Tyler Schweitzer
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 120
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%17.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 119 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+0.5 (37%)
CH (9%)
SI (3%)
SL-1.5 (54%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 107 | 463 | 121 | 45 | 10 | 96% | 4.7 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 3.94 | 4.66 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 107 | 463 | 121 | 45 | 10 | 96% | 4.7 | 26.1% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 2.2% | 3.94 | 3.31 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 132 | 552 | 136 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 4.02 | 4.38 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 132 | 552 | 136 | 41 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.6% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 2.2% | 4.02 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 10 | 100 | 428 | 81 | 41 | 13 | 37% | 3.7 | 16.0% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 4.61 | 4.17 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 10 | 100 | 428 | 81 | 41 | 13 | 37% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 26 | 4 | 52 | 226 | 40 | 11 | 5 | 15% | 2.0 | 17.2% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 3.87 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CWS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 119 | 509 | 88 | 37 | 13 | — | — | 17.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 4.45 | 4.18 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 77 | 326 | 88 | 37 | 13 | — | — | 27.0% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 4.0% | 6.89 | 4.49 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 73 | 0 | 77 | 326 | 56 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 4.72 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 57 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 70 | 0 | 74 | 311 | 56 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.74 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 70 | 0 | 73 | 308 | 53 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 4.72 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 69 | 0 | 72 | 304 | 54 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.70 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.74 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 275 | 0 | 292 | 1234 | 212 | 117 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.32 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 80 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 101 | 61 | 391 | 1669 | 306 | 152 | 49 | 60% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.33 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 853 | 157 | 78 | 25 | 60% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Schweitzer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.72 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 227 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Matt Tracy L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 82 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 80 |
| Drake Britton L 2027 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 79 |
| Nico Tellache L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 77 |
| Eric Wooten L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 77 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.05 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 129 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 76 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 1.4% | .322 | 5.90 | 28.8% | 13.9% | 13 | +2.06 | 3.84 | 249 | 75 |
| Justin Marks L 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 75 |
| Michael Roth L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.67 | 12.1% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .298 | 4.50 | 13.5% | 6.2% | 358 | -0.17 | 4.22 | 483 | 74 |
| Nick Additon L 2028 · 3.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .307 | 4.62 | 14.4% | 7.1% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.06 | 217 | 74 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 74 |
| Carlos Teller L 2029 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.72 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% | .329 | 4.99 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 187 | +1.27 | 3.72 | 333 | 74 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 73 |
| Matt Tomshaw L 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.95 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.49 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.46 | 2.95 | 681 | 73 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 73 |
| Colin Rodgers L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 313 | 73 |
| Brad Hand L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.96 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .326 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 241 | -1.15 | 0.84 | 577 | 73 |
| Pat Peterson L 2023 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 108 | 72 |
| Jackson Wolf L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.3% | 13.4% | 2.5% | .344 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 203 | -0.43 | 3.99 | 572 | 72 |
| Ryan Kellogg L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | .359 | 4.23 | 12.3% | 7.1% | 64 | +0.18 | 3.65 | 446 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 76 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 1.08 | 4.76 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |