Eduardo Herrera — OGILVIE

Eduardo Herrera P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 RHP 5'9" / 179 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%21.1%

BB%17.5%

K-BB%3.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	2	0	2	11	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.0%	4.50	3.87	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	2	0	2	11	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.0%	4.50	4.10	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	3	0	4	13	11	0	0	0%	1.2	84.6%	0.0%	84.6%	0.0%	0.00	-4.05	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	3	0	4	13	11	0	0	0%	1.2	84.6%	0.0%	84.6%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	0	3	13	6	2	0	0%	1.5	46.2%	15.4%	30.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.15	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	0	3	13	6	2	0	0%	1.5	46.2%	15.4%	30.8%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2023	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	34	0	52	239	74	34	5	0%	1.5	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.5%	5.02	4.66	—
2023	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	34	0	52	239	74	34	5	0%	1.5	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.5%	5.02	4.66	—
2023	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	34	0	52	239	74	34	5	0%	1.5	31.0%	14.2%	16.7%	2.1%	5.02	3.47	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	47	200	66	28	3	0%	1.5	25.5%	15.7%	9.9%	2.2%	3.09	4.13	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	47	200	66	28	3	0%	1.5	25.5%	15.7%	9.9%	2.2%	3.09	4.13	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	47	200	66	28	3	0%	1.5	33.0%	14.0%	19.0%	1.5%	3.09	2.91	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	37	161	35	29	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	21.7%	-5.0%	0.0%	2.21	4.44	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	37	161	35	29	0	0%	1.2	16.7%	21.7%	-5.0%	0.0%	2.21	4.44	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	37	161	35	29	0	0%	1.2	21.7%	18.0%	3.7%	0.0%	2.21	3.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	NYM	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.1%	17.5%	3.5%	2.6%	5.37	5.37	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	39	0	41	175	37	29	5	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.29	5.30	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.29	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	64	14	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.29	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	145	26	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.8%	4.5%	2.7%	5.29	4.92	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		102	0	144	637	152	110	10	0%	1.4	23.8%	17.3%	6.5%	1.6%	3.44	4.18	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	0	200	885	211	153	14	0%	1.4	23.8%	17.3%	6.5%	1.6%	3.44	4.18	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eduardo Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	21.1%	17.5%	2.6%	—	5.30	21.3%	4.5%	41	-0.07	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	83
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	82
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	82
Manuel Alvarez R 2022 · 5.02 FIP	26	SU	5.02	20.3%	17.1%	2.7%	.330	6.63	11.8%	-14.8%	12	+1.61	4.58	154	82
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	81
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80
Andrew Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	26	SU	4.87	18.9%	18.1%	1.9%	.311	3.78	23.0%	9.1%	75	-1.09	3.10	167	80
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	80
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	80
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	153	80
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	80
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.2%	17.0%	1.04	5.32
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84