Ryan Sublette
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148138vR 129
ERA5.74
FIP5.74
K%18.9%
BB%18.1%
K-BB%0.8%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.3% | 2.4% | 31.0% | 2.4% | 3.38 | 1.89 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.3% | 2.4% | 31.0% | 2.4% | 3.38 | 1.98 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 41 | 1 | 54 | 245 | 87 | 31 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 2.0% | 2.98 | 3.73 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 41 | 1 | 54 | 245 | 87 | 31 | 4 | 2% | 1.3 | 35.5% | 12.7% | 22.9% | 1.6% | 2.98 | 2.57 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 43 | 1 | 47 | 227 | 60 | 46 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 22.3% | -0.9% | 2.7% | 6.27 | 5.61 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 43 | 1 | 47 | 227 | 60 | 46 | 6 | 2% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 20.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 6.27 | 5.13 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 225 | 53 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 5.60 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 225 | 53 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.6% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.96 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 39 | 1 | 53 | 259 | 56 | 39 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.06 | 4.77 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 39 | 1 | 53 | 259 | 56 | 39 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 5.06 | 4.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 56 | 54 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 18.1% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.74 | 5.74 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 50 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 17.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.64 | 5.68 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 53 | 47 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 17.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.64 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 17.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.64 | 5.68 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 17.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.64 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 55 | 49 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 17.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.64 | 5.31 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 146 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 17.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.64 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 168 | 3 | 217 | 998 | 224 | 167 | 26 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.4% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 4.64 | 4.77 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 3 | 200 | 918 | 206 | 154 | 24 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.4% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 4.64 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Sublette (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.74 | 18.9% | 18.1% | 2.8% | — | 5.69 | 19.3% | 2.1% | 133 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Gregory Infante R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 84 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 82 |
| Trey Haley R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 82 |
| Haden Erbe R 2025 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 81 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 81 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.18 | 17.1% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .226 | 4.66 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 33 | -0.52 | 3.72 | 197 | 80 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.85 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 231 | 80 |
| Michael Hobbs R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 21.2% | 19.2% | 1.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 184 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 79 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 79 |
| Stevie Branche R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 78 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 78 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 78 |
| Matt Lollis R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 78 |
| Jack Ralston R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.91 | 23.3% | 18.1% | 2.7% | .338 | 3.54 | 28.3% | 18.1% | 51 | -1.37 | 3.50 | 299 | 77 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .333 | 4.50 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.24 | 3.92 | 256 | 77 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 77 |
| Connor Law R 2026 · 6.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.22 | 16.2% | 17.2% | 4.2% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 110 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 19.1% | 17.5% | 1.15 | 5.67 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |