Cam Caminiti — OGILVIE

Cam Caminiti P Rome Emperors

Age 19 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 3.0 · 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.30

FIP4.30

K%24.4%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%13.9%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$46M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL4555

CMD4555

K†6065

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-1	$8M	+2.3	$14M	+$9M
2031	Arb-2	$13M	+2.5	$14M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$21M	+2.7	$14M	+$3M
Totals		$44M		$65M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.43	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	30.5%	9.5%	21.0%	1.7%	3.09	2.66	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
YTD	19	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	A+ RAW	ATL	18	17	83	357	93	37	4	94%	4.6	26.1%	10.4%	15.7%	1.1%	3.89	2.83	—
2026	19	AA RAW	ATL	6	6	31	128	32	16	3	100%	5.2	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	2.3%	2.01	3.86	—
ROS	19	MLB MLE	ATL	2	2	8	32	8	3	1	100%	3.8	24.4%	10.6%	13.9%	2.8%	4.30	4.30	+0.1
2026 TOT	19	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	122	517	133	56	8	—	—	25.7%	10.9%	14.8%	1.5%	3.43	3.97	+1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	32	32	148	624	154	60	17	100%	4.6	24.6%	9.7%	14.9%	2.8%	4.21	4.15	+1.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	33	33	175	739	183	67	20	100%	5.3	24.8%	9.0%	15.8%	2.7%	4.11	4.03	+1.8
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	33	33	180	760	194	64	20	100%	5.5	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.7%	3.96	3.86	+2.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	33	33	180	760	200	61	20	100%	5.5	26.2%	8.0%	18.2%	2.6%	3.82	3.73	+2.5
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	32	32	180	760	204	59	20	100%	5.6	26.8%	7.8%	19.0%	2.6%	3.71	3.64	+2.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	31	31	180	760	207	58	20	100%	5.8	27.2%	7.6%	19.6%	2.6%	3.63	3.58	+2.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	180	760	208	58	20	100%	6.0	27.4%	7.6%	19.8%	2.6%	3.59	3.56	+2.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	177	749	205	58	20	100%	5.9	27.4%	7.7%	19.7%	2.7%	3.59	3.60	+2.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	29	29	172	726	198	57	20	100%	5.9	27.3%	7.8%	19.4%	2.8%	3.64	3.68	+2.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	27	27	164	694	188	56	20	100%	6.1	27.1%	8.1%	19.0%	2.9%	3.74	3.81	+2.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	26	26	154	652	174	54	20	100%	5.9	26.7%	8.4%	18.3%	3.1%	3.89	3.99	+1.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	24	24	144	608	160	53	20	100%	6.0	26.3%	8.7%	17.6%	3.3%	4.07	4.19	+1.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	22	22	133	562	145	51	20	100%	6.1	25.9%	9.1%	16.7%	3.6%	4.28	4.42	+0.7
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	16	16	73	308	76	30	9	100%	4.6	24.6%	9.7%	14.9%	2.8%	4.21	4.15	+0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	26	26	128	540	134	49	15	100%	4.9	24.8%	9.0%	15.8%	2.7%	4.11	4.03	+1.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	30	30	152	642	164	54	17	100%	5.1	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.7%	3.96	3.86	+1.9
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	30	30	162	684	180	55	18	100%	5.4	26.2%	8.0%	18.2%	2.6%	3.82	3.73	+2.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	30	30	166	701	188	55	18	100%	5.5	26.8%	7.8%	19.0%	2.6%	3.71	3.64	+2.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	29	29	168	709	193	54	18	100%	5.8	27.2%	7.6%	19.6%	2.6%	3.63	3.58	+2.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	171	722	198	55	19	100%	6.1	27.4%	7.6%	19.8%	2.6%	3.59	3.56	+2.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	168	709	194	55	19	100%	6.0	27.4%	7.7%	19.7%	2.7%	3.59	3.60	+2.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	27	27	163	688	188	54	19	100%	6.0	27.3%	7.8%	19.4%	2.8%	3.64	3.68	+2.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	26	26	156	659	178	53	19	100%	6.0	27.1%	8.1%	19.0%	2.9%	3.74	3.81	+2.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	24	24	147	621	166	52	19	100%	6.1	26.7%	8.4%	18.3%	3.1%	3.89	3.99	+1.6
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	23	23	137	578	152	50	19	100%	6.0	26.3%	8.7%	17.6%	3.3%	4.07	4.19	+1.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	21	21	127	536	139	49	19	100%	6.0	25.9%	9.1%	16.7%	3.6%	4.28	4.42	+0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		339	339	1918	8097	2149	663	229	100%	5.7	26.5%	8.2%	18.3%	2.8%	3.83	3.45	+34.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	224	69	24	100%	5.7	26.5%	8.2%	18.3%	2.8%	3.83	3.45	+3.6
Career	—	MLE		42	41	188	792	167	93	16	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+27.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	44	200	844	178	99	17	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Caminiti (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	24.4%	10.6%	2.8%	—	4.00	25.0%	16.0%	503	-0.30	—	—	—
Robby Snelling L 2023 · 3.16 FIP	19	SP	3.16	21.6%	9.4%	1.3%	.300	3.78	23.1%	14.2%	274	+0.62	2.95	378	85
Mitch Bratt L 2022 · 3.44 FIP	19	SP	3.44	21.8%	9.8%	1.7%	.302	3.64	22.0%	15.9%	294	+0.20	3.44	476	82
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	209	82
Mitchell Parker L 2021 · 4.08 FIP	21	SP	4.08	24.0%	9.8%	3.2%	.354	3.95	21.3%	9.9%	375	-0.13	3.73	694	81
Adam Seminaris L 2021 · 3.94 FIP	22	SP	3.94	22.7%	8.3%	3.1%	.357	3.75	18.2%	9.3%	230	-0.19	3.00	577	80
Cody Reed L 2016 · 3.34 FIP	20	SP	3.34	19.9%	7.3%	1.8%	.324	4.35	18.7%	10.3%	136	+1.01	3.34	212	80
Jordan Wicks L 2022 · 3.83 FIP	22	SP	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.329	4.15	20.6%	12.8%	278	+0.32	2.97	469	80
Cade Povich L 2022 · 4.08 FIP	22	SP	4.08	23.9%	9.2%	3.3%	.293	4.05	23.3%	13.9%	414	-0.03	3.81	623	79
Francis Texido L 2023 · 3.64 FIP	18	SP	3.64	20.4%	7.4%	2.4%	.260	5.41	16.0%	-2.9%	285	+1.77	3.64	336	79
Keegan Akin L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP	4.55	20.2%	12.5%	2.9%	.303	4.23	22.2%	10.7%	276	-0.32	2.62	743	78
José Suarez L 2017 · 4.21 FIP	19	SP	4.21	23.6%	9.5%	3.5%	.325	4.28	20.9%	11.3%	221	+0.07	2.86	909	78
Parker Messick L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	22	SP	3.91	19.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.296	3.21	24.7%	17.0%	444	-0.70	3.02	566	78
Shane McClanahan L 2019 · 3.36 FIP	22	SP	3.36	23.3%	10.4%	1.7%	.315	3.07	29.0%	22.6%	290	-0.29	2.95	643	77
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.92	278	77
Kevin Smith L 2019 · 3.26 FIP	22	SP	3.26	21.2%	9.2%	1.4%	.337	5.78	21.5%	5.1%	131	+2.52	3.26	248	77
Kyle Harrison L 2021 · 3.12 FIP	19	SP	3.12	26.4%	13.9%	0.9%	.364	4.23	27.0%	16.6%	338	+1.11	3.12	659	77
Will Dion L 2022 · 3.40 FIP	22	SP	3.40	22.7%	7.9%	2.2%	.285	4.04	19.8%	11.3%	332	+0.64	3.09	526	77
DL Hall L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	19	SP	4.36	18.9%	12.7%	2.3%	.255	3.66	28.5%	11.8%	112	-0.70	3.49	539	77
Jake Bennett L 2023 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP	3.41	21.2%	7.2%	2.2%	.339	3.36	19.1%	13.6%	214	-0.05	3.32	277	76
Rodney Boone L 2022 · 4.51 FIP	22	SP	4.51	22.2%	7.2%	4.3%	.286	4.52	19.0%	9.7%	197	+0.01	3.64	311	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	11.3	161	26.4%	8.3%	1.09	3.87
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45