Michael Flynn P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125115vR 106
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
K%22.5%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -1.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.04 (44 IP)+0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201922ROKGCL Pirates304164000%1.325.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%2.250.99
201922ROKGCL Pirates304164000%1.325.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%2.251.10
202225A+Everett AquaSox214361793313319%1.714.2%8.4%5.8%1.4%7.503.74
202225A+Everett AquaSox214361793313319%1.718.4%7.3%11.2%1.7%7.503.43
202326MIX2 levels36040181611850%1.126.5%11.2%15.3%4.2%6.754.57
202326MIX2 levels36040181611850%1.133.7%9.9%23.8%2.8%6.753.02
202427MIX2 levels37148206681873%1.328.2%9.7%18.5%3.7%4.503.99
202427MIX2 levels37148206681873%1.333.0%8.7%24.3%3.4%4.503.29
202528MIX2 levels2412298151444%0.911.9%17.0%-5.1%2.5%3.685.64
202528MIX2 levels2412298151444%0.915.3%14.3%1.0%4.1%3.686.01
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas27029138321630%1.119.5%12.4%7.2%2.5%6.834.37+0.1
ROS29MLBSD150156515720%1.022.5%10.9%11.5%3.1%4.664.66-0.0
ROS29MLBSD20282100%1.022.5%10.9%11.5%3.1%4.664.66-0.0
2026 TOT29MLBSD442034723523.0%11.4%11.6%2.5%6.084.47+0.0
2026 FULL29MLBSD2711022.5%10.9%11.5%3.1%4.664.28+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBSD190208419930%1.122.2%11.1%11.2%3.3%4.734.80-0.1
202730MLBSD707307310%1.022.2%11.1%11.2%3.3%4.734.80-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career809388410%1.122.2%11.0%11.2%3.2%4.724.40+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418090220%1.122.2%11.0%11.2%3.2%4.724.40+2.3
Career148617981817489244%1.221.3%10.9%10.4%2.9%5.834.27+2.4
/ 200 IP165720091419499264%1.221.3%10.9%10.4%2.9%5.834.27+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Michael Flynn (OGILVIE) 4.66 22.5%10.9%3.1% 4.80 22.2%11.2%20 +0.14
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 85
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 84
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 82
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 81
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 80
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 80
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 80
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 29 SU 4.19 24.4%10.9%3.2%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.81 2.38 160 80
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 80
Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 29 SU 4.45 26.8%10.0%4.3%.299 3.95 25.9%8.4%19 -0.50 3.53 134 79
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 79
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 79
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 79
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 78
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 78
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 78
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 29 SU 4.16 21.2%7.9%3.4%.331 3.23 253 78
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 29 SU 3.55 22.1%7.5%2.5%.283 3.52 22.2%13.6%174 -0.03 3.15 272 78
Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 78