Diego Barrera
P
Midland RockHounds
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%12.0%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 44 | 1 | 68 | 289 | 68 | 23 | 4 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 2.90 | 3.72 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 36 | 1 | 50 | 208 | 46 | 17 | 3 | 18.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 4.14 | 3.67 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 4 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 4.76 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 50 | 211 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.42 | 3.88 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 20.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 20.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 20.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 20.8% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 19.2% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 5.05 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 2 | 126 | 529 | 96 | 47 | 11 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 3.43 | 3.82 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 3 | 200 | 840 | 152 | 75 | 17 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 3.43 | 3.82 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Diego Barrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.41 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 129 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Tommy Shirley L 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.92 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.57 | 3.35 | 147 | 88 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 86 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 85 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 85 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 85 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 85 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.64 | 2.79 | 159 | 84 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .272 | 5.26 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.00 | 3.88 | 256 | 83 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.39 | 3.46 | 145 | 83 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .288 | 2.87 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.44 | 2.40 | 924 | 83 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 159 | 82 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.36 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 5.28 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +1.92 | 3.36 | 144 | 82 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.59 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.71 | 2.93 | 367 | 82 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 82 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 82 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .331 | 4.53 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.38 | 4.15 | 151 | 82 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.20 | 3.49 | 165 | 82 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 81 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.31 | 16.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.54 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 95 | +0.23 | 3.24 | 163 | 81 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .367 | 5.21 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.23 | 3.98 | 118 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.