Trent Harris
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 206 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.23
FIP4.23
K%23.9%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%15.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 81 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.7% | 3.7% | 37.0% | 0.0% | 0.43 | 0.13 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 21 | 81 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 40.7% | 3.7% | 37.0% | 0.0% | 0.43 | 0.39 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 80 | 304 | 105 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 2.2 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 2.6% | 1.81 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 80 | 304 | 105 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 2.2 | 34.5% | 8.2% | 26.3% | 2.0% | 1.81 | 2.38 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 65 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 65 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.1% | 7.9% | 19.2% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 3.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 25 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.30 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 71 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 99 | 430 | 105 | 41 | 13 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.31 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 23.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 3.85 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 68 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 64 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.3% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.3% | 4.39 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 74 | 28 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.00 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 76 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 187 | 759 | 200 | 68 | 19 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 2.6% | 2.83 | 3.41 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 0 | 200 | 810 | 214 | 73 | 21 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 2.6% | 2.83 | 3.41 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trent Harris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 23.9% | 8.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.38 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 133 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 94 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 89 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 88 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 88 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 88 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 87 |
| Seth Simmons R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.06 | 23.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .277 | 4.93 | 16.6% | 7.6% | 175 | +1.87 | 3.06 | 251 | 86 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 86 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 86 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 86 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .209 | 4.89 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.89 | 3.58 | 157 | 85 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 84 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 84 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 84 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.05 | 25.1% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .293 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 37 | +1.36 | 3.05 | 205 | 84 |
| John Gorman R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 23.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.02 | 141 | 84 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 83 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 83 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 83 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 1.21 | 4.30 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |