Connor Cooke — OGILVIE

Connor Cooke P Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 203 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%20.8%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CMD3050

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	5	18	8	1	1	0%	1.0	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	5.6%	1.80	3.10	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	5	18	8	1	1	0%	1.0	44.4%	5.6%	38.9%	5.6%	1.80	3.10	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	8	57	243	75	17	5	32%	2.3	23.7%	8.4%	15.3%	2.2%	5.21	3.35	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	8	57	243	75	17	5	32%	2.3	30.9%	7.0%	23.9%	2.1%	5.21	2.50	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	44	197	80	19	5	0%	1.2	33.3%	6.9%	26.4%	3.2%	4.06	2.93	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	44	197	80	19	5	0%	1.2	33.3%	6.9%	26.4%	3.2%	4.06	2.93	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	44	197	80	19	5	0%	1.2	40.6%	9.6%	31.0%	2.5%	4.06	2.24	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	33	0	32	148	30	28	3	0%	1.0	16.8%	17.0%	-0.2%	2.3%	4.55	5.07	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	33	0	32	148	30	28	3	0%	1.0	16.8%	17.0%	-0.2%	2.3%	4.55	5.07	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	33	0	32	148	30	28	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	18.9%	1.4%	2.0%	4.55	5.09	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	TOR	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	13.2%	7.6%	2.9%	4.99	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	56	0	59	247	52	32	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.9%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.96	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	54	0	57	240	51	31	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.8%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.00	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	24	0	25	106	22	14	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.9%	8.2%	3.0%	4.95	4.96	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	34	0	36	152	32	19	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.8%	8.4%	3.1%	4.96	5.00	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		58	0	60	255	54	33	8	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.8%	8.3%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	109	26	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.8%	8.3%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		101	8	138	606	156	60	16	8%	1.4	25.7%	9.9%	15.8%	2.6%	4.57	3.62	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	12	200	878	226	87	23	8%	1.4	25.7%	9.9%	15.8%	2.6%	4.57	3.62	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Connor Cooke (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	20.8%	13.2%	2.9%	—	4.98	21.1%	8.3%	115	-0.01	—	—	—
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	89
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	87
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	87
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	87
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	87
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	87
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	86
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	86
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.53	13.6%	5.9%	162	+0.30	3.85	291	86
Eduard Santos R 2016 · 3.86 FIP	26	SU	3.86	22.2%	14.4%	1.5%	.248	2.04	31.1%	18.7%	16	-1.82	2.04	138	85
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	84
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	84
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	21.0%	13.0%	1.15	4.97
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64