Carter Loewen — OGILVIE

Carter Loewen P San Antonio Missions

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%22.3%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	21	0	22	97	31	11	0	0%	1.1	24.6%	13.0%	11.6%	0.0%	4.84	2.67	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	21	0	22	97	31	11	0	0%	1.1	32.0%	11.3%	20.6%	0.0%	4.84	1.80	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	3	17	3	2	0	0%	0.8	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	0.0%	8.10	3.10	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	3	17	3	2	0	0%	0.8	17.6%	11.8%	5.9%	0.0%	8.10	3.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	49	206	58	18	3	0%	1.4	21.4%	10.1%	11.2%	2.0%	2.20	3.67	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	49	206	58	18	3	0%	1.4	28.2%	8.7%	19.4%	1.5%	2.20	2.63	—
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	3	51	228	65	31	4	8%	1.3	23.1%	15.0%	8.1%	2.2%	5.12	4.26	—
2024	25	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	38	3	51	228	65	31	4	8%	1.3	23.1%	15.0%	8.1%	2.2%	5.12	4.26	—
2024	25	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	38	3	51	228	65	31	4	8%	1.3	28.5%	13.6%	14.9%	1.8%	5.12	3.39	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	89	23	7	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	8.1%	11.9%	3.1%	2.16	4.16	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	25	89	23	7	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	8.1%	11.9%	3.1%	2.16	4.16	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	25	89	23	7	2	0%	1.2	25.8%	7.9%	18.0%	2.2%	2.16	3.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SD	17	0	18	76	17	8	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.62	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		117	3	151	637	141	77	12	3%	1.3	22.2%	12.1%	10.1%	1.9%	3.70	3.78	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	4	200	846	188	102	16	3%	1.3	22.2%	12.1%	10.1%	1.9%	3.70	3.78	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carter Loewen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	22.3%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.68	22.2%	11.5%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	84
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	84
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	84
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	84
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	82
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	80
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	80
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	79