LJ McDonough

P Columbus Clingstones
Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA
Overview
AAPROSPECT
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202424MIX2 levels330474.213.2330.7%15.3%—K 22.6% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.54
202525MIX2 levels390474.603.3623.2%11.4%—K 18.5% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.16
202626AAATL350437.595.0026.6%20.2%—K 21.6% · BB 22.2% · FIP 5.60
2027PROJ27MLBATL1015.505.5021.0%17.7%-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB28MLBATL7075.435.4721.1%17.0%-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsZane Russell (age 24) · Haden Erbe (age 25) · Derek Eitel (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121
ERA5.50
FIP5.50
K%21.0%
BB%17.7%
K-BB%3.3%
Proj IP26
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -3.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.29 (26 IP)-0.3WAR
-0.3-0.12728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202323MIX MLE2 levels607398500%1.220.5%12.8%7.7%0.0%4.912.99—
202323MIX RAW2 levels607398500%1.220.5%12.8%7.7%0.0%4.912.96—
202424MIX MLE2 levels33047215663330%1.422.6%16.7%6.0%2.3%4.214.54—
202424MIX MLE2 levels33047215663330%1.422.6%16.7%6.0%2.3%4.214.54—
202424MIX RAW2 levels33047215663330%1.430.7%15.3%15.3%1.4%4.213.23—
202525MIX MLE2 levels39047220512530%1.218.5%12.6%5.8%1.9%4.604.16—
202525MIX MLE2 levels39047220512530%1.218.5%12.6%5.8%1.9%4.604.16—
202525MIX RAW2 levels39047220512530%1.223.2%11.4%11.8%1.4%4.603.36—
202626AA MLEColumbus Clingstones35043218584450%1.221.6%22.2%-0.7%2.8%7.595.60—
202626AA MLEColumbus Clingstones35043218584450%1.221.6%22.2%-0.7%2.8%7.595.60—
202626AA RAWColumbus Clingstones35043218584450%1.226.6%20.2%6.4%2.3%7.595.00—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202727MLBATL10141100%1.021.0%17.7%3.3%2.8%5.505.50-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202828MLB MLEATL1801979171320%1.021.1%17.0%4.2%3.0%5.435.47-0.2
202828MLB CTXATL707306510%1.021.1%17.0%4.2%3.0%5.435.47-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW707306510%1.021.1%17.0%4.2%3.0%5.435.09-0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW1900200844172143290%1.121.1%17.0%4.2%3.0%5.435.09-1.3
Career— MLE1130144692144117150%1.320.8%16.9%3.9%2.2%5.384.67-0.2
/ 200 IP— MLE1570200961200162210%1.320.8%16.9%3.9%2.2%5.384.67-2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 43 IPFIP 4.67 → 5.60 (+0.93)K% 26.6% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.61%—×0.81021.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF20.18%—×1.10022.20%
HR / BF /BF2.29%÷1.000×1.2002.75%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.67 → 5.60, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAColumbus Clingstones · 32 IPFIP 3.66 → 4.38 (+0.72)K% 21.7% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF21.71%—×0.81017.59%
BB% (unintentional) /BF13.16%—×1.10014.47%
HR / BF /BF1.32%÷0.934×1.2001.69%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 87).

Result: FIP 3.66 → 4.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Rome Emperors · 15 IPFIP 2.60 → 3.68 (+1.08)K% 26.5% → 20.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF26.47%—×0.77020.38%
BB% (unintentional) /BF7.35%—×1.1508.46%
HR / BF /BF1.47%÷0.819×1.2502.24%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 64).

Result: FIP 2.60 → 3.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 37 IPFIP 3.27 → 4.54 (+1.27)K% 30.6% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF30.59%—×0.74022.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF14.12%—×1.18016.66%
HR / BF /BF1.76%÷1.010×1.3002.27%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 3.27 → 4.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Rome Emperors · 10 IPFIP 3.01 → 3.99 (+0.98)K% 31.1% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF31.11%—×0.77023.96%
BB% (unintentional) /BF20.00%—×1.15023.00%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.831×1.2500.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 66).

Result: FIP 3.01 → 3.99, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAugusta GreenJackets · 5 IPFIP 3.54 → 4.38 (+0.85)K% 20.7% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF20.69%—×0.74015.31%
BB% (unintentional) /BF17.24%—×1.18020.34%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷0.976×1.3000.00%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 95).

Result: FIP 3.54 → 4.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).