Peyton Pallette
P
Cleveland Guardians
+0.5
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
xFIP4.19
SIERA3.48
K%24.5%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%14.0%
IP70
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†6060
FB+1.0 (53%)
SL+0.9 (21%)
CH (1%)
CU (24%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 72 | 320 | 78 | 41 | 8 | 18.0% | 15.1% | 3.7% | 4.12 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 32 | 12 | 82 | 356 | 95 | 34 | 7 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.47 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 52 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 27.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 3.67 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 65 | 28 | 7 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 70 | 299 | 74 | 31 | 8 | 24.7% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.82 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 70 | 298 | 74 | 30 | 8 | 24.9% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 73 | 30 | 8 | 24.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 69 | 291 | 72 | 30 | 8 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.28 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 67 | 285 | 70 | 29 | 8 | 24.5% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 67 | 29 | 8 | 24.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 64 | 28 | 8 | 24.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 61 | 256 | 61 | 27 | 8 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 57 | 26 | 8 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 54 | 26 | 8 | 23.1% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 111 | 34 | 226 | 975 | 214 | 120 | 31 | 21.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 30 | 200 | 862 | 189 | 106 | 27 | 21.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.57 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Pallette (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.26 | 24.8% | 14.6% | 210 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 91 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 90 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 90 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 89 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 89 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 89 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .312 | 3.94 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 136 | -0.09 | 3.36 | 206 | 88 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 88 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.84 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .330 | 3.91 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 61 | +0.07 | 2.52 | 179 | 88 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | .331 | 4.32 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 122 | +0.00 | 3.48 | 290 | 88 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.60 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.45 | 3.20 | 386 | 88 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 88 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 87 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.15 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.62 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.47 | 4.15 | 172 | 87 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 87 |
| Jake Barrett R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.64 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .250 | 3.83 | 24.1% | 12.5% | 118 | +0.19 | 1.48 | 230 | 87 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 87 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 86 |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.50 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.4% | .255 | 4.70 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.20 | 3.50 | 106 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2026
Service 0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2031
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $3M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $8M | $15M | +$6M | ||