Hunter Breault — OGILVIE

Hunter Breault P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 240 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 59 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151143vR 134

ERA6.19

FIP6.19

K%10.0%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%-4.9%

ROS IP59

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL4545

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	17	71	11	4	0	0%	1.7	11.5%	6.1%	5.4%	0.0%	4.32	2.90	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	17	71	11	4	0	0%	1.7	15.5%	5.6%	9.9%	0.0%	4.32	2.50	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	65	307	68	19	12	0%	1.3	17.7%	7.5%	10.2%	4.4%	4.41	4.95	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	65	307	68	19	12	0%	1.3	22.1%	6.2%	16.0%	3.9%	4.41	4.28	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	31	158	20	11	4	5%	1.4	8.5%	7.9%	0.6%	2.9%	7.84	4.95	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	31	158	20	11	4	5%	1.4	12.7%	7.0%	5.7%	2.5%	7.84	4.55	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	36	0	40	189	42	29	5	0%	1.1	17.1%	17.6%	-0.5%	3.8%	6.08	5.98	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	36	0	40	189	42	29	5	0%	1.1	17.1%	17.6%	-0.5%	3.8%	6.08	5.98	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	36	0	40	189	42	29	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.3%	6.9%	2.6%	6.08	4.80	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	45	212	21	20	5	0%	1.2	7.6%	10.8%	-3.2%	3.2%	5.36	5.59	—
2025	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	45	212	21	20	5	0%	1.2	7.6%	10.8%	-3.2%	3.2%	5.36	5.59	—
2025	26	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	39	0	45	212	21	20	5	0%	1.2	9.9%	9.4%	0.5%	2.4%	5.36	4.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	OAK	56	0	59	249	25	37	8	0%	1.1	10.0%	14.9%	-4.9%	3.0%	6.19	6.19	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	OAK	54	0	56	237	26	34	8	0%	1.0	11.1%	14.5%	-3.4%	3.2%	6.08	6.13	-1.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	OAK	50	0	53	223	26	32	8	0%	1.1	11.7%	14.4%	-2.8%	3.4%	6.08	6.17	-0.9
2028	29	MLB CTX	OAK	16	0	17	72	8	10	2	0%	1.1	11.1%	14.5%	-3.4%	3.2%	6.08	6.13	-0.3
2029	30	MLB CTX	OAK	26	0	27	114	13	16	4	0%	1.0	11.7%	14.4%	-2.8%	3.4%	6.08	6.17	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		42	0	44	185	21	27	6	0%	1.0	11.4%	14.5%	-3.0%	3.3%	6.08	5.77	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	96	123	27	0%	1.1	11.4%	14.5%	-3.0%	3.3%	6.08	5.77	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		157	1	198	937	125	96	32	1%	1.3	13.3%	10.3%	3.0%	3.4%	5.49	5.15	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	1	200	945	126	97	32	1%	1.3	13.3%	10.3%	3.0%	3.4%	5.49	5.15	-3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hunter Breault (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.19	10.0%	14.9%	3.0%	—	6.15	11.4%	-3.1%	109	-0.04	—	—	—
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	84
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	82
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	82
Kevin Kopps R 2024 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	11.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.308	4.97	15.7%	3.2%	61	-0.06	3.45	237	79
Oscar Verdugo R 2017 · 6.31 FIP	27	SU	6.31	10.3%	13.8%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	144	78
Jesus Barraza R 2019 · 5.96 FIP	28	SU	5.96	8.7%	13.5%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	164	77
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	76
Carlos Frías R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	27	SU	6.07	10.4%	13.0%	4.0%	.299	4.42	16.9%	5.8%	31	-1.65	3.40	236	76
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	75
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	75
Tony Fiore R 2000 · 5.61 FIP	28	SU	5.61	10.8%	9.5%	4.0%	.321	4.76	14.3%	3.5%	127	-0.85	4.60	142	74
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	74
Jordan Gore R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	15.2%	18.5%	2.2%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	113	74
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	74
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	74
Dylan Rheault R 2021 · 5.76 FIP	29	SU	5.76	12.1%	18.3%	2.5%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	198	73
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	73
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	73
Grant Black R 2022 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	14.0%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	5.49	15.9%	4.6%	79	+0.29	4.46	215	73
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	10.9%	14.6%	1.23	6.12
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57