Mitchell Stumpo

P Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027
Overview
AAPROSPECT
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202226AAAARI450433.534.0227.3%16.0%—K 24.0% · BB 16.8% · FIP 4.55
202327MIX2 levels420449.206.8525.3%20.1%—K 20.6% · BB 20.8% · FIP 6.35
202428MIX2 levels410426.004.4825.5%8.7%—K 22.6% · BB 7.1% · FIP 4.77
202529No MLB games played
202630No MLB games played
2027PROJ31MLBARI——04.284.2823.2%8.5%—
2028PROJ31% MLB32MLBARI6064.424.5122.7%9.0%0.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
Contract
No contract data on file.
CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Mike Broadway (age 31) · Mark Serrano (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%23.2%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%14.7%
Proj IP19
Value2027 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.06 (19 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02728
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
201923ROK MLEACL D-backs202113000%1.027.3%0.0%27.3%0.0%9.000.80—
201923ROK RAWACL D-backs202113000%1.027.3%0.0%27.3%0.0%9.000.10—
202125MIX MLE4 levels36051202661360%1.425.6%8.0%17.7%3.7%2.633.97—
202125MIX RAW4 levels36051202661360%1.432.7%6.4%26.2%3.0%2.632.81—
202226AAA MLEReno Aces45043187513040%1.024.0%16.8%7.2%2.4%3.534.55—
202226AAA RAWReno Aces45043187513040%1.027.3%16.0%11.2%2.1%3.534.02—
202327MIX MLE2 levels420442295846110%1.020.6%20.8%-0.2%4.3%9.206.35—
202327MIX RAW2 levels420442295846110%1.025.3%20.1%5.2%4.8%9.206.85—
202428MIX MLE2 levels41042184471680%1.022.6%7.1%15.5%4.9%6.004.77—
202428MIX MLE2 levels41042184471680%1.022.6%7.1%15.5%4.9%6.004.77—
202428MIX RAW2 levels41042184471680%1.025.5%8.7%16.8%4.3%6.004.48—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
202731MLBARI——0——————23.2%8.5%14.7%3.1%4.284.28—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
202832MLB MLEARI180197918730%1.022.7%9.0%13.8%3.3%4.424.51+0.0
202832MLB CTXARI606256210%1.022.7%9.0%13.8%3.3%4.424.51+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW606256210%1.022.7%9.0%13.8%3.3%4.424.13+0.0
/ 200 IP— RAW190020084420568340%1.122.7%9.0%13.8%3.3%4.424.13+1.0
Career— MLE1660183813188108310%1.123.2%13.3%9.9%3.8%5.274.91+0.0
/ 200 IP— MLE1820200890206118340%1.123.2%13.3%9.9%3.8%5.274.91+0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 34 IPFIP 4.31 → 4.77 (+0.46)K% 27.9% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.86%—×0.81022.56%
BB% (unintentional) /BF6.43%—×1.1007.07%
HR / BF /BF5.00%÷1.229×1.2004.88%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 146).

Result: FIP 4.31 → 4.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAReno Aces · 8 IPFIP 4.83 → 4.81 (−0.01)K% 18.2% → 15.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF18.18%—×0.86015.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF15.91%—×0.90014.32%
HR / BF /BF2.27%÷1.124×1.1002.22%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 125).

Result: FIP 4.83 → 4.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 34 IPFIP 4.67 → 4.90 (+0.22)K% 32.0% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF31.95%—×0.81025.88%
BB% (unintentional) /BF18.34%—×1.10020.18%
HR / BF /BF3.55%÷1.637×1.2002.60%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 227).

Result: FIP 4.67 → 4.90, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAReno Aces · 10 IPFIP 10.28 → 10.44 (+0.16)K% 6.7% → 5.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF6.67%—×0.8605.73%
BB% (unintentional) /BF25.00%—×0.90022.50%
HR / BF /BF8.33%÷1.012×1.1009.06%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 102).

Result: FIP 10.28 → 10.44, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAReno Aces · 43 IPFIP 4.00 → 4.55 (+0.54)K% 27.3% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF27.27%—×0.88024.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF16.04%—×1.05016.84%
HR / BF /BF2.14%÷0.965×1.1002.44%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 93).

Result: FIP 4.00 → 4.55, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 24 IPFIP 3.31 → 3.86 (+0.55)K% 32.0% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF32.00%—×0.81025.92%
BB% (unintentional) /BF10.00%—×1.10011.00%
HR / BF /BF3.00%÷1.271×1.2002.83%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 154).

Result: FIP 3.31 → 3.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 13 IPFIP 2.54 → 4.18 (+1.64)K% 34.0% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF33.96%—×0.74025.13%
BB% (unintentional) /BF1.89%—×1.1802.23%
HR / BF /BF3.77%÷0.923×1.3005.32%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).

Result: FIP 2.54 → 4.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hillsboro Hops · 8 IPFIP 1.97 → 3.34 (+1.36)K% 40.0% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF40.00%—×0.77030.80%
BB% (unintentional) /BF3.33%—×1.1503.83%
HR / BF /BF3.33%÷0.972×1.2504.29%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 94).

Result: FIP 1.97 → 3.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).