Evan Shawver — OGILVIE

Evan Shawver P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 175 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 130

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%18.3%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	13	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.42	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	13	1	1	0	0%	1.0	7.7%	7.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.35	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	66	284	70	26	8	100%	4.4	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	2.7%	4.07	4.32	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	66	284	70	26	8	100%	4.4	24.6%	9.2%	15.5%	2.8%	4.07	3.73	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	24	4	50	237	49	34	7	17%	2.1	15.9%	16.5%	-0.6%	3.5%	5.94	5.78	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	24	4	50	237	49	34	7	17%	2.1	15.9%	16.5%	-0.6%	3.5%	5.94	5.78	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	24	4	50	237	49	34	7	17%	2.1	20.7%	14.3%	6.3%	3.0%	5.94	5.00	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	6	50	209	50	29	2	17%	1.4	19.4%	15.3%	4.1%	1.3%	2.90	4.08	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	6	50	209	50	29	2	17%	1.4	19.4%	15.3%	4.1%	1.3%	2.90	4.08	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	36	6	50	209	50	29	2	17%	1.4	23.9%	13.9%	10.0%	1.0%	2.90	3.36	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	0	53	243	56	23	7	0%	1.5	18.7%	10.4%	8.3%	2.8%	5.30	4.35	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	36	0	53	243	56	23	7	0%	1.5	18.7%	10.4%	8.3%	2.8%	5.30	4.35	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	36	0	53	243	56	23	7	0%	1.5	23.0%	9.5%	13.6%	2.9%	5.30	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	30	4	59	258	52	22	5	13%	2.0	16.6%	8.0%	8.7%	2.2%	3.03	3.92	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	30	4	59	258	52	22	5	13%	2.0	16.6%	8.0%	8.7%	2.2%	3.03	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	COL	7	1	14	61	12	4	2	14%	2.0	19.7%	6.6%	13.1%	3.3%	5.02	4.07	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	COL	23	3	45	197	40	18	3	13%	2.0	20.3%	9.1%	11.2%	1.5%	2.40	3.38	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	5	3	1	0%	1.1	18.3%	12.7%	5.6%	2.8%	5.08	5.08	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	66	285	57	25	6	—	—	20.0%	8.9%	11.1%	2.0%	3.23	4.03	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	55	36	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.9%	5.03	5.04	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	54	35	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	51	34	8	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	3.1%	5.10	5.17	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	28	0	29	122	23	15	4	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.9%	5.03	5.04	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	40	0	42	177	34	22	5	0%	1.1	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	45	0	47	198	38	25	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	3.1%	5.10	5.17	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	95	62	15	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	3.0%	5.06	4.72	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	105	25	0%	1.1	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	3.0%	5.06	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		145	29	282	1244	221	148	31	20%	1.9	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	2.5%	4.15	4.47	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	21	200	882	157	105	22	20%	1.9	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	2.5%	4.15	4.47	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Shawver (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	18.3%	12.7%	2.8%	—	5.09	19.0%	6.6%	200	+0.01	—	—	—
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	85
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	80
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.34	634	80
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	80
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	79
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	79
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	79
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	79
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	79
Adam Wolf L 2023 · 3.95 FIP	26	SW	3.95	17.2%	11.5%	1.5%	.257	5.00	15.2%	6.5%	24	+1.05	3.91	383	79
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	79
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	79
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	79
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	78
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	78
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	78
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	18.8%	12.5%	1.14	5.06
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04