Austin Krob
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 26
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 141
ERA5.45
FIP5.45
K%16.3%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%0.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 1.4 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 10.38 | 5.12 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 1.4 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 10.38 | 5.64 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 109 | 470 | 124 | 43 | 5 | 95% | 5.0 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% | 2.72 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 21 | 109 | 470 | 124 | 43 | 5 | 95% | 5.0 | 26.4% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 1.1% | 2.72 | 2.61 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 26 | 25 | 124 | 535 | 120 | 44 | 8 | 96% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 4.43 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 26 | 25 | 124 | 535 | 120 | 44 | 8 | 96% | 4.8 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 1.5% | 4.43 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 6 | 55 | 261 | 42 | 41 | 5 | 23% | 2.1 | 16.4% | 16.3% | 0.1% | 2.0% | 5.93 | 4.89 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 6 | 55 | 261 | 42 | 41 | 5 | 23% | 2.1 | 16.1% | 15.7% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 5.93 | 5.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SD | 10 | 10 | 60 | 251 | 41 | 39 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.3% | 15.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 10 | 10 | 59 | 247 | 42 | 37 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.36 | 5.37 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SD | 9 | 9 | 57 | 240 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.4% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.36 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SD | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.2% | 14.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 4.99 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 122 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.2% | 14.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 54 | 292 | 1289 | 238 | 143 | 25 | 70% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 4.16 | 4.02 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 37 | 200 | 882 | 163 | 98 | 17 | 70% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 4.16 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Krob (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 16.3% | 15.4% | 2.5% | — | 5.37 | 17.2% | 2.5% | 115 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Cole Reynolds L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 83 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 78 |
| Houston Harding L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .268 | 5.21 | 12.2% | 0.1% | 54 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 232 | 76 |
| Tommy Vail L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 75 |
| Connor Oliver L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 75 |
| Justin Marks L 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 75 |
| Liam Sullivan L 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.49 | 20.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 121 | 74 |
| Matt Walker L 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 156 | 73 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 73 |
| Brooks Gosswein L 2024 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.2% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 165 | 72 |
| Scott DeCecco L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.58 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 2.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 125 | 71 |
| Drake Britton L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.82 | 11.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | .268 | 4.93 | 8.0% | -2.2% | 41 | +0.11 | 4.82 | 125 | 71 |
| Enrique Lechuga L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.64 | 10.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .354 | 3.90 | 10.5% | 4.4% | 59 | -0.74 | 3.90 | 137 | 71 |
| Wyatt Crowell L 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.01 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 2.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 198 | 70 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2024 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 69 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 68 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 68 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 67 |
| Erik Tolman L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.73 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .244 | 4.30 | 28.7% | 10.4% | 20 | -0.43 | 3.08 | 135 | 67 |
| Zach King L 2025 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.45 | 14.1% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 278 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 16.9% | 14.9% | 1.02 | 5.38 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |