Evan Shawver
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 26
LHP
6'0" / 175 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113123vR 132
ERA5.00
FIP5.00
K%18.3%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.42 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.35 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 66 | 284 | 70 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 4.07 | 4.04 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 66 | 284 | 70 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 24.6% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 24 | 4 | 50 | 237 | 49 | 34 | 7 | 17% | 2.1 | 15.9% | 16.5% | -0.6% | 3.4% | 5.94 | 5.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 24 | 4 | 50 | 237 | 49 | 34 | 7 | 17% | 2.1 | 20.7% | 14.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.94 | 5.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 36 | 6 | 50 | 209 | 50 | 29 | 2 | 17% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 15.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 2.90 | 4.15 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 36 | 6 | 50 | 209 | 50 | 29 | 2 | 17% | 1.4 | 23.9% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 2.90 | 3.36 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 36 | 0 | 53 | 243 | 56 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 36 | 0 | 53 | 243 | 56 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 5.30 | 4.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 17 | 3 | 39 | 167 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 18% | 2.3 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 2.97 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 109 | 463 | 92 | 50 | 12 | — | — | 19.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.65 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 7 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 18.3% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 55 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 54 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 74 | 0 | 78 | 330 | 62 | 40 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.61 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 159 | 102 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.96 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 132 | 28 | 262 | 1153 | 211 | 141 | 27 | 21% | 2.0 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.23 | 4.40 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 21 | 200 | 880 | 161 | 108 | 21 | 21% | 2.0 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 4.23 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Shawver (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 18.3% | 12.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.98 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 136 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 84 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.01 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 49 | -0.26 | 2.69 | 221 | 83 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 83 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 82 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 81 |
| Will Lamb L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 81 |
| Rob Zastryzny L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.44 | 18.4% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | 4.82 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 142 | +0.38 | 3.26 | 634 | 80 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 79 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Adam Wolf L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 17.2% | 11.5% | 1.5% | .257 | 5.13 | 15.2% | 6.5% | 24 | +1.22 | 3.91 | 383 | 79 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 235 | 79 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 79 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.7% | .258 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 4.6% | 144 | +0.04 | 4.44 | 188 | 79 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 219 | 79 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 79 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 79 |
| Russell Smith L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 79 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 78 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 78 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 18.7% | 12.3% | 1.08 | 4.97 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |