Diego Barrera
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 26
LHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 123
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%17.9%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.69 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 1 | 68 | 289 | 68 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.6 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 1.7% | 2.90 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 1 | 68 | 289 | 68 | 23 | 4 | 2% | 1.6 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 2.90 | 2.88 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 50 | 208 | 46 | 17 | 3 | 3% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 4.14 | 3.62 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 1 | 50 | 208 | 46 | 17 | 3 | 3% | 1.4 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 1.4% | 4.14 | 3.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 23 | 0 | 26 | 123 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.96 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 85 | 374 | 74 | 36 | 12 | — | — | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.93 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.57 | 4.19 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 77 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 105 | 2 | 146 | 627 | 116 | 60 | 14 | 2% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.82 | 4.02 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 3 | 200 | 859 | 159 | 82 | 20 | 2% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 3.82 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Diego Barrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.61 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 115 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 90 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 88 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.01 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 49 | -0.26 | 2.69 | 221 | 87 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .269 | 3.89 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.18 | 3.86 | 161 | 87 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 87 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 86 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 85 |
| Hayden Howard L 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.77 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 200 | 85 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 85 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 85 |
| Nolan Becker L 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.10 | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% | .313 | 6.80 | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13 | +2.70 | 3.71 | 105 | 84 |
| Patrick McCoy L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.5% | .336 | 4.17 | 15.4% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.45 | 3.72 | 113 | 84 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 84 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 84 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2029 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 83 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 83 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.38 | 17.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .240 | 3.32 | 19.9% | 10.8% | 184 | -0.06 | 2.90 | 414 | 83 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 83 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 83 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .269 | 4.43 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 330 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 1.07 | 4.58 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |