Cam Caminiti

P Rome Emperors

Age 20 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.6 · 2032

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP50OGV rank#28ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	AATL	1	1	3	3.00	0.43	33.3%	0.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.29
2025	18	MIX2 levels	17	17	70	3.09	2.66	30.5%	9.5%	—	K 22.3% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.05
2026	19	MIX2 levels	24	23	115	3.38	3.10	25.8%	10.9%	—	K 20.1% · BB 12.4% · FIP 3.95
2027PROJ	20	MLBATL	1	1	4	4.52	4.52	22.0%	11.6%	0.0
2028PROJ51% MLB	21	MLBATL	12	12	60	4.37	4.29	22.8%	10.4%	0.8
2029PROJ74% MLB	22	MLBATL	19	19	97	4.18	4.05	23.9%	9.4%	1.6

Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$9M2033Arb-3$13M

Career WAR0.3 WAR median (P10 -1.0 / P90 24, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 72%

CompsThomas White (age 19) · Keegan Akin (age 22) · Joe Whitman (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%22.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP98

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 98 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$61M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$13M	+$12M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+2.2	$13M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+2.3	$13M	+$7M
2033	Arb-3	$13M	+2.4	$12M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$64M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.43	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	30.5%	9.5%	21.0%	1.7%	3.09	2.66	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	25.8%	10.9%	14.8%	1.4%	3.38	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	1	1	4	17	4	2	0	100%	4.0	22.0%	11.6%	10.4%	2.6%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	24	24	116	490	112	51	13	100%	4.8	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.29	+1.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	26	26	132	556	133	52	14	100%	5.1	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.05	+2.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	25	25	132	556	137	49	14	100%	5.3	24.6%	8.8%	15.8%	2.5%	4.02	3.90	+2.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	23	23	129	546	137	46	14	100%	5.6	25.1%	8.4%	16.7%	2.5%	3.89	3.80	+2.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	22	22	127	536	137	44	13	100%	5.8	25.5%	8.2%	17.3%	2.5%	3.80	3.74	+2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	21	21	128	538	138	44	13	100%	6.1	25.7%	8.2%	17.5%	2.5%	3.75	3.71	+2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	21	21	125	527	135	43	13	100%	5.9	25.7%	8.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.75	3.75	+2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	20	20	119	504	129	42	13	100%	6.0	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.6%	3.80	3.84	+2.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	19	19	111	470	119	41	13	100%	5.9	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	2.8%	3.90	3.97	+1.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	17	17	101	427	107	38	13	100%	5.9	25.0%	8.9%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	4.14	+1.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	15	15	90	382	94	35	12	100%	6.0	24.6%	9.3%	15.3%	3.2%	4.23	4.35	+1.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	80	338	82	33	12	100%	6.2	24.1%	9.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.44	4.57	+0.8
2040	33	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	70	297	70	30	11	100%	5.9	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.7%	4.67	4.82	+0.5
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	12	12	60	253	58	26	7	100%	5.0	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.29	+0.8
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	19	19	97	410	98	39	10	100%	5.1	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.05	+1.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	21	21	112	473	116	42	12	100%	5.3	24.6%	8.8%	15.8%	2.5%	4.02	3.90	+2.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	21	21	116	490	123	41	12	100%	5.5	25.1%	8.4%	16.7%	2.5%	3.89	3.80	+2.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	20	20	117	494	126	41	12	100%	5.8	25.5%	8.2%	17.3%	2.5%	3.80	3.74	+2.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	20	20	119	502	129	41	13	100%	6.0	25.7%	8.2%	17.5%	2.5%	3.75	3.71	+2.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	20	20	119	502	129	41	13	100%	6.0	25.7%	8.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.75	3.75	+2.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	19	19	113	477	122	40	13	100%	5.9	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.6%	3.80	3.84	+2.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	18	18	106	448	113	39	13	100%	5.9	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	2.8%	3.90	3.97	+1.8
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	16	16	96	405	101	36	12	100%	6.0	25.0%	8.9%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	4.14	+1.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	86	363	89	34	12	100%	6.1	24.6%	9.3%	15.3%	3.2%	4.23	4.35	+1.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	13	13	76	321	77	31	11	100%	5.8	24.1%	9.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.44	4.57	+0.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	67	283	67	29	11	100%	6.1	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.7%	4.67	4.82	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		223	223	1283	5415	1348	479	149	100%	5.8	24.9%	8.8%	16.1%	2.8%	4.01	3.63	+27.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	210	75	23	100%	5.7	24.9%	8.8%	16.1%	2.8%	4.01	3.63	+4.3
Career	—	MLE		42	41	188	792	167	93	16	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+24.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	44	200	844	178	99	17	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 83 IPFIP 2.83 → 3.68 (+0.86)K% 26.1% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.05%	—	×0.770	20.06%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.36%	—	×1.150	11.92%
HR / BF /BF	1.12%	÷1.000	×1.250	1.40%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 2.83 → 3.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 31 IPFIP 3.86 → 4.68 (+0.82)K% 25.0% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.810	20.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.50%	—	×1.100	13.75%
HR / BF /BF	2.34%	÷1.000	×1.200	2.81%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.86 → 4.68, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 56 IPFIP 2.04 → 3.00 (+0.96)K% 31.9% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.91%	—	×0.740	23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.06%	—	×1.180	13.06%
HR / BF /BF	0.43%	÷1.281	×1.300	0.43%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 156).

