Ryan Sublette — OGILVIE

Ryan Sublette P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%18.1%

BB%17.1%

K-BB%1.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	11	42	14	1	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	2.4%	31.0%	2.4%	3.38	1.89	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	11	42	14	1	1	0%	1.5	33.3%	2.4%	31.0%	2.4%	3.38	1.98	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	41	1	54	245	87	31	4	2%	1.3	27.3%	14.6%	12.8%	2.0%	2.98	3.74	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	41	1	54	245	87	31	4	2%	1.3	35.5%	12.7%	22.9%	1.6%	2.98	2.57	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	43	1	47	227	60	46	6	2%	1.1	21.4%	22.3%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.27	5.72	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	43	1	47	227	60	46	6	2%	1.1	21.4%	22.3%	-0.9%	2.9%	6.27	5.72	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	43	1	47	227	60	46	6	2%	1.1	26.4%	20.3%	6.2%	2.6%	6.27	5.13	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	52	225	53	37	7	0%	1.4	19.9%	17.5%	2.4%	3.8%	4.70	5.72	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	52	225	53	37	7	0%	1.4	19.9%	17.5%	2.4%	3.8%	4.70	5.72	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	52	225	53	37	7	0%	1.4	23.6%	16.4%	7.1%	3.1%	4.70	4.96	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	39	1	53	259	56	39	5	3%	1.4	17.9%	13.6%	4.4%	2.2%	5.06	4.52	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	39	1	53	259	56	39	5	3%	1.4	17.9%	13.6%	4.4%	2.2%	5.06	4.52	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	39	1	53	259	56	39	5	3%	1.4	21.6%	15.1%	6.6%	1.9%	5.06	4.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	LAD	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	18.1%	17.1%	1.0%	2.8%	5.67	5.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	68	287	53	47	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	16.5%	2.1%	2.9%	5.58	5.62	-0.8
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAD	62	0	65	274	51	44	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	16.2%	2.5%	3.1%	5.58	5.65	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAD	28	0	29	122	23	20	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	16.5%	2.1%	2.9%	5.58	5.62	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAD	36	0	38	160	30	26	5	0%	1.1	18.7%	16.2%	2.5%	3.1%	5.58	5.65	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		64	0	67	283	53	46	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	16.3%	2.3%	3.0%	5.58	5.26	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	137	27	0%	1.1	18.6%	16.3%	2.3%	3.0%	5.58	5.26	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		168	3	217	998	221	162	27	2%	1.3	22.1%	16.2%	5.9%	2.7%	4.64	4.76	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	3	200	918	203	149	25	2%	1.3	22.1%	16.2%	5.9%	2.7%	4.64	4.76	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Sublette (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	18.1%	17.1%	2.8%	—	5.63	18.6%	2.3%	133	-0.04	—	—	—
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	85
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	83
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	80
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	80
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	80
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	79
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	79
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	79
Jordan Gore R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	15.2%	18.5%	2.2%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	113	78
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	78
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	78
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	78
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	78
Connor Law R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	27	SU	6.15	16.2%	17.2%	4.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	110	77
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	77
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	17.3%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.78	18.8%	7.7%	36	+0.07	3.75	214	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	18.5%	16.6%	1.14	5.61
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99