Kevin Kopps
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.11
FIP5.11
K%18.0%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%5.3%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 10.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 0.61 | 1.10 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 0 | 15 | 55 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 10.9% | 29.1% | 0.0% | 0.61 | 1.33 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 42 | 3 | 54 | 241 | 60 | 33 | 4 | 7% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.78 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 42 | 3 | 54 | 241 | 60 | 33 | 4 | 7% | 1.3 | 24.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 4.14 | 3.67 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 70 | 328 | 81 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 3.58 | 3.64 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 70 | 328 | 81 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 3.58 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 40 | 0 | 51 | 245 | 33 | 38 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.9% | 16.3% | -4.4% | 1.9% | 5.86 | 5.23 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 40 | 0 | 51 | 245 | 33 | 38 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.5% | 15.5% | -2.0% | 2.0% | 5.86 | 5.33 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 61 | 279 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 2% | 1.4 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 61 | 279 | 52 | 36 | 7 | 2% | 1.4 | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.84 | 4.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SD | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 29 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SD | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 4.83 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 100 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 187 | 4 | 251 | 1148 | 211 | 159 | 24 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 4.47 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 149 | 3 | 200 | 914 | 168 | 126 | 19 | 2% | 1.3 | 18.3% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kevin Kopps (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 18.0% | 12.7% | 2.8% | — | 5.21 | 18.2% | 5.6% | 38 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 93 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 88 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 87 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 86 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 84 |
| Noah Song R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 83 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 83 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 83 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Drew Hayes R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 1.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 117 | 81 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.97 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.1% | .237 | 4.27 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.70 | 2.40 | 231 | 80 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.54 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 79 |
| Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 79 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 79 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 78 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 18.1% | 12.7% | 1.13 | 5.12 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |