Hunter Breault P Lansing Lugnuts
Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 240 lbs A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159150vR 141
ERA6.27
FIP6.27
K%10.0%
BB%15.0%
K-BB%-5.0%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -6.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-6KBB: -4.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -2.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.20 (59 IP)-1.2WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF2020
CTRL4545
CMD2020
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels100177111400%1.711.5%6.1%5.4%0.0%4.322.90
202122MIX2 levels100177111400%1.715.5%5.6%9.9%0.0%4.322.50
202223MIX2 levels500653076819120%1.317.7%7.5%10.2%4.4%4.414.95
202223MIX2 levels500653076819120%1.322.1%6.2%16.0%3.9%4.414.28
202324MIX2 levels22131158201145%1.48.5%7.9%0.6%2.4%7.844.72
202324MIX2 levels22131158201145%1.412.7%7.0%5.7%2.5%7.844.55
202425A+Lansing Lugnuts36040189422950%1.117.1%17.6%-0.5%4.5%6.086.37
202425A+Lansing Lugnuts36040189422950%1.122.2%15.3%6.9%2.6%6.084.80
202526A+Lansing Lugnuts39045212212050%1.27.6%10.8%-3.2%3.5%5.365.75
202526A+Lansing Lugnuts39045212212050%1.29.9%9.4%0.5%2.4%5.364.93
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBOAK57060251253880%1.010.0%15.0%-5.0%3.2%6.276.27-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBOAK55058244273680%1.011.2%14.6%-3.4%3.2%6.136.16-1.1
202829MLBOAK52055233283480%1.111.9%14.4%-2.5%3.4%6.096.15-1.0
202728MLBOAK2002189101330%1.111.2%14.6%-3.4%3.2%6.136.16-0.4
202829MLBOAK29030127151840%1.011.9%14.4%-2.5%3.4%6.096.15-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career49051217253170%1.111.6%14.5%-2.9%3.3%6.115.77-0.7
/ 200 IP190020084497120270%1.111.6%14.5%-2.9%3.3%6.115.77-0.9
Career157119893712596331%1.313.3%10.3%3.0%3.5%5.495.22+0.4
/ 200 IP158120094512697331%1.313.3%10.3%3.0%3.5%5.495.22+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hunter Breault (OGILVIE) 6.27 10.0%15.0%3.2% 6.16 11.6%-2.9%113 -0.11
Carlos Frías R 2026 · 5.72 FIP 27 SU 5.72 10.4%13.0%3.4%.299 4.59 16.9%5.8%31 -1.13 3.64 204 86
Mike Hepple R 2025 · 5.74 FIP 26 SU 5.74 11.1%18.5%2.2%.271 4.34 116 85
Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.1%13.8%3.5%.335 4.38 12.6%0.6%116 -1.09 4.28 214 82
Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.23 FIP 27 SU 5.23 11.9%16.3%1.9%.308 5.15 15.9%2.1%61 -0.08 3.64 237 80
Jeff Soptic R 2024 · 5.45 FIP 25 SU 5.45 13.6%15.3%2.8%.326 5.27 124 80
Fernando Villalobos R 2029 · 5.27 FIP 30 SU 5.27 8.3%13.1%2.2%.365 4.44 11.4%3.1%109 -0.83 4.15 152 79
Roel Garcia III R 2026 · 5.46 FIP 27 SU 5.46 10.7%13.6%2.8%.247 2.69 252 79
Oscar Verdugo R 2026 · 6.69 FIP 27 SU 6.69 10.3%13.8%4.9%.277 5.39 144 78
Jack Anderson R 2026 · 5.29 FIP 27 SU 5.29 10.9%13.4%2.6%.277 2.39 250 78
David Holman R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SU 5.25 15.6%12.7%3.4%.324 5.21 9.6%0.5%107 -0.04 5.04 129 76
Tyler Mizenko R 2025 · 5.20 FIP 26 SU 5.20 13.3%10.2%3.5%.303 3.81 104 76
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 27 SU 5.37 16.4%13.6%3.5%.308 3.74 140 76
Thomas Farr R 2026 · 6.15 FIP 27 SU 6.15 9.5%12.9%4.0%.241 4.93 408 76
Jaycob Deese R 2025 · 5.90 FIP 26 SU 5.90 13.4%13.9%4.0%.350 3.27 185 76
Landon Tomkins R 2025 · 5.15 FIP 26 SU 5.15 10.7%15.1%1.9%.301 3.24 161 75
Jordan Gore R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.2%18.5%2.4%.321 3.24 113 75
Yunior Thibo R 2024 · 5.26 FIP 25 SU 5.26 14.3%15.6%2.5%.231 4.38 110 75
Jordan Jackson R 2025 · 5.80 FIP 26 SU 5.80 13.5%12.7%4.1%.338 4.24 193 75
Travis Kuhn R 2026 · 5.48 FIP 27 SU 5.48 13.9%11.6%3.8%.276 2.81 246 74
CJ Weins R 2024 · 5.65 FIP 25 SU 5.65 15.5%14.9%3.6%.292 4.42 113 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35711.0%14.7%1.266.17
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48