Taylor Williams — OGILVIE

Taylor Williams P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 35 RHP 5'11" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.54

FIP4.42

K%23.5%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p5125.5%

p1016.4%

xwOBA vs

p190.349

SL+0.8

FB-2.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	14	51	219	61	22	2	52%	1.9	23.2%	11.1%	12.1%	0.9%	2.98	3.02	+1.2
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	14	51	219	61	22	2	52%	1.9	27.9%	10.0%	17.8%	0.9%	2.98	2.52	+1.5
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	55	245	59	22	6	0%	0.9	24.2%	8.9%	15.3%	2.4%	4.25	3.52	+0.7
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	55	245	59	22	6	0%	0.9	24.1%	9.0%	15.1%	2.4%	4.25	3.57	+0.6
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	24	9	0%	1.2	21.9%	8.4%	13.5%	3.3%	4.33	4.15	+0.3
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	69	298	72	24	9	0%	1.2	24.2%	8.1%	16.1%	3.0%	4.33	3.76	+0.6
2020	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	15	0	15	67	20	6	1	0%	1.0	29.9%	9.0%	20.9%	1.5%	6.14	2.51	+0.4
2020	29	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	15	0	15	67	20	6	1	0%	1.0	29.9%	9.0%	20.9%	1.5%	6.14	2.49	+0.4
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	116	25	16	6	0%	1.2	19.9%	14.1%	5.8%	5.0%	5.76	5.96	-0.4
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	25	116	25	16	6	0%	1.2	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	5.2%	5.76	6.14	-0.5
2022	31	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	50	3	63	284	68	23	5	6%	1.3	21.1%	8.5%	12.6%	1.7%	4.69	3.33	—
2022	31	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	50	3	63	284	68	23	5	6%	1.3	23.9%	8.1%	15.8%	1.8%	4.69	3.07	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	14.5%	12.0%	2.4%	2.2%	7.47	4.62	—
2023	32	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	14.5%	12.0%	2.4%	2.2%	7.47	4.62	—
2023	32	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	32	0	37	172	30	23	4	0%	1.2	17.4%	13.4%	4.1%	2.3%	7.47	4.73	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			97	0	99	451	105	42	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.43	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	SEA	4	0	4	17	4	2	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.3%	13.2%	3.0%	4.54	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	SEA	44	0	46	193	44	21	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.8%	11.7%	3.3%	4.68	4.78	-0.1
2028	37	MLB MLE	SEA	38	0	40	169	36	19	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	11.3%	10.2%	3.7%	4.95	5.15	-0.3
2027	36	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.5%	10.8%	11.7%	3.3%	4.68	4.78	—
2028	37	MLB CTX	SEA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.5%	11.3%	10.2%	3.7%	4.95	5.15	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		97	0	99	453	105	42	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.41	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	914	212	85	18	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.3%	14.0%	2.0%	5.29	3.41	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		258	17	315	1401	303	138	33	7%	1.2	21.6%	9.9%	11.8%	2.4%	4.74	3.82	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	11	200	889	192	88	21	7%	1.2	21.6%	9.9%	11.8%	2.4%	4.74	3.82	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Taylor Williams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.5%	10.3%	3.0%	—	4.95	22.0%	11.0%	86	+0.53	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	87
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	87
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	83
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	83
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	81
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	80
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	78
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	78
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	78
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	77
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	77
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	76
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	76
Juan Sandoval R 2016 · 3.24 FIP	35	SU	3.24	18.2%	10.2%	0.7%	.288	4.40	16.3%	9.1%	116	+1.16	3.24	225	75
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	74
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	74
Rafael Dolis R 2022 · 3.61 FIP	34	SU	3.61	19.9%	11.9%	1.2%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	162	73
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	244	73
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	22.6%	10.8%	1.28	4.71
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78