Cam Caminiti — OGILVIE

Cam Caminiti P Rome Emperors

Age 20 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.3 · 2032

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 98 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%22.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP98

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 98 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$42M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF5055

CTRL4550

CMD4555

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.1	$12M	+$8M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.3	$13M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$19M	+2.4	$12M	+$2M
Totals		$41M		$59M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2024	17	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	1	1	3	12	4	0	0	100%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.43	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.0%	2.6%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	70	295	90	28	5	100%	4.1	30.5%	9.5%	21.0%	1.7%	3.09	2.66	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	1.8%	3.38	3.95	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	115	485	125	53	7	96%	4.8	25.8%	10.9%	14.8%	1.4%	3.38	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	21	21	98	414	91	48	11	100%	4.7	22.0%	11.6%	10.4%	2.6%	4.52	4.52	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	29	29	142	601	137	63	15	100%	4.9	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.29	+1.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	33	33	175	739	177	70	19	100%	5.3	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.05	+1.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	33	33	180	760	187	67	19	100%	5.5	24.6%	8.8%	15.8%	2.5%	4.02	3.90	+2.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	32	32	180	760	191	64	19	100%	5.6	25.1%	8.4%	16.7%	2.5%	3.89	3.80	+2.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	31	31	180	760	194	62	19	100%	5.8	25.5%	8.2%	17.3%	2.5%	3.80	3.74	+2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	180	760	195	62	19	100%	6.0	25.7%	8.2%	17.5%	2.5%	3.75	3.71	+2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	177	749	192	62	19	100%	5.9	25.7%	8.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.75	3.75	+2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	29	29	172	726	186	61	19	100%	5.9	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.6%	3.80	3.84	+2.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	27	27	164	694	176	60	19	100%	6.1	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	2.8%	3.90	3.97	+1.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	26	26	154	652	163	58	20	100%	5.9	25.0%	8.9%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	4.14	+1.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	24	24	144	608	149	56	20	100%	6.0	24.6%	9.3%	15.3%	3.2%	4.23	4.35	+0.9
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	22	22	133	562	136	54	20	100%	6.1	24.1%	9.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.44	4.57	+0.5
2040	33	MLB MLE	ATL	20	20	122	516	122	52	19	100%	6.1	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.7%	4.67	4.82	+0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	14	14	70	296	67	31	8	100%	5.0	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.29	+0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	25	25	128	540	129	51	14	100%	5.1	23.9%	9.4%	14.5%	2.5%	4.18	4.05	+1.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	152	642	158	56	16	100%	5.4	24.6%	8.8%	15.8%	2.5%	4.02	3.90	+1.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	29	29	160	676	170	57	17	100%	5.5	25.1%	8.4%	16.7%	2.5%	3.89	3.80	+2.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	165	697	178	57	17	100%	5.9	25.5%	8.2%	17.3%	2.5%	3.80	3.74	+2.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	168	709	182	58	18	100%	6.0	25.7%	8.2%	17.5%	2.5%	3.75	3.71	+2.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	168	709	182	59	18	100%	6.0	25.7%	8.2%	17.4%	2.5%	3.75	3.75	+2.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	27	27	163	688	176	58	18	100%	6.0	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	2.6%	3.80	3.84	+2.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	26	26	156	659	167	57	18	100%	6.0	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	2.8%	3.90	3.97	+1.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	24	24	147	621	155	55	19	100%	6.1	25.0%	8.9%	16.0%	3.0%	4.05	4.14	+1.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	23	23	137	578	142	54	19	100%	6.0	24.6%	9.3%	15.3%	3.2%	4.23	4.35	+0.9
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	21	21	127	536	129	52	19	100%	6.0	24.1%	9.7%	14.4%	3.5%	4.44	4.57	+0.5
2040	33	MLB CTX	ATL	19	19	116	490	116	50	18	100%	6.1	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.7%	4.67	4.82	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		322	322	1858	7843	1952	694	218	100%	5.8	24.9%	8.8%	16.0%	2.8%	4.02	3.65	+28.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	210	75	23	100%	5.8	24.9%	8.8%	16.0%	2.8%	4.02	3.65	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		42	41	188	792	167	93	16	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+21.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	44	200	844	178	99	17	98%	4.5	21.1%	11.8%	9.3%	2.0%	3.26	3.93	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Caminiti (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	22.0%	11.6%	2.6%	—	4.06	23.8%	14.4%	497	-0.46	—	—	—
Thomas White L 2024 · 3.66 FIP	19	SP	3.66	22.2%	10.8%	1.9%	.332	2.96	29.5%	16.5%	99	-0.70	2.64	195	91
Keegan Akin L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP	4.55	20.2%	12.5%	2.9%	.303	4.23	22.2%	10.7%	276	-0.32	2.62	743	88
Joe Whitman L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP	3.89	18.6%	9.9%	2.0%	.303	3.65	19.8%	11.7%	252	-0.24	3.51	355	86
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	212	85
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.79	281	84
Connelly Early L 2024 · 3.33 FIP	22	SP	3.33	24.1%	9.8%	1.9%	.292	3.28	26.0%	17.0%	214	-0.05	2.52	318	84
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	84
Pete Hansen L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	23	SP	4.18	20.1%	9.9%	2.8%	.283	3.85	18.0%	10.5%	367	-0.33	3.77	480	83
Parker Messick L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	22	SP	3.91	19.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.296	3.17	24.8%	17.3%	458	-0.74	2.97	580	83
Max Fried L 2016 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP	4.85	19.5%	13.0%	3.2%	.301	3.76	22.6%	13.4%	378	-1.09	2.51	1,448	83
Tyler Schweitzer L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP	4.50	19.6%	11.3%	3.0%	.293	4.19	16.8%	8.7%	321	-0.31	4.12	428	83
Robby Snelling L 2024 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP	4.89	18.1%	10.0%	3.7%	.340	2.99	26.9%	18.8%	165	-1.90	2.85	378	82
Brycen Mautz L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	22	SP	3.62	18.7%	11.6%	1.1%	.308	4.59	20.5%	9.9%	337	+0.97	3.62	441	82
Justus Sheffield L 2016 · 3.94 FIP	20	SP	3.94	18.2%	11.3%	1.7%	.299	4.28	19.8%	9.3%	378	+0.34	2.93	984	82
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	82
Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	17.2%	12.3%	3.4%	.287	6.36	14.3%	-6.0%	32	+1.27	5.09	136	81
Austin Krob L 2023 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP	3.59	19.9%	10.7%	1.5%	.329	3.99	17.6%	7.2%	171	+0.40	3.59	280	81
Anthony Veneziano L 2021 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP	4.27	24.9%	10.8%	3.5%	.298	4.94	18.6%	8.6%	358	+0.67	4.18	539	81
Mitchell Parker L 2021 · 4.08 FIP	21	SP	4.08	24.0%	9.8%	3.2%	.354	3.94	21.4%	9.9%	375	-0.14	3.73	694	80
Shane McClanahan L 2019 · 3.36 FIP	22	SP	3.36	23.3%	10.4%	1.7%	.315	3.07	29.0%	22.6%	290	-0.29	2.95	643	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 497 starter careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	11.0	157	24.7%	9.0%	1.07	4.06
Lance Lynn ('24)	10.0	154	23.7%	8.3%	1.04	3.74
Scott Kazmir ('21)	8.5	155	22.1%	9.4%	1.02	4.02
Chris Archer ('22)	6.8	151	25.4%	8.3%	1.09	3.93
Charlie Morton ('25)	11.3	133	22.5%	8.8%	0.90	4.13
Jake Arrieta ('21)	8.1	134	21.2%	8.5%	1.01	3.98
Trevor Bauer ('21)	6.5	162	25.9%	9.0%	1.11	3.79