Peyton Pallette — OGILVIE

Peyton Pallette P Charlotte Knights

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.14

FIP4.14

K%24.1%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5555

CMD3540

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p7028.4%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p130.356

FB+1.0 (52%)

SL+0.9 (21%)

CH (1%)

CU (24%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	72	320	78	41	8	100%	3.3	18.0%	15.1%	2.9%	3.8%	4.12	5.56	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	72	320	78	41	8	100%	3.3	18.0%	15.1%	2.9%	3.8%	4.12	5.56	—
2023	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	72	320	78	41	8	100%	3.3	24.4%	12.8%	11.6%	2.5%	4.12	4.09	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	12	82	356	95	34	7	38%	2.6	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.37	4.38	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	12	82	356	95	34	7	38%	2.6	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.37	4.38	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	12	82	356	95	34	7	38%	2.6	26.7%	9.6%	17.1%	2.0%	4.37	3.14	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	64	265	86	28	6	0%	1.2	26.7%	10.1%	16.6%	2.7%	4.06	3.60	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	64	265	86	28	6	0%	1.2	26.7%	10.1%	16.6%	2.7%	4.06	3.60	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	64	265	86	28	6	0%	1.2	32.5%	10.6%	21.9%	2.3%	4.06	2.94	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	21	97	22	16	2	0%	1.3	22.7%	16.5%	6.2%	2.1%	5.23	4.55	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	38	3	50	236	60	39	3	8%	1.3	22.7%	15.6%	7.1%	1.3%	4.11	3.88	+0.4
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	38	3	50	236	60	39	3	8%	1.3	22.7%	15.6%	7.1%	1.3%	4.11	3.88	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	CLE	22	3	30	139	38	23	1	14%	1.3	27.3%	16.5%	10.8%	0.7%	3.34	3.28	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	CLE	16	0	21	97	22	16	2	0%	1.3	22.7%	16.5%	6.2%	2.1%	5.23	4.41	+0.0
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	CLE	16	0	21	97	22	16	2	0%	1.3	22.7%	16.5%	6.2%	2.1%	5.23	4.41	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CLE	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.14	4.14	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	CLE	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.14	4.14	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	56	261	66	42	4	—	—	25.3%	16.1%	9.2%	1.4%	4.12	3.90	+0.4
FULL	25	MLB A+C	CLE	—	—	27	112	66	42	4	—	—	58.9%	37.6%	21.3%	3.3%	8.72	4.69	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	71	0	74	313	76	38	8	0%	1.0	24.3%	12.3%	12.0%	2.7%	4.48	4.47	+0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	70	0	73	308	75	37	9	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	2.8%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	67	0	71	299	72	36	9	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.1%	11.9%	2.9%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	68	285	68	35	9	0%	1.1	23.8%	12.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.70	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	CLE	60	0	64	268	63	34	9	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.6%	10.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.88	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	67	0	70	296	72	36	8	0%	1.0	24.3%	12.3%	12.0%	2.7%	4.48	4.47	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	66	0	69	291	71	35	8	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.1%	12.1%	2.8%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	64	0	67	283	68	34	8	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.1%	11.9%	2.9%	4.54	4.57	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	61	0	64	270	64	33	8	0%	1.0	23.8%	12.3%	11.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.70	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57	0	60	253	59	32	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.6%	10.9%	3.2%	4.78	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		337	0	358	1522	364	191	44	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.6%	11.3%	2.9%	4.61	4.25	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	850	203	107	25	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.6%	11.3%	2.9%	4.61	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		144	37	269	1177	256	151	33	26%	1.9	21.7%	12.8%	8.9%	2.8%	4.18	4.43	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	28	200	875	190	112	25	26%	1.9	21.7%	12.8%	8.9%	2.8%	4.18	4.43	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peyton Pallette (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.41	24.7%	11.6%	2.8%	—	4.51	24.2%	12.0%	218	+0.10	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	84
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	84
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	84
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	83
Mason Vinyard R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	22.7%	13.6%	1.5%	.270	4.67	19.3%	5.9%	147	+0.94	3.60	207	82
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	82
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	82
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	82
Anthony Vizcaya R 2019 · 3.22 FIP	25	SU	3.22	21.9%	10.8%	1.1%	.259	7.20	18.2%	5.5%	13	+3.98	3.22	115	82
Randall Delgado R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	25	SU	3.61	23.7%	10.1%	2.2%	.284	3.78	20.3%	12.4%	167	+0.17	3.09	290	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Dusty Isaacs R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	23.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.255	4.62	21.6%	9.9%	86	+0.62	3.16	253	81
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	81
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	81
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	81
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	81
Guido Knudson R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	25	SU	3.50	20.7%	11.1%	1.4%	.255	4.69	17.5%	6.7%	47	+1.19	3.50	106	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	70	24.1%	12.2%	1.12	4.55
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10