Austin Krob — OGILVIE

Austin Krob P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.8 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%15.8%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	4	23	4	2	1	67%	1.4	17.4%	8.7%	8.7%	4.3%	10.38	5.12	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	2	4	23	4	2	1	67%	1.4	17.4%	8.7%	8.7%	4.3%	10.38	5.64	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	109	470	124	43	5	95%	5.0	19.9%	10.7%	9.3%	1.5%	2.72	3.59	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	109	470	124	43	5	95%	5.0	19.9%	10.7%	9.3%	1.5%	2.72	3.59	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	109	470	124	43	5	95%	5.0	26.4%	9.1%	17.2%	1.1%	2.72	2.61	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	18.2%	9.0%	9.1%	1.9%	4.43	3.75	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	18.2%	9.0%	9.1%	1.9%	4.43	3.75	—
2024	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	22.4%	8.2%	14.2%	1.5%	4.43	3.07	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	15.4%	13.9%	1.5%	2.0%	5.93	4.65	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	15.4%	13.9%	1.5%	2.0%	5.93	4.65	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	16.1%	15.7%	0.4%	1.9%	5.93	5.00	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	SD	1	1	5	21	3	3	1	100%	5.0	15.8%	13.8%	2.1%	2.5%	5.26	5.26	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	18	18	110	464	76	61	12	100%	6.1	16.4%	13.2%	3.2%	2.6%	5.18	5.20	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	18	18	107	450	75	58	12	100%	5.9	16.7%	13.0%	3.7%	2.7%	5.17	5.21	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	SD	17	17	102	430	72	56	12	100%	6.0	16.8%	12.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.23	5.29	-0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	SD	16	16	96	404	67	53	13	100%	6.0	16.5%	13.1%	3.4%	3.1%	5.35	5.44	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	8	8	47	198	33	26	5	100%	5.9	16.4%	13.2%	3.2%	2.6%	5.18	5.20	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	11	11	67	283	47	37	8	100%	6.1	16.7%	13.0%	3.7%	2.7%	5.17	5.21	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	SD	12	12	74	312	52	40	9	100%	6.2	16.8%	12.9%	3.8%	2.9%	5.23	5.29	-0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	SD	13	13	76	321	53	42	10	100%	5.8	16.5%	13.1%	3.4%	3.1%	5.35	5.44	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	44	264	1114	185	145	32	100%	6.0	16.6%	13.0%	3.6%	2.9%	5.24	4.92	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	140	110	24	100%	6.0	16.6%	13.0%	3.6%	2.9%	5.24	4.92	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		77	54	292	1289	235	137	23	70%	3.8	18.2%	10.6%	7.6%	1.8%	4.16	3.90	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	37	200	882	161	94	16	70%	3.8	18.2%	10.6%	7.6%	1.8%	4.16	3.90	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Krob (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	15.8%	13.8%	2.5%	—	5.23	16.6%	3.6%	318	-0.03	—	—	—
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	82
Seth Lonsway L 2023 · 5.20 FIP	24	SP-	5.20	13.8%	15.3%	2.4%	.317	4.17	15.2%	4.4%	313	-1.03	3.35	498	81
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	80
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	78
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	77
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	77
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	77
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	77
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	76
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	74
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	74
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	73
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	73
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	72
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	72
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	72
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	71
Brooks Gosswein L 2023 · 5.61 FIP	24	SP-	5.61	15.2%	17.9%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	165	70
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	70
Zach King L 2023 · 5.02 FIP	25	SP-	5.02	14.1%	13.0%	2.7%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	278	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	95	16.5%	13.2%	1.08	5.23
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78