Diego Barrera — OGILVIE

Diego Barrera P Midland RockHounds

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%17.9%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.69	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.69	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	2	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	1.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	68	289	68	23	4	2%	1.6	17.9%	9.2%	8.7%	1.7%	2.90	3.69	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	68	289	68	23	4	2%	1.6	17.9%	9.2%	8.7%	1.7%	2.90	3.69	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	1	68	289	68	23	4	2%	1.6	23.5%	8.0%	15.6%	1.4%	2.90	2.88	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	50	208	46	17	3	3%	1.4	18.5%	8.8%	9.7%	1.8%	4.14	3.66	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	50	208	46	17	3	3%	1.4	18.5%	8.8%	9.7%	1.8%	4.14	3.66	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	50	208	46	17	3	3%	1.4	22.1%	8.2%	13.9%	1.4%	4.14	3.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	37	0	44	205	44	23	7	0%	1.2	17.4%	12.3%	5.0%	4.1%	5.68	5.44	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	37	0	44	205	44	23	7	0%	1.2	17.4%	12.3%	5.0%	4.1%	5.68	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	OAK	37	0	44	205	44	23	7	0%	1.2	21.5%	11.2%	10.2%	3.4%	5.68	4.58	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	OAK	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	9.0%	8.9%	2.7%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	49	226	48	25	8	—	—	21.1%	11.0%	10.1%	3.3%	5.57	5.36	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	OAK	58	0	61	256	47	23	7	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.1%	9.4%	2.8%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	OAK	56	0	59	248	46	23	7	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.66	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	OAK	22	0	23	97	18	9	3	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.1%	9.4%	2.8%	4.58	4.59	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	OAK	33	0	35	148	28	14	4	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.2%	9.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	244	45	22	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	2.8%	4.60	4.25	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	76	24	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	2.8%	4.60	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		119	2	165	709	128	70	17	2%	1.4	18.0%	9.9%	8.2%	2.4%	3.99	4.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	861	155	85	21	2%	1.4	18.0%	9.9%	8.2%	2.4%	3.99	4.16	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Barrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	17.9%	9.0%	2.7%	—	4.62	18.6%	9.4%	119	+0.04	—	—	—
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	88
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	87
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	87
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	26	SU	3.77	20.5%	6.9%	2.8%	.287	3.21	22.3%	9.6%	66	-0.56	2.81	159	86
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	85
Patrick McCoy L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	26	SU	3.81	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.336	4.28	15.4%	1.6%	44	+0.47	3.81	113	85
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	85
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	85
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	85
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	85
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	84
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	84
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	84
Scott Alexander L 2015 · 3.51 FIP	26	SU	3.51	17.6%	6.7%	1.9%	.240	3.30	19.9%	10.8%	184	-0.21	2.90	426	84
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	84
Adam Kolarek L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	17.2%	10.3%	1.5%	.281	2.61	20.9%	12.0%	183	-1.19	2.20	504	83
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	83
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	83
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	83
Patrick Schuster L 2017 · 4.51 FIP	26	SU	4.51	19.8%	8.3%	3.7%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	160	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	18.4%	9.1%	1.08	4.59
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41