Zac Leigh — OGILVIE

Zac Leigh P Iowa Cubs

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%18.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	9	34	17	3	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	8.8%	41.2%	0.0%	1.04	-0.00	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	9	34	17	3	0	0%	1.7	50.0%	8.8%	41.2%	0.0%	1.04	0.22	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	35	146	53	16	3	0%	1.3	28.5%	12.3%	16.2%	2.6%	2.86	3.70	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	35	146	53	16	3	0%	1.3	36.3%	11.0%	25.3%	2.1%	2.86	2.55	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	39	164	58	17	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	11.7%	16.3%	3.0%	3.66	3.84	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	39	164	58	17	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	11.7%	16.3%	3.0%	3.66	3.84	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	39	164	58	17	4	0%	1.4	35.4%	10.4%	25.0%	2.4%	3.66	2.77	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	44	212	56	33	3	0%	1.2	21.5%	15.4%	6.1%	1.8%	3.45	4.23	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	44	212	56	33	3	0%	1.2	21.5%	15.4%	6.1%	1.8%	3.45	4.23	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	44	212	56	33	3	0%	1.2	26.4%	15.6%	10.8%	1.4%	3.45	3.69	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	43	0	50	222	47	39	3	0%	1.2	17.1%	19.3%	-2.2%	1.8%	4.11	5.08	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	43	0	50	222	47	39	3	0%	1.2	17.1%	19.3%	-2.2%	1.8%	4.11	5.08	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	43	0	50	222	47	39	3	0%	1.2	21.2%	17.6%	3.6%	1.4%	4.11	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	27	0	39	177	48	25	4	0%	1.5	21.7%	12.9%	8.9%	2.6%	6.18	4.33	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	27	0	39	177	48	25	4	0%	1.5	21.7%	12.9%	8.9%	2.6%	6.18	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	CHC	2	0	3	9	4	1	0	0%	1.5	44.4%	11.1%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.75	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	CHC	25	0	36	168	44	24	4	0%	1.5	26.2%	14.3%	11.9%	2.4%	6.69	4.00	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	CHC	6	0	6	25	4	5	1	0%	1.0	18.1%	20.0%	-1.9%	2.6%	5.92	5.92	-0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	45	202	52	30	5	—	—	26.0%	14.8%	11.2%	2.3%	6.14	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	63	0	66	280	51	54	8	0%	1.1	18.4%	19.1%	-0.8%	2.8%	5.84	5.89	-1.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	263	48	49	8	0%	1.1	18.4%	18.7%	-0.3%	3.0%	5.86	5.95	-0.9
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	23	0	24	101	19	19	3	0%	1.0	18.4%	19.1%	-0.8%	2.8%	5.84	5.89	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	CHC	32	0	34	144	26	27	4	0%	1.1	18.4%	18.7%	-0.3%	3.0%	5.86	5.95	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	46	47	7	0%	1.1	18.4%	18.9%	-0.5%	2.9%	5.85	5.55	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	159	24	0%	1.1	18.4%	18.9%	-0.5%	2.9%	5.85	5.55	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		169	0	217	955	227	139	21	0%	1.3	23.8%	14.5%	9.2%	2.2%	3.95	4.15	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		156	0	200	882	209	128	19	0%	1.3	23.8%	14.5%	9.2%	2.2%	3.95	4.15	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zac Leigh (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	18.1%	20.0%	2.6%	—	5.92	18.4%	-0.5%	128	-0.00	—	—	—
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	81
Jordan Gore R 2022 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	15.2%	18.5%	2.2%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	113	79
Charles Hall R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	18.0%	19.1%	2.0%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	181	77
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	77
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	76
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	76
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	74
Connor Law R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	27	SU	6.15	16.2%	17.2%	4.1%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	110	74
Eli Villalobos R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	26	SU	5.71	17.3%	16.4%	3.6%	.316	5.78	18.8%	7.7%	36	+0.07	3.75	214	73
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	73
Andrew Bechtold R 2023 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	14.0%	22.7%	1.1%	.389	4.22	19.1%	7.4%	86	-1.21	3.56	104	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	72
Andrew Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	26	SU	4.87	18.9%	18.1%	1.9%	.311	3.78	23.0%	9.1%	75	-1.09	3.10	167	72
Zack Leban R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	27	SU	4.82	19.8%	18.8%	1.8%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	123	72
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	72
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	71
Kyle Dowdy R 2021 · 5.16 FIP	28	SU	5.16	20.3%	14.6%	3.5%	.282	3.57	21.1%	9.1%	116	-1.59	2.98	606	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	18.3%	19.3%	1.09	5.87
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99