Jackson Rees — OGILVIE

Jackson Rees P Buffalo Bisons

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%23.2%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	24	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	16	0	21	97	23	7	2	0%	1.3	16.1%	9.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.06	4.47	—
2018	24	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	16	0	21	97	23	7	2	0%	1.3	23.7%	7.2%	16.5%	2.1%	5.06	3.15	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	62	236	88	15	1	0%	1.6	28.2%	7.4%	20.8%	0.4%	0.73	1.90	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	62	236	88	15	1	0%	1.6	37.3%	6.4%	30.9%	0.4%	0.73	1.19	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	3	0	3	13	2	4	0	0%	0.9	15.4%	30.8%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.38	5.70	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	3	0	3	13	2	4	0	0%	0.9	15.4%	30.8%	-15.4%	0.0%	3.38	6.10	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	2	16	69	22	6	0	13%	1.1	31.9%	8.7%	23.2%	0.0%	3.31	1.51	—
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	2	16	69	22	6	0	13%	1.1	31.9%	8.7%	23.2%	0.0%	3.31	1.51	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	22	107	30	26	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	21.1%	1.7%	2.4%	7.89	5.19	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	22	107	30	26	2	0%	1.0	22.9%	21.1%	1.7%	2.4%	7.89	5.19	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	22	107	30	26	2	0%	1.0	28.0%	24.3%	3.7%	1.9%	7.89	5.13	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	TOR	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	23.2%	12.2%	11.0%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.4%	10.4%	3.3%	4.82	4.92	-0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	TOR	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	12.4%	10.4%	3.3%	4.82	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.4%	10.4%	3.3%	4.82	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	109	27	0%	1.1	22.8%	12.4%	10.4%	3.3%	4.82	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		95	2	124	522	131	59	6	2%	1.3	25.0%	11.2%	13.8%	1.2%	3.13	3.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	3	200	844	211	95	10	2%	1.3	25.0%	11.2%	13.8%	1.2%	3.13	3.09	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Rees (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	23.2%	12.2%	3.0%	—	4.92	22.7%	10.4%	20	+0.21	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	91
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	82
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	82
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	81
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	81
Brad Boxberger R 2020 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	22.8%	10.1%	4.0%	.280	3.49	27.2%	17.5%	149	-1.16	3.01	363	77
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	77
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	75
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	74
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	74
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73
David Phelps R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	24.5%	10.9%	3.5%	.289	3.46	26.7%	16.6%	84	-0.89	2.50	373	73
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	22.7%	10.4%	2.0%	.255	4.41	24.1%	13.8%	97	+0.80	3.34	212	73
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	73