Zane Russell — OGILVIE

Zane Russell P Hillsboro Hops

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 196 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%18.2%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	10	0	18	61	27	5	0	0%	1.8	44.3%	8.2%	36.1%	0.0%	1.02	0.40	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	10	0	18	61	27	5	0	0%	1.8	44.3%	8.2%	36.1%	0.0%	1.02	0.89	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	41	0	37	163	48	26	3	0%	0.9	22.7%	18.3%	4.3%	2.6%	5.54	4.95	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	41	0	37	163	48	26	3	0%	0.9	22.7%	18.3%	4.3%	2.6%	5.54	4.95	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	41	0	37	163	48	26	3	0%	0.9	29.4%	16.0%	13.5%	1.8%	5.54	3.66	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	48	0	54	227	54	23	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.14	4.63	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	48	0	54	227	54	23	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.1%	8.1%	3.2%	4.14	4.63	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	48	0	54	227	54	23	8	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.1%	13.7%	3.5%	4.14	4.30	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	18	90	15	12	6	0%	0.9	14.4%	12.9%	1.5%	7.8%	9.00	7.81	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	18	90	15	12	6	0%	0.9	14.4%	12.9%	1.5%	7.8%	9.00	7.81	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	18	90	15	12	6	0%	0.9	16.7%	13.3%	3.3%	6.7%	9.00	7.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ARI	57	0	60	253	46	33	8	0%	1.1	18.2%	12.8%	5.3%	3.3%	5.37	5.37	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55	0	58	244	45	31	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.6%	5.9%	3.4%	5.32	5.35	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	52	0	55	233	43	29	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	3.5%	5.34	5.40	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	20	0	21	89	16	11	3	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.6%	5.9%	3.4%	5.32	5.35	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	29	0	30	127	24	16	4	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	3.5%	5.34	5.40	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	41	27	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.6%	6.0%	3.4%	5.33	5.00	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	105	27	0%	1.1	18.6%	12.6%	6.0%	3.4%	5.33	5.00	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		119	0	127	541	121	72	19	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.3%	9.0%	3.4%	4.81	4.78	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		187	0	200	850	190	113	29	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.3%	9.0%	3.4%	4.81	4.78	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zane Russell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	18.2%	12.8%	3.3%	—	5.37	18.6%	6.0%	113	+0.00	—	—	—
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	90
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	87
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	87
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	86
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	85
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	85
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	84
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	84
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
David Goforth R 2016 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	14.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.333	4.52	13.9%	4.6%	122	-0.16	3.98	256	83
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	82
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Scott Cassidy R 2002 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	17.0%	10.3%	4.3%	.207	4.79	20.0%	15.0%	13	-0.51	4.42	122	82
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	18.5%	12.7%	1.30	5.34
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12