Result: FIP 2.04 → 3.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 14 IPFIP 5.07 → 8.17 (+3.10)K% 25.0% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.680	17.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	3.33%	—	×1.250	4.17%
HR / BF /BF	6.67%	÷0.856	×1.400	10.90%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 71).

Result: FIP 5.07 → 8.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Caminiti (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.6%	—	4.07	23.8%	14.3%	380	-0.45	—	—	—
Thomas White L 2024 · 3.66 FIP	19	SP	3.66	22.2%	10.8%	1.9%	.332	2.96	29.5%	16.5%	99	-0.70	2.64	195	91
Keegan Akin L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP	4.55	20.2%	12.5%	2.9%	.303	4.23	22.2%	10.7%	276	-0.32	2.62	743	88
Joe Whitman L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP	3.89	18.6%	9.9%	2.0%	.303	3.65	19.8%	11.7%	252	-0.24	3.51	355	86
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	212	85
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.79	281	84
Connelly Early L 2024 · 3.33 FIP	22	SP	3.33	24.1%	9.8%	1.9%	.292	3.28	26.0%	17.0%	214	-0.05	2.52	318	84
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	84
Pete Hansen L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP	4.18	20.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.283	3.85	18.0%	10.5%	367	-0.33	3.77	480	83
Parker Messick L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	22	SP	3.91	19.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.296	3.17	24.8%	17.3%	458	-0.74	2.97	580	83
Max Fried L 2016 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP	4.85	19.5%	13.0%	3.2%	.301	3.76	22.6%	13.4%	378	-1.09	2.51	1,448	83
Tyler Schweitzer L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP	4.50	19.6%	11.3%	3.0%	.293	4.19	16.8%	8.7%	321	-0.31	4.12	428	83
Robby Snelling L 2024 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP	4.89	18.1%	10.0%	3.7%	.340	2.99	26.9%	18.8%	165	-1.90	2.85	378	82
Brycen Mautz L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	22	SP	3.62	18.7%	11.6%	1.1%	.308	4.59	20.5%	9.9%	337	+0.97	3.62	441	82
Justus Sheffield L 2016 · 3.94 FIP	20	SP	3.94	18.2%	11.3%	1.7%	.299	4.28	19.8%	9.3%	378	+0.34	2.93	984	82
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	82
Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	17.2%	12.3%	3.4%	.287	6.36	14.3%	-6.0%	32	+1.27	5.09	136	81
Austin Krob L 2023 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP	3.59	19.9%	10.7%	1.5%	.329	3.99	17.6%	7.2%	171	+0.40	3.59	280	81
Anthony Veneziano L 2021 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP	4.27	24.9%	10.8%	3.5%	.298	4.94	18.6%	8.6%	358	+0.67	4.18	539	81
Mitchell Parker L 2021 · 4.08 FIP	21	SP	4.08	24.0%	9.8%	3.2%	.354	3.94	21.4%	9.9%	375	-0.14	3.73	694	80
Shane McClanahan L 2019 · 3.36 FIP	22	SP	3.36	23.3%	10.4%	1.7%	.315	3.07	29.0%	22.6%	290	-0.29	2.95	643	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 927 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 430 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.8	111	24.6%	9.1%	1.06	4.06
Jose DeLeon ('83-'95, 22 WAR*)	9.5	146	25.8%*	10.4%*	1.01*	4.17*
Bruce Kison ('71-'85, 16 WAR*)	9.0	121	20.4%*	8.5%*	1.10*	4.16*
Frankie Montas ('25)	3.9	98	23.6%	8.2%	1.20	4.20
Danny Duffy ('21)	5.9	107	21.1%	8.7%	1.11	3.95
Francisco Liriano ('19)	9.1	130	23.3%	10.5%	0.91	4.15
Rudy May ('65-'83, 28 WAR*)	13.1	175	23.4%*	8.6%*	1.00*	4.17*