Eli Villalobos — OGILVIE

Eli Villalobos P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.20

FIP5.20

K%20.0%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB+1.2 (54%)

SL-1.4 (31%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	9.00	2.68	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	0	2	10	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	9.00	2.60	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	45	194	72	16	5	0%	1.4	28.1%	9.6%	18.5%	3.3%	3.63	3.75	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	45	194	72	16	5	0%	1.4	37.1%	8.2%	28.9%	2.6%	3.63	2.41	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	79	309	101	29	10	0%	1.5	27.1%	10.2%	16.9%	3.7%	2.86	4.13	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	79	309	101	29	10	0%	1.5	32.7%	9.4%	23.3%	3.2%	2.86	3.29	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	55	267	56	47	9	0%	1.2	17.3%	16.4%	0.8%	3.6%	4.77	5.71	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	55	267	56	47	9	0%	1.2	17.3%	16.4%	0.8%	3.6%	4.77	5.71	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	55	267	56	47	9	0%	1.2	21.0%	17.6%	3.4%	3.4%	4.77	5.77	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	28	134	30	20	4	0%	1.3	19.9%	14.4%	5.5%	4.2%	5.72	5.53	-0.3
2024	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	0	28	134	30	20	4	0%	1.3	19.9%	14.4%	5.5%	4.2%	5.72	5.53	-0.3
2024	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	0	28	134	30	20	4	0%	1.3	22.4%	14.9%	7.5%	3.0%	5.72	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	4	18	3	2	1	0%	1.4	16.7%	11.1%	5.6%	5.6%	2.08	6.10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	12	0	16	67	14	5	4	0%	1.3	17.3%	6.7%	10.6%	6.6%	5.74	6.09	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	12	0	16	67	14	5	4	0%	1.3	17.3%	6.7%	10.6%	6.6%	5.74	6.09	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	SD	12	0	16	67	14	5	4	0%	1.3	20.9%	7.5%	13.4%	6.0%	5.74	5.56	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	17	11	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	13.2%	6.8%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	13.2%	6.8%	3.3%	5.22	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	12	49	9	6	2	0%	1.2	18.8%	12.4%	6.3%	4.1%	4.05	5.36	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		171	0	200	839	154	103	34	0%	1.2	18.8%	12.4%	6.3%	4.1%	4.05	5.36	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		165	0	224	981	225	119	37	0%	1.4	22.9%	12.1%	10.8%	3.8%	4.10	4.79	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	876	201	106	33	0%	1.4	22.9%	12.1%	10.8%	3.8%	4.10	4.79	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eli Villalobos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	20.0%	13.3%	3.1%	—	5.29	20.0%	6.8%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	91
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	82
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	79
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	77
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	76
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	75
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	75
Irving Jimenez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	27	SU	4.51	18.9%	12.4%	2.6%	.417	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	104	75
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	75
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	75
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	75
Tucker Healy R 2018 · 5.20 FIP	28	SU	5.20	19.2%	10.5%	4.4%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	174	74