Owen Wild
P
Montgomery Biscuits
+0.4
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 230 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.0 · 2028
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.6%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.5%
IP110
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2028
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 24 | 22 | 121 | 497 | 151 | 31 | 11 | 23.2% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 2.82 | 3.68 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 23 | 23 | 105 | 446 | 96 | 39 | 16 | 17.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 4.71 | 5.42 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.79 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 20 | 20 | 110 | 466 | 96 | 42 | 16 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 115 | 483 | 103 | 45 | 16 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.64 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 23 | 23 | 124 | 523 | 110 | 46 | 18 | 21.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.71 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 24 | 24 | 131 | 552 | 118 | 48 | 19 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.67 | 4.65 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 24 | 24 | 134 | 565 | 121 | 49 | 19 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | TB | 24 | 24 | 134 | 565 | 121 | 49 | 19 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | TB | 24 | 24 | 131 | 552 | 118 | 48 | 19 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.70 | +0.9 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | TB | 23 | 23 | 127 | 536 | 113 | 47 | 19 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.76 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | TB | 22 | 22 | 122 | 517 | 108 | 46 | 19 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.79 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | TB | 21 | 21 | 118 | 497 | 102 | 45 | 18 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.92 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | TB | 20 | 20 | 112 | 474 | 96 | 44 | 18 | 20.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 4.96 | 5.02 | +0.4 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | TB | 19 | 19 | 107 | 451 | 90 | 43 | 18 | 19.9% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 5.06 | 5.13 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | TB | 18 | 18 | 101 | 425 | 83 | 41 | 17 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 5.18 | 5.25 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | TB | 17 | 17 | 94 | 397 | 76 | 39 | 16 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 5.30 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 52 | 45 | 232 | 964 | 202 | 82 | 36 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 3.72 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 39 | 200 | 831 | 174 | 71 | 31 | 20.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 3.72 | 4.43 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Owen Wild (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.5% | — | 4.67 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 388 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .298 | 4.96 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.41 | 416 | 94 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.13 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 4.2% | .327 | 3.98 | 23.2% | 13.0% | 155 | -1.15 | 2.65 | 315 | 92 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 91 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | .300 | 3.77 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.53 | 3.77 | 107 | 91 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 90 |
| Edison Frias R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 18.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .318 | 4.18 | 13.7% | 3.5% | 166 | -0.72 | 4.14 | 279 | 90 |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .279 | 4.35 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.28 | 4.35 | 254 | 90 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.52 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .271 | 5.93 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 119 | +1.41 | 4.52 | 358 | 90 |
| Kaleb Fontenot R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | .264 | 3.71 | 14.7% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.78 | 3.71 | 155 | 89 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .288 | 5.32 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.66 | 4.63 | 340 | 89 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.15 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.23 | 4.15 | 212 | 89 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.4% | 7.4% | 3.2% | .307 | 3.96 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 370 | -0.48 | 3.22 | 907 | 88 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .288 | 4.37 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 313 | +0.06 | 2.50 | 554 | 88 |
| Justin Vernia R 2025 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.32 | 17.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | .296 | 4.48 | 14.7% | 10.2% | 79 | -0.84 | 4.38 | 193 | 88 |
| Tommy Wilson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.35 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .261 | 3.08 | 22.8% | 15.9% | 15 | -1.27 | 3.08 | 129 | 88 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.71 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.10 | 4.71 | 160 | 88 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.66 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | .261 | 4.22 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.44 | 3.50 | 368 | 88 |
| Austin Cates R 2024 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 110 | 87 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 87 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.88 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .282 | 9.12 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.24 | 4.88 | 105 | 87 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $3M | +$1M |
| Totals | $7M | $31M | +$24M | ||