Kevin Kopps — OGILVIE

Kevin Kopps P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%15.3%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	0	15	55	22	6	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	10.9%	29.1%	0.0%	0.61	1.10	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	0	15	55	22	6	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	10.9%	29.1%	0.0%	0.61	1.33	—
2022	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	42	3	54	241	60	33	4	7%	1.3	20.2%	15.1%	5.1%	2.3%	4.14	4.56	—
2022	25	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	42	3	54	241	60	33	4	7%	1.3	24.9%	13.7%	11.2%	1.7%	4.14	3.67	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	70	328	81	35	3	0%	1.5	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	1.2%	3.58	3.46	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	70	328	81	35	3	0%	1.5	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	1.2%	3.58	3.46	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	70	328	81	35	3	0%	1.5	24.7%	10.7%	14.0%	0.9%	3.58	2.84	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	51	245	33	38	5	0%	1.3	11.2%	14.0%	-2.8%	2.1%	5.86	5.07	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	51	245	33	38	5	0%	1.3	11.2%	14.0%	-2.8%	2.1%	5.86	5.07	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	51	245	33	38	5	0%	1.3	13.5%	15.5%	-2.0%	2.0%	5.86	5.33	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	1	61	279	52	36	7	2%	1.4	15.3%	12.5%	2.8%	2.9%	4.84	4.99	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	1	61	279	52	36	7	2%	1.4	15.3%	12.5%	2.8%	2.9%	4.84	4.99	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	1	61	279	52	36	7	2%	1.4	18.6%	12.9%	5.7%	2.5%	4.84	4.65	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SD	4	0	4	17	3	2	0	0%	1.0	15.3%	12.4%	2.9%	2.8%	5.30	5.30	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	36	0	38	161	25	20	5	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.38	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	9	7	2	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.38	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	9	7	2	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.00	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	128	100	29	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.4%	3.3%	3.0%	5.31	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		187	4	251	1148	207	148	23	2%	1.3	18.0%	12.9%	5.1%	2.0%	4.30	4.30	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	3	200	914	164	117	18	2%	1.3	18.0%	12.9%	5.1%	2.0%	4.30	4.30	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Kopps (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	15.3%	12.4%	2.8%	—	5.38	15.7%	3.3%	38	+0.08	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	88
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	87
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	86
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	85
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	84
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	83
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	81
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	81
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	81
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	81
Francisco Rodriguez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	32	SU	4.79	11.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.281	4.04	12.1%	4.4%	139	-0.75	3.16	273	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	80
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	80
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.52	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.85	2.23	173	79
Benjamin Sandoval R 2016 · 5.13 FIP	29	SU	5.13	6.7%	11.3%	2.1%	.292	5.51	9.0%	-4.4%	49	+0.38	4.66	146	79
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	78
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	78
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	78
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	15.5%	12.4%	1.13	5.30
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14