	1.7	21.2%	12.9%	8.4%	0.7%	3.16	3.30	+0.9
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	8	57	248	68	30	2	24%	1.7	27.4%	12.1%	15.3%	0.8%	3.16	2.75	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			101	17	155	683	168	77	25	17%	1.5	24.6%	11.3%	13.3%	3.7%	4.24	4.52	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	66	0	55	246	63	30	5	0%	0.8	25.6%	12.2%	13.4%	1.9%	3.44	3.52	+0.7
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	66	0	55	246	63	30	5	0%	0.8	25.6%	12.2%	13.4%	1.9%	3.44	3.52	+0.7
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	MLB RAW	TEX	66	0	55	246	63	30	5	0%	0.8	25.6%	12.2%	13.4%	2.0%	3.44	3.60	+0.6
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	TEX	66	0	55	246	63	30	5	0%	0.8	25.6%	12.2%	13.4%	2.0%	3.44	3.60	+0.6
ROS	26	MLB MLE	TEX	5	0	5	22	5	3	1	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.6%	11.6%	2.7%	3.87	4.12	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	TEX	5	0	5	21	5	3	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.6%	11.6%	2.7%	3.87	4.12	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	60	268	68	33	6	—	—	25.5%	12.2%	13.3%	2.1%	3.47	3.57	+0.7
FULL	26	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	60	255	68	33	6	—	—	26.9%	12.9%	14.0%	2.2%	3.47	3.67	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	59	0	62	261	62	33	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	12.6%	11.2%	2.6%	4.37	4.48	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	253	60	32	7	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.8%	11.0%	2.7%	4.49	4.56	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	56	0	59	249	59	31	6	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.6%	11.2%	2.6%	4.37	4.48	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54	0	57	241	57	31	6	0%	1.1	23.7%	12.8%	11.0%	2.7%	4.49	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		216	17	276	1194	290	142	38	8%	1.3	24.3%	11.9%	12.4%	3.2%	4.31	4.32	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		157	12	200	865	210	103	28	8%	1.3	24.3%	11.9%	12.4%	3.2%	4.31	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		162	62	370	1575	353	173	47	38%	2.3	22.4%	11.0%	11.4%	3.0%	3.72	4.24	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	33	200	851	190	93	25	38%	2.3	22.4%	11.0%	11.4%	3.0%	3.72	4.24	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chase Silseth (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	22.4%	12.8%	2.8%	—	4.52	23.8%	11.1%	122	-0.21	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	75
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	75
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	75
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	74
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	74
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	74
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	74
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	73
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	73
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	73
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	73
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	72
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	72
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	72
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	72
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	72
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	62	23.3%	12.7%	1.04	4.45
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22