Austin Krob

P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX2 levels	22	21	109	2.72	2.61	26.4%	9.1%	—	K 19.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.59
2024	24	AASD	26	25	124	4.43	3.07	22.4%	8.2%	—	K 18.2% · BB 9.0% · FIP 3.75
2025	25	MIX2 levels	26	6	55	5.93	5.00	16.1%	15.7%	—	K 16.0% · BB 13.9% · FIP 4.61
2026	26	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	27	MLBSD	1	1	6	5.43	5.43	16.0%	14.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBSD	3	3	19	5.37	5.40	16.6%	13.9%	0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBSD	4	4	22	5.39	5.45	16.9%	13.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control30Command30

CompsJack Snodgrass (age 27) · Justin Marks (age 27) · Houston Harding (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%16.0%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%1.8%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	4	23	4	2	1	67%	1.4	17.4%	8.7%	8.7%	4.3%	10.38	5.12	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	2	4	23	4	2	1	67%	1.4	17.4%	8.7%	8.7%	4.3%	10.38	5.64	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	109	470	124	43	5	95%	5.0	19.9%	10.7%	9.3%	1.5%	2.72	3.59	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	109	470	124	43	5	95%	5.0	26.4%	9.1%	17.2%	1.1%	2.72	2.61	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	18.2%	9.0%	9.1%	1.9%	4.43	3.75	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	18.2%	9.0%	9.1%	1.9%	4.43	3.75	—
2024	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	26	25	124	535	120	44	8	96%	4.8	22.4%	8.2%	14.2%	1.5%	4.43	3.07	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	16.0%	13.9%	2.0%	2.0%	5.93	4.61	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	16.0%	13.9%	2.0%	2.0%	5.93	4.61	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	6	55	261	42	41	5	23%	2.1	16.1%	15.7%	0.4%	1.9%	5.93	5.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SD	1	1	6	25	4	4	1	100%	6.0	16.0%	14.2%	1.8%	2.7%	5.43	5.43	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	7	7	45	188	31	26	5	100%	6.4	16.6%	13.9%	2.7%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	SD	6	6	38	160	27	22	5	100%	6.3	16.9%	13.7%	3.1%	3.0%	5.39	5.45	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	3	3	19	80	13	11	2	100%	6.3	16.6%	13.9%	2.7%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	SD	4	4	22	93	16	13	3	100%	5.5	16.9%	13.7%	3.1%	3.0%	5.39	5.45	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	7	41	175	29	24	5	100%	5.9	16.8%	13.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.38	5.05	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	140	116	24	100%	6.0	16.8%	13.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.38	5.05	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		77	54	292	1289	237	137	23	70%	3.8	18.4%	10.6%	7.7%	1.8%	4.16	3.89	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	37	200	882	162	94	16	70%	3.8	18.4%	10.6%	7.7%	1.8%	4.16	3.89	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 47 IPFIP 4.46 → 4.61 (+0.14)K% 18.6% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	18.58%	—	×0.860	15.98%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.49%	—	×0.900	13.94%
HR / BF /BF	1.77%	÷0.981	×1.100	1.98%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 96).

Result: FIP 4.46 → 4.61, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 8 IPFIP 6.84 → 7.47 (+0.63)K% 0.0% → 0.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	0.00%	—	×0.810	0.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	17.14%	—	×1.100	18.86%
HR / BF /BF	2.86%	÷0.950	×1.200	3.61%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 6.84 → 7.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 124 IPFIP 3.07 → 3.75 (+0.68)K% 22.4% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.43%	—	×0.810	18.17%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.22%	—	×1.100	9.05%
HR / BF /BF	1.50%	÷0.953	×1.200	1.88%

Result: FIP 3.07 → 3.75, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 59 IPFIP 2.85 → 3.91 (+1.06)K% 25.6% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.59%	—	×0.770	19.70%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.27%	—	×1.150	9.51%
HR / BF /BF	1.57%	÷0.848	×1.250	2.32%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 70).

Result: FIP 2.85 → 3.91, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 50 IPFIP 2.34 → 3.21 (+0.87)K% 27.3% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.31%	—	×0.740	20.21%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.19%	—	×1.180	12.02%
HR / BF /BF	0.46%	÷1.121	×1.300	0.54%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 124).

Result: FIP 2.34 → 3.21, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 3 IPFIP 5.42 → 7.15 (+1.73)K% 20.0% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.00%	—	×0.740	14.80%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.00%	—	×1.180	11.80%
HR / BF /BF	5.00%	÷0.938	×1.300	6.93%

Result: FIP 5.42 → 7.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Krob (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	16.0%	14.2%	2.7%	—	5.42	16.7%	2.9%	83	-0.01	—	—	—
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	83
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	79
Houston Harding L 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	16.5%	11.2%	2.6%	.268	5.19	12.0%	0.5%	61	+0.65	3.41	239	76
Luis Ysla L 2019 · 5.78 FIP	27	SP-	5.78	18.0%	14.4%	4.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	378	76
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	73
Brad Mills L 2011 · 5.37 FIP	26	SP-	5.37	19.8%	12.1%	4.4%	.328	5.61	18.8%	7.9%	21	+0.24	4.22	243	73
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	72
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	72
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	72
Phil Dumatrait L 2008 · 4.39 FIP	27	SP-	4.39	14.8%	11.4%	2.0%	.298	5.73	13.9%	2.0%	54	+1.34	4.39	151	72
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	71
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	70
Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.79 FIP	25	SP-	4.79	18.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.74	154	69
Alex Troop L 2023 · 5.03 FIP	27	SP-	5.03	17.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.275	5.10	17.3%	10.5%	43	+0.07	2.93	379	69
Jake Miednik L 2022 · 6.12 FIP	26	SP-	6.12	10.5%	14.6%	3.8%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	1.55	126	68
Matt Lujan L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	27	SP	5.05	18.5%	11.3%	3.8%	.319	4.69	14.3%	7.9%	70	-0.36	4.06	227	68
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	68
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	68
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	68
Luis Lugo L 2021 · 5.21 FIP	27	SP-	5.21	19.5%	13.2%	3.8%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	622	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	16.4%	14.0%	1.10	5.40
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*