Owen Wild
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 77 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%17.9%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP77
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 121 | 497 | 151 | 31 | 11 | 92% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 2.82 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 121 | 497 | 151 | 31 | 11 | 92% | 5.1 | 30.4% | 6.2% | 24.1% | 2.2% | 2.82 | 2.56 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 23 | 23 | 105 | 446 | 96 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 4.6 | 17.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.71 | 5.64 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 23 | 23 | 105 | 446 | 96 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 29 | 0 | 38 | 153 | 55 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.1% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 3.7% | 4.78 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 74 | 0 | 77 | 326 | 58 | 31 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 115 | 479 | 113 | 47 | 17 | — | — | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 4.80 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 5.19 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 75 | 0 | 78 | 331 | 62 | 31 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 75 | 0 | 78 | 331 | 64 | 31 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 73 | 0 | 77 | 326 | 64 | 30 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 43 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 50 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 141 | 0 | 148 | 625 | 121 | 58 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 4.61 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 163 | 78 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 45 | 265 | 1100 | 241 | 96 | 44 | 58% | 3.4 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 3.84 | 4.55 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 34 | 200 | 830 | 182 | 73 | 33 | 58% | 3.4 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 3.84 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Owen Wild (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 3.7% | — | 4.99 | 19.3% | 10.0% | 234 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 89 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 88 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 85 |
| Thomas Ponticelli R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.29 | 15.3% | 2.9% | 163 | +0.56 | 2.59 | 367 | 85 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 85 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .277 | 3.65 | 19.4% | 11.4% | 83 | -0.37 | 3.43 | 167 | 85 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 84 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 84 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 82 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 82 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.08 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .319 | 3.46 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 190 | -0.62 | 3.21 | 349 | 81 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2029 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 81 |
| Daniel Blair R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.20 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .284 | 4.38 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 78 | +0.18 | 4.20 | 171 | 80 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 80 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 79 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 79 |
| Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | .316 | 5.06 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 160 | +0.16 | 3.97 | 345 | 79 |
| Diego Granado R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.26 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | .335 | 4.40 | 15.5% | 1.1% | 40 | -0.86 | 4.40 | 110 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 78 | 18.9% | 9.3% | 1.40 | 5.05 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |