Taylor Williams
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 35
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.55
FIP4.44
K%23.6%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p1016.4%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
SL+0.8
FB-2.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 14 | 51 | 219 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 52% | 1.9 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 0.7% | 2.98 | 2.91 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 14 | 51 | 219 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 52% | 1.9 | 27.9% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 0.9% | 2.98 | 2.52 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 55 | 245 | 59 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 2.6% | 4.25 | 3.64 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 55 | 245 | 59 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 3.57 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.76 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 15 | 0 | 15 | 67 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 9.0% | 20.9% | 1.6% | 6.14 | 2.59 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 15 | 0 | 15 | 67 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 9.0% | 20.9% | 1.5% | 6.14 | 2.49 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 116 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.76 | 5.70 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 116 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.76 | 6.14 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 50 | 3 | 63 | 284 | 68 | 23 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 1.5% | 4.69 | 3.22 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 50 | 3 | 63 | 284 | 68 | 23 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 1.8% | 4.69 | 3.07 | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 32 | 0 | 37 | 172 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.3% | 14.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 7.47 | 4.65 | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 32 | 0 | 37 | 172 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 7.47 | 4.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 193 | 44 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | SEA | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.30 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.80 | — |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 5.16 | — |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 5.30 | 5.55 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 0 | 99 | 453 | 105 | 42 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.0% | 5.29 | 3.41 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 197 | 0 | 200 | 914 | 212 | 85 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 2.0% | 5.29 | 3.41 | +4.6 | ||
| Career | — | 258 | 17 | 315 | 1401 | 304 | 142 | 32 | 7% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 4.74 | 3.81 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 11 | 200 | 889 | 193 | 90 | 20 | 7% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 4.74 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Williams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.6% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.13 | 21.6% | 10.1% | 120 | +0.69 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 87 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 86 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 83 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 82 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 81 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 79 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 76 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 75 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 75 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.71 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 46 | -0.36 | 3.08 | 349 | 74 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.15 | 27.7% | 19.7% | 183 | -0.28 | 1.99 | 488 | 74 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.68 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.97 | 268 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 43 | 22.2% | 11.2% | 1.34 | 4.83 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |