Zac Leigh
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 28
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 135
ERA5.99
FIP5.99
K%18.3%
BB%20.4%
K-BB%-2.1%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 50.0% | 8.8% | 41.2% | 0.0% | 1.04 | -0.00 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 50.0% | 8.8% | 41.2% | 0.0% | 1.04 | 0.22 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 2.8% | 2.86 | 3.77 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.3% | 11.0% | 25.3% | 2.1% | 2.86 | 2.55 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 58 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 3.66 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 58 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 35.4% | 10.4% | 25.0% | 2.4% | 3.66 | 2.77 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 44 | 212 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 16.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 3.45 | 4.49 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 44 | 212 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 3.45 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 43 | 0 | 50 | 222 | 47 | 39 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.1% | 19.3% | -2.2% | 2.0% | 4.11 | 5.18 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 43 | 0 | 50 | 222 | 47 | 39 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 17.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 4.11 | 4.33 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 23 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 45 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 6.31 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CHC | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 53 | 60 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 20.4% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.99 | 5.99 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 20.4% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.99 | 5.99 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 105 | 458 | 98 | 84 | 12 | — | — | 21.5% | 18.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 6.10 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | — | 18.3% | 20.4% | -2.1% | 2.7% | 5.99 | 5.61 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 52 | 54 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 19.5% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.95 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 49 | 50 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 19.0% | -0.5% | 3.1% | 5.91 | 6.00 | -1.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 45 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 18.9% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 6.01 | 6.12 | -1.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 19.5% | -0.9% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.95 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 19.0% | -0.5% | 3.1% | 5.91 | 6.00 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 18.9% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 6.01 | 6.12 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 443 | 82 | 85 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 19.2% | -0.7% | 3.1% | 5.95 | 5.66 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 162 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 19.2% | -0.7% | 3.1% | 5.95 | 5.66 | -0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 165 | 0 | 213 | 943 | 227 | 144 | 22 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 3.93 | 4.27 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 0 | 200 | 885 | 214 | 135 | 21 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 3.93 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zac Leigh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.99 | 18.3% | 20.4% | 2.7% | — | 6.02 | 18.5% | -0.6% | 186 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Trey Haley R 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 14.0% | 16.5% | 1.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 111 | 81 |
| Jordan Gore R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.49 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 3.1% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 116 | 78 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.15 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 237 | 78 |
| Charles Hall R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 19.1% | 1.9% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.43 | 181 | 77 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 77 |
| Mike Hepple R 2024 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 11.1% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 116 | 76 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 76 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.42 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 3.4% | .262 | 5.33 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 76 |
| Stevie Branche R 2025 · 5.82 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.82 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.3% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 162 | 76 |
| Daniel Harper R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.08 | 16.6% | 18.8% | 1.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 128 | 75 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 75 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.89 | 19.0% | 20.2% | 1.5% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 134 | 74 |
| Cody Tucker R 2024 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 15.8% | 17.7% | 2.0% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 105 | 74 |
| Connor Law R 2025 · 6.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.22 | 16.2% | 17.2% | 4.2% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 110 | 73 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2024 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 73 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2024 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 72 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 72 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.7% | 19.9% | 2.6% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 192 | 72 |
| Zack Leban R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.91 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 1.7% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 123 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 1.14 | 5.95 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |