Mitchell Stumpo P Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 104
ERA4.58
FIP4.58
K%22.8%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +0.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.01 (20 IP)-0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201923ROKACL D-backs202113000%1.027.3%0.0%27.3%0.0%9.000.80
201923ROKACL D-backs202113000%1.027.3%0.0%27.3%0.0%9.000.10
202125MIX4 levels36051202661360%1.425.6%8.0%17.7%3.5%2.633.88
202125MIX4 levels36051202661360%1.432.7%6.4%26.2%3.0%2.632.81
202226AAAReno Aces45043187513040%1.024.0%16.8%7.2%2.5%3.534.60
202226AAAReno Aces45043187513040%1.027.3%16.0%11.2%2.1%3.534.02
202327MIX2 levels420442295846110%1.020.6%21.8%-1.1%3.7%9.206.16
202327MIX2 levels420442295846110%1.025.3%20.1%5.2%4.8%9.206.85
202428MIX2 levels41042184471680%1.022.6%7.1%15.5%4.1%6.004.35
202428MIX2 levels41042184471680%1.025.5%8.7%16.8%4.3%6.004.48
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBARI200218820930%1.022.8%10.2%12.6%3.2%4.584.58-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBARI190208419930%1.122.5%10.4%12.0%3.4%4.674.75-0.0
202731MLBARI606256310%1.022.5%10.4%12.0%3.4%4.674.75-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career606266310%1.022.5%10.4%12.0%3.4%4.674.37+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419296320%1.122.5%10.4%12.0%3.4%4.674.37+2.4
Career1660183813188110280%1.123.2%13.6%9.6%3.4%5.274.75+1.4
/ 200 IP1820200890206121310%1.123.2%13.6%9.6%3.4%5.274.75+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mitchell Stumpo (OGILVIE) 4.58 22.8%10.2%3.2% 4.75 22.5%12.0%20 +0.17
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 93
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 86
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 86
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 83
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 82
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 23.3%8.5%2.8%.288 4.75 20.6%9.9%86 +0.99 2.71 392 80
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 80
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 80
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 80
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 80
Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 30 SU 4.61 17.1%10.2%3.0%.338 3.71 11.6%6.3%75 -0.90 3.62 164 79
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 79
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 79
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 78
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 78
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 30 SU 3.97 24.4%11.8%2.6%.301 4.06 24.1%15.2%140 +0.09 1.74 468 78
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 30 SU 3.57 22.3%11.0%1.7%.247 3.57 224 78
Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 78
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 77
Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP 31 SU 3.69 17.5%8.8%1.8%.244 4.74 17.6%7.8%377 +1.05 3.69 521 77