Connor Cooke
P
Buffalo Bisons
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 203 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%21.5%
BB%15.2%
K-BB%6.3%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 5.6% | 1.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 5.6% | 1.80 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 57 | 243 | 75 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 2.3 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 2.4% | 5.21 | 3.47 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 8 | 57 | 243 | 75 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 2.3 | 30.9% | 7.0% | 23.9% | 2.1% | 5.21 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 44 | 197 | 80 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 6.9% | 26.4% | 3.2% | 4.06 | 2.92 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 44 | 197 | 80 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.6% | 9.6% | 31.0% | 2.5% | 4.06 | 2.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 33 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 19.9% | -2.0% | 2.3% | 4.55 | 5.36 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 33 | 0 | 32 | 148 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 18.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.55 | 5.09 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 54 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 52 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 33 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 5.12 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 55 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 4.77 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 122 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 5.12 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 8 | 138 | 606 | 157 | 64 | 16 | 8% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 3.74 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 12 | 200 | 878 | 228 | 93 | 24 | 8% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor Cooke (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 21.5% | 15.2% | 2.9% | — | 5.15 | 21.7% | 7.1% | 115 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 88 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 88 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 87 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 87 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.36 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.16 | 26.8% | 20.6% | 26 | -2.20 | 3.16 | 253 | 84 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 83 |
| Matt Lollis R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 83 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.60 | 24.0% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .225 | 5.38 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 78 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 158 | 83 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 83 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 83 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .246 | 4.88 | 12.9% | -1.0% | 29 | +0.37 | 4.51 | 151 | 83 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 83 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 82 |
| Tyler Baum R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.90 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 32 | -0.17 | 3.35 | 177 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 21.7% | 14.8% | 1.16 | 5.14 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |