Nick Dombkowski
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 226 lbs
AAA
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.1%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%9.1%
IP76
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 11 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 3.86 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 36 | 2 | 67 | 280 | 86 | 19 | 7 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 3.07 | 3.67 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 34 | 8 | 88 | 373 | 61 | 26 | 13 | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.19 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 30 | 12 | 82 | 358 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 3.64 | 5.00 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 32 | 12 | 84 | 362 | 75 | 32 | 15 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 5.12 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 4 | 4 | 18 | 83 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 12.7% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 7.64 | 6.54 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 59 | 33 | 12 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 5.33 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 93 | 403 | 71 | 43 | 16 | 17.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 5.77 | 5.56 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 14 | 75 | 315 | 60 | 33 | 12 | 19.0% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 5.24 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 59 | 32 | 12 | 19.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 57 | 31 | 11 | 19.2% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 5.21 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 55 | 30 | 11 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 5.25 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 52 | 29 | 11 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 5.33 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 49 | 29 | 11 | 18.5% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 5.42 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 60 | — | 60 | 251 | 46 | 28 | 10 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.52 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 56 | — | 56 | 237 | 42 | 27 | 10 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 5.63 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 38 | 25 | 10 | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 5.76 | 5.85 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 147 | 38 | 358 | 1536 | 264 | 147 | 61 | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 4.23 | 5.03 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 21 | 200 | 859 | 148 | 82 | 34 | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 4.23 | 5.03 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Dombkowski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.33 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 3.8% | — | 5.24 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 218 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.12 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .285 | 6.29 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.17 | 3.36 | 144 | 93 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 87 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 83 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 82 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.56 | 3.04 | 120 | 81 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 81 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .269 | 3.94 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.21 | 3.90 | 161 | 81 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.26 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 80 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.57 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 5.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 451 | 80 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 80 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 79 |
| Brian Holmes L 2025 · 5.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.91 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 205 | 79 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 79 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 79 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.67 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.3% | .278 | 5.04 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.37 | 4.67 | 118 | 79 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.9% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 229 | 78 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 165 | 78 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.19 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | .302 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.3% | 73 | -2.20 | 2.22 | 286 | 78 |
| Wei-Chung Wang L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.88 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 387 | 78 |
| Marlon Arias L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.