Cam Caminiti
P
Rome Emperors
+0.7
WAR
Age 19
LHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 2.7 · 2033
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.3%
IP70
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.7peak
2033
OFP—50
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.00 | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 17 | 17 | 70 | 295 | 90 | 28 | 5 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 3.09 | 4.13 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 3 | 2 | 15 | 56 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 26.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.07 | 2.64 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 69 | 29 | 8 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 19 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 85 | 352 | 88 | 31 | 9 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.04 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 310 | 73 | 29 | 9 | 23.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 77 | 326 | 78 | 30 | 9 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.10 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 85 | 29 | 9 | 24.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.04 | 3.94 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 19 | 104 | 440 | 112 | 36 | 12 | 25.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 3.82 | +1.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 22 | 22 | 123 | 518 | 135 | 41 | 14 | 26.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.73 | +2.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 25 | 25 | 136 | 575 | 152 | 45 | 15 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 3.67 | +2.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 26 | 26 | 143 | 605 | 161 | 47 | 16 | 26.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 3.68 | 3.65 | +2.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 27 | 27 | 146 | 617 | 165 | 48 | 16 | 26.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 3.67 | 3.66 | +2.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 27 | 27 | 146 | 616 | 164 | 49 | 16 | 26.7% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 3.68 | 3.69 | +2.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 26 | 26 | 143 | 602 | 160 | 48 | 16 | 26.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.73 | +2.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 25 | 25 | 138 | 584 | 154 | 47 | 16 | 26.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 3.76 | 3.80 | +2.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 24 | 24 | 134 | 564 | 147 | 46 | 16 | 26.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.87 | +2.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 23 | 23 | 128 | 541 | 140 | 45 | 16 | 25.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.96 | +1.9 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 20 | 88 | 363 | 84 | 35 | 9 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.08 | 3.77 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 46 | 200 | 828 | 192 | 80 | 21 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.08 | 3.77 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cam Caminiti (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.08 | 24.2% | 15.2% | 232 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Cody Reed L 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.37 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 1.9% | .324 | 4.34 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 136 | +0.97 | 3.37 | 212 | 83 |
| Marcelo Martinez L 2028 · 3.29 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.29 | 22.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .303 | 5.49 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 234 | +2.20 | 3.29 | 427 | 83 |
| Carlos Peña L 2027 · 3.17 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.17 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 1.4% | .301 | 3.97 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 145 | +0.80 | 3.17 | 520 | 82 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.21 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.98 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.77 | 4.21 | 128 | 82 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.5% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.10 | 4.04 | 158 | 81 |
| José Torres L 2028 · 3.35 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.35 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 1.6% | .262 | 4.13 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.35 | 204 | 81 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2029 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.31 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .274 | 3.81 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.50 | 3.31 | 262 | 81 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.97 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .347 | 4.00 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.03 | 3.74 | 572 | 81 |
| Jake Bennett L 2029 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.40 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | .339 | 3.17 | 17.4% | 10.3% | 83 | -0.23 | 1.70 | 146 | 81 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.29 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .324 | 2.64 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.65 | 1.89 | 108 | 80 |
| José Suarez L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.25 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .325 | 4.32 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 221 | +0.07 | 2.86 | 848 | 80 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2028 · 3.45 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.45 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.7% | .352 | 4.99 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.54 | 3.45 | 325 | 80 |
| Dominic LoBrutto L 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.21 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .333 | 3.46 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 84 | +0.25 | 2.99 | 135 | 79 |
| Denny Roman L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.50 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.26 | 3.24 | 109 | 78 |
| Evan Shawver L 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.28 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.49 | 4.09 | 219 | 78 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.81 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .250 | 4.70 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.89 | 3.81 | 255 | 77 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2029 · 3.58 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.58 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.96 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.38 | 3.40 | 665 | 77 |
| Jacob Patterson L 2028 · 3.08 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.08 | 24.4% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .275 | 3.83 | 22.4% | 14.5% | 123 | +0.75 | 3.01 | 160 | 77 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2029 · 4.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.24 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 161 | 77 |
| Luiz Gohara L 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.02 | 20.4% | 10.3% | 0.6% | .312 | 3.51 | 22.9% | 14.6% | 227 | +0.49 | 2.97 | 282 | 77 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.1 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.7 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.2 | $20M | +$20M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.5 | $24M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $10M | +2.7 | $27M | +$17M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $14M | +2.7 | $27M | +$13M |
| Totals | $32M | $123M | +$91M | ||