Conor Grammes
P
Amarillo Sod Poodles
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
AA
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.9%
BB%15.3%
K-BB%5.6%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 8 | 7 | 25 | 121 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 20.4% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 7.46 | 5.76 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 14 | 0 | 20 | 100 | 37 | 14 | 3 | 28.6% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 9.15 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 40 | 6 | 59 | 264 | 82 | 44 | 5 | 24.9% | 18.5% | 1.3% | 3.51 | 4.08 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 40 | 1 | 47 | 221 | 50 | 36 | 3 | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.3% | 5.13 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 25 | 0 | 26 | 149 | 31 | 38 | 1 | 15.3% | 26.9% | 0.7% | 7.01 | 5.60 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 24 | 18 | 3 | 20.9% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 27 | — | 27 | 113 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 21.0% | 14.8% | 2.6% | 4.98 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 127 | 14 | 177 | 855 | 182 | 159 | 17 | 21.3% | 18.6% | 2.0% | 5.64 | 4.76 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 16 | 200 | 966 | 206 | 180 | 19 | 21.3% | 18.6% | 2.0% | 5.64 | 4.76 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Conor Grammes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.01 | 20.9% | 15.3% | 2.5% | — | 5.01 | 21.0% | 6.2% | 27 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 83 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.38 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.6% | .301 | 5.33 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.95 | 3.54 | 200 | 81 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 79 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 79 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 77 |
| Sean Harney R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 123 | 77 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 77 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 77 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 1.9% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 138 | 76 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.45 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 162 | 76 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 133 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 75 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.90 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 107 | 75 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +0.97 | 3.89 | 250 | 75 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.60 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 140 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.48 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 74 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.40 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .256 | 2.93 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.47 | 2.59 | 130 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.