Owen Wild — OGILVIE

Owen Wild P Durham Bulls

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 230 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%17.9%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	23.2%	7.2%	15.9%	2.9%	2.82	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	23.2%	7.2%	15.9%	2.9%	2.82	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	121	497	151	31	11	92%	5.1	30.4%	6.2%	24.1%	2.2%	2.82	2.56	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	4.7%	4.71	5.41	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	17.4%	9.6%	7.8%	4.7%	4.71	5.41	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	23	23	105	446	96	39	16	100%	4.6	21.5%	8.7%	12.8%	3.6%	4.71	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	43	0	57	237	80	21	9	0%	1.3	27.7%	8.7%	19.0%	4.2%	4.87	4.18	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	43	0	57	237	80	21	9	0%	1.3	27.7%	8.7%	19.0%	4.2%	4.87	4.18	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	TB	16	0	21	80	33	9	1	0%	1.3	41.2%	11.2%	30.0%	1.2%	3.43	1.73	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	TB	27	0	36	157	47	12	8	0%	1.3	29.9%	7.6%	22.3%	5.1%	5.70	4.34	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	TB	6	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.1	17.9%	9.2%	8.7%	3.5%	5.07	5.07	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	64	264	85	23	10	—	—	32.2%	8.9%	23.3%	3.8%	4.89	4.27	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TB	105	0	111	467	87	42	16	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.9%	9.7%	3.5%	4.96	4.93	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	105	0	111	467	89	41	16	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	3.4%	4.88	4.86	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	104	0	109	460	89	41	16	0%	1.0	19.3%	8.8%	10.4%	3.5%	4.86	4.87	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	101	0	106	446	86	40	16	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.9%	10.3%	3.5%	4.90	4.94	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	96	0	101	426	81	39	16	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.2%	9.8%	3.7%	5.00	5.07	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	90	0	95	400	74	38	16	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.5%	9.1%	3.9%	5.15	5.24	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	TB	50	0	53	224	42	20	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.9%	9.7%	3.5%	4.96	4.93	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	73	0	77	325	62	29	11	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.8%	10.3%	3.4%	4.88	4.86	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	82	0	86	363	70	32	13	0%	1.0	19.3%	8.8%	10.4%	3.5%	4.86	4.87	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	86	0	90	380	73	34	13	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.9%	10.3%	3.5%	4.90	4.94	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	85	0	89	376	71	34	14	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.2%	9.8%	3.7%	5.00	5.07	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	82	0	86	363	68	34	14	0%	1.0	18.6%	9.5%	9.1%	3.9%	5.15	5.24	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		459	0	481	2033	386	184	73	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.6%	4.96	4.61	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	76	30	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.6%	4.96	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		91	45	285	1184	261	100	45	49%	3.1	22.0%	8.4%	13.6%	3.8%	3.92	4.41	-3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	32	200	832	183	70	32	49%	3.1	22.0%	8.4%	13.6%	3.8%	3.92	4.41	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Owen Wild (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	17.9%	9.2%	3.5%	—	4.89	19.0%	10.2%	330	-0.18	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	89
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	87
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	87
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	86
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	86
T.J. Weir R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	24	SW	3.97	20.0%	9.1%	2.5%	.319	3.43	19.0%	9.6%	190	-0.54	3.15	349	85
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	84
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	83
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	82
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.28	14.8%	3.5%	163	+0.78	2.59	367	82
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	82
Diego Granado R 2021 · 5.62 FIP	24	SW	5.62	17.2%	8.5%	5.3%	.335	4.35	15.5%	1.1%	40	-1.27	4.35	110	82
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	82
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	81
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	81
Josh DeGraaf R 2017 · 3.90 FIP	24	SW	3.90	15.5%	7.7%	2.1%	.295	4.52	17.2%	10.1%	121	+0.62	3.90	320	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.88	21.5%	9.9%	274	-0.11	4.06	464	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	101	18.9%	9.0%	1.38	4.97
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38