Pete Hansen — OGILVIE

Pete Hansen P Memphis Redbirds

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.5 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION103 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100108vR 116

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%16.9%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 116 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD5560

K†4040

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	114	468	126	39	10	96%	4.7	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	2.8%	3.09	4.18	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	114	468	126	39	10	96%	4.7	20.1%	9.9%	10.2%	2.8%	3.09	4.18	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	114	468	126	39	10	96%	4.7	26.9%	8.3%	18.6%	2.1%	3.09	3.06	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	24	24	128	555	134	41	10	100%	5.3	18.6%	8.5%	10.1%	2.3%	3.86	3.85	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	24	24	128	555	134	41	10	100%	5.3	18.6%	8.5%	10.1%	2.3%	3.86	3.85	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	24	24	128	555	134	41	10	100%	5.3	24.1%	7.4%	16.8%	1.8%	3.86	2.98	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	26	26	137	583	123	37	12	100%	5.3	17.1%	7.0%	10.1%	2.2%	3.93	3.77	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	26	26	137	583	123	37	12	100%	5.3	17.1%	7.0%	10.1%	2.2%	3.93	3.77	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	26	26	137	583	123	37	12	100%	5.3	21.1%	6.3%	14.8%	2.1%	3.93	3.25	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	26	21	103	444	97	38	11	81%	4.0	17.8%	7.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.27	4.13	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	26	21	103	444	97	38	11	81%	4.0	17.8%	7.5%	10.3%	2.9%	4.27	4.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	STL	2	2	7	24	7	3	0	100%	3.4	29.2%	12.5%	16.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.22	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	STL	24	19	97	420	90	35	11	79%	4.0	21.4%	8.3%	13.1%	2.6%	4.47	3.78	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	STL	2	2	13	55	9	4	1	100%	6.6	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	2.6%	4.37	4.37	+0.1
ROS	26	MLB CTX	STL	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	2.4%	4.27	4.27	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	116	499	106	42	12	—	—	21.3%	8.4%	12.9%	2.5%	4.28	4.16	+1.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	STL	—	—	1	6	1	0	0	—	—	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	2.4%	4.27	3.89	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	STL	26	26	159	671	116	47	18	100%	6.1	17.3%	7.1%	10.3%	2.7%	4.38	4.40	+0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	STL	26	26	159	671	118	49	19	100%	6.1	17.6%	7.3%	10.3%	2.8%	4.43	4.47	+0.8
2029	29	MLB MLE	STL	25	25	152	641	112	48	19	100%	6.1	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.52	4.59	+0.5
2030	30	MLB MLE	STL	24	24	143	602	104	47	19	100%	5.9	17.3%	7.8%	9.5%	3.2%	4.66	4.76	+0.2
2031	31	MLB MLE	STL	22	22	133	562	95	46	19	100%	6.0	16.9%	8.2%	8.8%	3.4%	4.84	4.96	-0.1
2032	32	MLB MLE	STL	20	20	123	519	85	44	19	100%	6.2	16.5%	8.6%	7.9%	3.7%	5.05	5.19	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	STL	11	11	68	287	50	20	7	100%	6.2	17.3%	7.1%	10.3%	2.5%	4.28	4.30	+0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	STL	16	16	99	418	73	30	11	100%	6.2	17.6%	7.3%	10.3%	2.6%	4.32	4.36	+0.5
2029	29	MLB CTX	STL	18	18	110	464	82	35	13	100%	6.1	17.5%	7.5%	10.0%	2.8%	4.41	4.48	+0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	STL	19	19	114	481	83	38	14	100%	6.0	17.3%	7.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.54	4.64	+0.2
2031	31	MLB CTX	STL	19	19	112	473	80	39	15	100%	5.9	16.9%	8.2%	8.8%	3.2%	4.71	4.83	-0.1
2032	32	MLB CTX	STL	18	18	108	456	75	39	16	100%	6.0	16.5%	8.6%	7.9%	3.4%	4.91	5.05	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		102	102	613	2589	445	201	76	100%	6.0	17.2%	7.8%	9.4%	2.9%	4.55	4.25	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	145	66	25	100%	6.0	17.2%	7.8%	9.4%	2.9%	4.55	4.25	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		100	94	483	2050	376	167	51	94%	4.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.2%	2.5%	3.79	3.96	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	39	200	849	156	69	21	94%	4.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.2%	2.5%	3.79	3.96	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pete Hansen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	16.9%	6.9%	2.6%	—	4.49	17.5%	10.2%	470	+0.12	—	—	—
Chad Bell L 2015 · 3.97 FIP	26	SP	3.97	15.7%	7.4%	2.3%	.326	4.07	19.0%	10.2%	252	+0.10	3.39	393	87
Roenis Elías L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SP	4.32	17.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.299	3.98	17.7%	8.3%	251	-0.34	3.15	564	86
Chris Jones L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	26	SP-	3.80	15.0%	4.9%	2.4%	.305	4.07	13.4%	5.6%	118	+0.27	3.80	268	84
Danny Duffy L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	17.3%	9.0%	2.8%	.292	3.96	22.7%	15.3%	481	-0.33	3.29	915	83
Marco Tovar L 2015 · 3.78 FIP	26	SP	3.78	17.1%	7.8%	2.1%	.323	4.70	13.0%	6.1%	120	+0.92	3.78	327	82
Brandon Schaeffer L 2023 · 4.07 FIP	23	SP	4.07	16.4%	8.5%	2.3%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	134	82
Felix Doubront L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP	3.92	18.0%	8.4%	2.3%	.304	4.12	23.7%	14.7%	42	+0.20	3.44	291	82
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	81
Anthony Veneziano L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SP	4.25	18.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.292	4.45	17.1%	7.9%	185	+0.20	3.57	534	81
Jeff Locke L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP	3.79	17.5%	7.6%	2.2%	.306	4.59	13.7%	6.5%	159	+0.80	3.79	328	81
John Gast L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SP	3.96	14.1%	7.9%	1.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	122	80
Miguel Pena L 2017 · 3.97 FIP	26	SP	3.97	16.8%	8.2%	2.3%	.288	5.08	16.0%	9.0%	68	+1.11	2.98	282	80
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	79
Michael Roth L 2016 · 3.96 FIP	26	SP-	3.96	14.0%	7.5%	2.0%	.285	4.73	13.1%	6.0%	213	+0.77	3.96	483	79
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	79
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2016 · 3.46 FIP	26	SP	3.46	18.6%	9.7%	1.3%	.334	3.92	19.3%	9.9%	209	+0.46	3.46	440	78
Misael Siverio L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	26	SP	3.89	16.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.343	4.32	17.3%	8.2%	63	+0.43	3.89	185	78
Darin Gorski L 2015 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP	4.93	15.2%	11.4%	3.0%	.323	4.50	15.0%	5.2%	69	-0.43	4.50	206	77
Scott Diamond L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	29	SP	3.77	12.6%	4.3%	2.2%	.330	3.46	12.7%	7.9%	166	-0.31	3.46	316	77
Mike Montgomery L 2015 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP	3.88	17.3%	8.4%	2.1%	.289	3.64	18.7%	10.5%	355	-0.24	3.43	764	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.1	146	17.2%	7.6%	1.17	4.59
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Alex Cobb ('23)	4.0	114	19.5%	6.6%	1.03	4.14
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Marco Gonzales ('24)	4.4	111	17.5%	6.1%	1.26	4.13
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01