CJ Weins — OGILVIE

CJ Weins P West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 223 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153145vR 137

ERA6.33

FIP6.33

K%15.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-4.3%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	49	204	71	25	5	0%	1.4	24.7%	15.9%	8.8%	2.8%	3.49	4.55	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	49	204	71	25	5	0%	1.4	24.7%	15.9%	8.8%	2.8%	3.49	4.55	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	0	49	204	71	25	5	0%	1.4	34.8%	12.3%	22.5%	2.5%	3.49	3.06	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	0	41	190	44	38	2	0%	1.2	17.8%	23.0%	-5.2%	1.5%	3.95	5.36	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	0	41	190	44	38	2	0%	1.2	17.8%	23.0%	-5.2%	1.5%	3.95	5.36	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	35	0	41	190	44	38	2	0%	1.2	23.2%	20.0%	3.2%	1.1%	3.95	4.37	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	28	0	35	162	30	25	5	0%	1.2	14.3%	17.7%	-3.5%	3.9%	5.91	6.26	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	28	0	35	162	30	25	5	0%	1.2	14.3%	17.7%	-3.5%	3.9%	5.91	6.26	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	28	0	35	162	30	25	5	0%	1.2	18.5%	15.4%	3.1%	3.1%	5.91	5.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	DET	57	0	60	253	40	51	8	0%	1.1	15.8%	20.0%	-4.3%	3.0%	6.33	6.33	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	59	247	41	47	8	0%	1.0	16.5%	19.0%	-2.5%	3.0%	6.15	6.17	-1.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	DET	54	0	57	240	41	44	8	0%	1.1	16.9%	18.4%	-1.5%	3.1%	6.07	6.11	-1.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	20	0	21	89	15	17	3	0%	1.1	16.5%	19.0%	-2.5%	3.0%	6.15	6.17	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	DET	31	0	33	139	24	26	4	0%	1.1	16.9%	18.4%	-1.5%	3.1%	6.07	6.11	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	39	43	7	0%	1.1	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	3.1%	6.10	5.75	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	142	156	25	0%	1.1	16.7%	18.6%	-1.9%	3.1%	6.10	5.75	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		99	0	126	560	108	106	15	0%	1.3	19.3%	18.9%	0.4%	2.6%	4.29	5.31	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	0	200	889	172	168	24	0%	1.3	19.3%	18.9%	0.4%	2.6%	4.29	5.31	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
CJ Weins (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.33	15.8%	20.0%	3.0%	—	6.14	16.7%	-2.0%	115	-0.19	—	—	—
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	86
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	82
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	82
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	81
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	81
Ted Stuka R 2023 · 7.45 FIP	26	SU	7.45	15.2%	36.8%	1.8%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	5.36	105	80
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	80
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	80
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	79
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	79
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	79
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	78
Hunter Breault R 2024 · 5.98 FIP	25	SU	5.98	17.1%	17.6%	3.8%	.336	5.59	7.6%	-3.2%	45	-0.39	2.90	186	78
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	78
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	77
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	77
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	77
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.67 FIP	26	SU	5.67	17.7%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.72	19.5%	8.4%	36	+0.05	3.75	214	77
Will McAffer R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	14.5%	20.2%	1.7%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	4.68	133	77
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	16.4%	19.2%	1.19	6.19
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52