Peyton Pallette
P
Cleveland Guardians
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 49 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 94
ERA4.11
FIP4.11
K%24.7%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p7028.4%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p130.356
FB+1.0 (52%)
SL+0.9 (21%)
CH (1%)
CU (24%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 72 | 320 | 78 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 3.3 | 18.0% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.12 | 5.97 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 72 | 320 | 78 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 3.3 | 24.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 4.09 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 12 | 82 | 356 | 95 | 34 | 7 | 38% | 2.6 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 4.37 | 4.86 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 12 | 82 | 356 | 95 | 34 | 7 | 38% | 2.6 | 26.7% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 2.0% | 4.37 | 3.14 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.7% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 3.91 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.5% | 10.6% | 21.9% | 2.3% | 4.06 | 2.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 28 | 0 | 37 | 169 | 41 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 4.17 | 3.80 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 51 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 51 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 86 | 377 | 92 | 52 | 8 | — | — | 24.5% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 4.14 | 3.98 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 70 | 296 | 92 | 52 | 8 | — | — | 31.3% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 4.13 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 73 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 72 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 69 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 69 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 189 | 0 | 202 | 863 | 211 | 112 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 854 | 209 | 111 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 134 | 34 | 255 | 1110 | 244 | 144 | 39 | 25% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.79 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 27 | 200 | 869 | 191 | 112 | 30 | 25% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peyton Pallette (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 25.4% | 12.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.54 | 24.8% | 12.3% | 139 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 84 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 82 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 81 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 81 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.81 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.69 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.88 | 3.16 | 253 | 81 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 81 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 81 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 23.6% | 14.2% | 1.5% | .292 | 4.23 | 18.8% | 4.6% | 87 | +0.53 | 2.97 | 231 | 81 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 81 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.29 | 22.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .273 | 5.94 | 12.7% | 1.6% | 128 | +1.65 | 3.99 | 293 | 81 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 81 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 81 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 21.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | .276 | 4.66 | 11.8% | -2.3% | 55 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 172 | 81 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 81 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 81 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 1.12 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |