Collin Baumgartner P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 250 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 97
ERA4.25
FIP4.25
K%23.8%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -4.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: +0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.18 (58 IP)-0.2WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202324MIX2 levels608338300%1.424.2%9.1%15.2%0.0%4.322.20
202324MIX2 levels608338300%1.424.2%9.1%15.2%0.0%4.322.26
202425MIX2 levels45056225752320%1.326.1%11.5%14.6%1.3%1.923.05
202425MIX2 levels45056225752320%1.333.3%10.2%23.1%0.9%1.922.12
202526MIX2 levels49061255732950%1.223.9%12.3%11.5%1.8%2.663.62
202526MIX2 levels49061255732950%1.228.6%11.4%17.3%2.0%2.663.20
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes1201692202420%1.419.1%27.4%-8.3%2.4%7.716.27-0.3
ROS27MLBCOL40042176421950%1.023.8%10.7%13.0%2.6%4.254.25+0.1
ROS27MLBCOL404174200%1.023.8%10.7%13.0%2.6%4.254.25+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBCOL582686243723.1%16.0%7.1%2.4%5.234.82-0.2
2026 FULL27MLBCOL41842023.8%10.7%13.0%2.6%4.253.87+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCOL38040171401850%1.123.6%10.7%12.9%2.7%4.314.34+0.1
202728MLBCOL160177217820%1.123.6%10.7%12.9%2.7%4.314.34+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2002190211020%1.123.6%10.7%12.9%2.7%4.303.95+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084419794190%1.123.6%10.7%12.9%2.7%4.303.95+3.4
Career112014260514585100%1.324.0%14.1%9.9%1.6%3.043.73+2.8
/ 200 IP1580200852204120140%1.324.0%14.1%9.9%1.6%3.043.73+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Collin Baumgartner (OGILVIE) 4.25 23.8%10.7%2.6% 4.34 23.6%12.9%40 +0.09
Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.08 FIP 27 SU 3.08 23.3%10.5%1.1%.290 3.66 22.4%13.8%71 +0.58 3.08 124 89
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 24.2%8.9%2.6%.309 4.33 22.5%12.7%108 +0.69 2.59 309 88
Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.10 FIP 27 SU 3.10 23.2%9.3%1.4%.314 2.59 26.4%19.2%223 -0.51 1.51 544 86
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 86
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SU 3.43 22.6%10.2%1.7%.321 2.78 28.2%18.4%140 -0.65 2.29 538 85
Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP 27 SU 3.71 25.2%11.3%2.4%.252 4.13 23.5%10.8%108 +0.42 3.15 307 85
Seth Simmons R 2026 · 3.06 FIP 27 SU 3.06 23.8%9.7%1.4%.277 4.93 16.6%7.6%175 +1.87 3.06 251 85
Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SU 3.89 22.4%11.9%2.1%.247 3.24 21.7%11.9%47 -0.65 3.24 159 85
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 22.9%8.0%3.1%.295 3.60 12.4%5.2%127 -0.26 3.19 269 85
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.0%9.1%3.2%.230 3.59 23.5%7.2%40 -0.49 2.74 188 84
Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP 27 SU 3.16 26.4%8.5%2.2%.320 3.55 26.0%17.6%128 +0.39 2.85 185 84
Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 20.2%9.8%1.8%.333 4.06 17.7%10.2%75 +0.44 3.62 147 84
Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 84
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 27 SU 3.99 27.3%10.0%3.5%.280 4.01 28.5%17.2%107 +0.02 3.07 363 83
Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP 27 SU 3.30 22.9%9.1%1.8%.276 6.16 27.5%9.3%50 +2.86 2.80 155 83
Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP 27 SU 3.39 24.2%9.0%2.2%.237 2.64 33.1%24.9%88 -0.75 2.45 394 83
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 83
Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 26.8%9.6%2.5%.295 2.74 30.3%18.1%57 -0.72 2.74 239 83
Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 27 SU 3.87 22.5%11.8%2.1%.312 4.34 18.5%10.4%35 +0.47 3.74 277 82
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 27 SU 3.94 26.4%14.3%2.3%.274 4.93 22.1%8.9%69 +0.99 3.68 181 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24123.7%10.7%1.034.28
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85