Nick Dombkowski
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 226 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127137vR 146
ERA5.65
FIP5.65
K%16.8%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 11 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 4.09 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 11 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 28.7% | 7.5% | 21.2% | 3.8% | 3.86 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 2 | 67 | 280 | 86 | 19 | 7 | 6% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 2 | 67 | 280 | 86 | 19 | 7 | 6% | 1.9 | 30.7% | 6.8% | 23.9% | 2.5% | 3.07 | 2.74 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 8 | 88 | 373 | 61 | 26 | 13 | 24% | 2.6 | 13.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.19 | 4.99 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 8 | 88 | 373 | 61 | 26 | 13 | 24% | 2.6 | 16.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.19 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 12 | 82 | 358 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 40% | 2.7 | 16.7% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.64 | 5.37 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 12 | 82 | 358 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 40% | 2.7 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 3.64 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 12 | 84 | 362 | 75 | 32 | 15 | 38% | 2.6 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.12 | 6.08 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 32 | 12 | 84 | 362 | 75 | 32 | 15 | 38% | 2.6 | 20.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 5.12 | 4.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 23 | 7 | 61 | 283 | 50 | 30 | 13 | 30% | 2.7 | 14.9% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.75 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PIT | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 50 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PIT | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.65 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 131 | 579 | 100 | 62 | 25 | — | — | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.16 | 5.82 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 16.8% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 31 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.57 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 48 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.57 | 5.64 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.57 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.57 | 5.64 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 55 | 34 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.58 | 5.25 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 92 | 35 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.58 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 41 | 401 | 1736 | 295 | 169 | 73 | 25% | 2.4 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.46 | 5.19 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 20 | 200 | 865 | 147 | 84 | 36 | 25% | 2.4 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.46 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Dombkowski (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.65 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 4.1% | — | 5.62 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 133 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 85 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.29 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.3% | .285 | 6.48 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 144 | 83 |
| Eric Jokisch L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.96 | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | .330 | 3.92 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 283 | -1.04 | 3.80 | 412 | 81 |
| Brian Holmes L 2025 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 80 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 78 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 76 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 76 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 74 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2028 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 74 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.99 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 73 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.70 | 17.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | .308 | 4.02 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 81 | -0.68 | 3.38 | 353 | 73 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 219 | 73 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.89 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .260 | 6.02 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.13 | 3.79 | 132 | 72 |
| Tommy Vail L 2025 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 72 |
| Drew Parrish L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.16 | 15.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 522 | 72 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 71 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 71 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.20 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 69 |
| Mitch Stallings L 2025 · 5.92 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.92 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 108 | 69 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 17.2% | 10.7% | 1.59 | 5.60 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |