Zac Leigh
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
AAA
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%7.0%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL2020
CMD3030
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 5 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.04 | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 27 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 2.86 | 3.72 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 29 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 58 | 17 | 4 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.66 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 38 | 0 | 44 | 212 | 56 | 33 | 3 | 21.9% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 3.45 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 43 | 0 | 50 | 222 | 47 | 39 | 3 | 17.1% | 19.3% | 1.8% | 4.11 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CHC | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 20.0% | 17.3% | 2.6% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 50 | 208 | 42 | 35 | 5 | 20.3% | 16.8% | 2.5% | 5.27 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 39 | 32 | 5 | 20.2% | 16.6% | 2.7% | 5.34 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 38 | 30 | 5 | 20.3% | 16.1% | 2.8% | 5.31 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 36 | 29 | 5 | 20.2% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 5.32 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 35 | 27 | 5 | 20.0% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 5.37 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 33 | 26 | 5 | 19.7% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 19.3% | 16.2% | 3.1% | 5.56 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 18.9% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 5.68 | 5.75 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 26 | 23 | 5 | 18.5% | 16.7% | 3.4% | 5.80 | 5.89 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 144 | 0 | 180 | 790 | 192 | 120 | 17 | 24.3% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 3.44 | 4.12 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 0 | 200 | 876 | 213 | 133 | 19 | 24.3% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 3.44 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zac Leigh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 20.0% | 17.3% | 2.6% | — | 5.35 | 20.2% | 4.0% | 132 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.55 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.6% | .290 | 3.80 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.75 | 2.97 | 230 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 84 |
| Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.24 | 17.8% | 17.3% | 2.6% | .240 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.24 | 116 | 80 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 123 | 80 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.11 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 2.8% | .262 | 5.07 | 16.2% | -1.4% | 15 | -0.04 | 3.46 | 183 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 78 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 78 |
| Stevie Branche R 2025 · 5.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.97 | 19.8% | 20.5% | 3.5% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 162 | 78 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.60 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 140 | 77 |
| Chris Perry R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.3% | 19.3% | 0.9% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 113 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 77 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.45 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 162 | 77 |
| Jordan Gore R 2025 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.35 | 15.2% | 18.5% | 2.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 113 | 76 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 76 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.41 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 3.3% | .229 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 189 | 76 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .282 | 3.98 | 29.0% | 18.0% | 109 | -0.85 | 3.02 | 363 | 76 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.90 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 107 | 75 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.12 | 15.9% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 237 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.