Christian Ruebeck

Christian Ruebeck P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%23.1%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%3.7%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	10	0	9	45	15	10	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	22.2%	11.1%	0.0%	5.19	3.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	10	0	9	45	15	10	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	22.2%	11.1%	0.0%	5.19	3.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	10	0	9	45	15	10	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	22.2%	11.1%	0.0%	5.19	3.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	20.6%	24.4%	-3.9%	2.9%	6.31	6.03	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	20.6%	24.4%	-3.9%	2.9%	6.31	6.03	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	41	195	53	38	4	0%	1.2	27.2%	19.5%	7.7%	2.1%	6.31	4.55	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	19.7%	4.0%	2.2%	6.81	4.78	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	23.8%	19.7%	4.0%	2.2%	6.81	4.78	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	36	0	36	175	54	30	3	0%	1.0	30.9%	17.1%	13.7%	1.7%	6.81	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	27	1	33	162	38	30	1	4%	1.2	19.0%	20.4%	-1.4%	0.7%	4.91	4.48	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	27	1	33	162	38	30	1	4%	1.2	19.0%	20.4%	-1.4%	0.7%	4.91	4.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	LAD	27	1	33	162	38	30	1	4%	1.2	23.5%	18.5%	4.9%	0.6%	4.91	3.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAD	35	0	37	157	37	29	5	0%	1.1	23.3%	18.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.42	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAD	15	0	16	68	16	12	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	18.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	16	13	2	0%	1.0	23.3%	18.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	159	25	0%	1.1	23.3%	18.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.43	5.04	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		107	1	119	577	127	125	11	1%	1.1	22.1%	21.7%	0.4%	1.8%	5.99	4.99	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	2	200	972	215	211	18	1%	1.1	22.1%	21.7%	0.4%	1.8%	5.99	4.99	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christian Ruebeck (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	23.1%	19.4%	2.9%	—	5.42	23.3%	5.0%	37	-0.15	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	85
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	83
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	83
Evan Johnson R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	23.6%	17.6%	2.4%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	83
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	81
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	80
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	80
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	80
Manuel Alvarez R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	25	SU	5.26	24.4%	19.5%	3.2%	.333	5.39	18.3%	-1.0%	52	+0.13	4.58	154	80
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	80
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	80
Tim Naughton R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	25	SU	4.84	22.9%	20.9%	1.9%	.337	4.18	23.4%	10.3%	128	-0.66	2.93	305	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	23.2%	18.7%	1.12	5.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91