Taylor Williams
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.2
WAR
Age 35
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP6.01
SIERA5.57
K%22.5%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.6%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p1016.4%
xwOBA vs
p190.349
SL+0.8
FB-2.8
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 27 | 14 | 51 | 219 | 61 | 22 | 2 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 0.8% | 2.98 | 3.00 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 58 | 0 | 55 | 245 | 59 | 22 | 6 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 4.25 | 3.48 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 56 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 24 | 9 | 21.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 4.33 | 4.16 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 15 | 0 | 15 | 67 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 29.9% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 6.14 | 2.36 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 20 | 0 | 25 | 116 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 5.76 | 5.95 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 50 | 3 | 63 | 284 | 68 | 23 | 5 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 4.69 | 3.36 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 32 | 0 | 37 | 172 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 15.3% | 14.0% | 2.3% | 7.47 | 4.84 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 26 | — | 26 | 109 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 258 | 17 | 315 | 1401 | 304 | 142 | 33 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.74 | 3.84 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 11 | 200 | 889 | 193 | 90 | 21 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.74 | 3.84 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Taylor Williams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.58 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 26 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 82 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 81 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 79 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 77 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 76 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 75 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 73 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.14 | 25.0% | 11.2% | 5.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 212 | 73 |
| Radhames Liz R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 72 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 72 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 71 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.