Pete Hansen
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
+1.4
WAR
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.4 · 2026
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.3%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%11.3%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2026
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 24 | 23 | 114 | 468 | 126 | 39 | 10 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 3.09 | 4.18 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 24 | 24 | 128 | 555 | 134 | 41 | 10 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 3.86 | 3.85 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 26 | 137 | 583 | 123 | 37 | 12 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 3.93 | 3.75 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 2 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.35 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 98 | 40 | 13 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +1.4 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 127 | 531 | 105 | 43 | 13 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 4.14 | 4.06 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 123 | 520 | 102 | 41 | 14 | 19.6% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 4.30 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 123 | 521 | 103 | 41 | 14 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.32 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 120 | 509 | 100 | 41 | 14 | 19.7% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.36 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | STL | 21 | 21 | 117 | 494 | 97 | 40 | 14 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +1.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | STL | 21 | 21 | 113 | 476 | 92 | 39 | 14 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +1.0 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | STL | 20 | 20 | 108 | 457 | 87 | 38 | 14 | 19.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.9 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | STL | 19 | 19 | 103 | 437 | 82 | 37 | 13 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.68 | +0.7 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 98 | 415 | 76 | 36 | 13 | 18.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.79 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | STL | 17 | 17 | 93 | 391 | 70 | 35 | 13 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.91 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | STL | 16 | 16 | 87 | 366 | 64 | 34 | 12 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.04 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 75 | 386 | 1630 | 304 | 137 | 38 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 3.61 | 3.89 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 845 | 158 | 71 | 20 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 3.61 | 3.89 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pete Hansen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.33 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 367 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.78 | 17.1% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.69 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 120 | +0.91 | 3.78 | 327 | 92 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 112 | 91 |
| Miguel Pena L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.03 | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .288 | 5.12 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 68 | +1.09 | 2.93 | 282 | 90 |
| Charlie McDaniel L 2024 · 3.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.80 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 100 | 89 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | .246 | 5.93 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.40 | 4.53 | 179 | 88 |
| Eric Wooten L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.99 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 116 | 86 |
| Felix Doubront L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.97 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.04 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.07 | 3.44 | 291 | 86 |
| Matt Tomshaw L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.91 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .318 | 3.57 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.34 | 3.08 | 681 | 86 |
| Luke Heimlich L 2023 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .350 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 118 | 84 |
| James Gillheeney L 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.81 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 129 | 84 |
| John Gast L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 122 | 83 |
| Juan Pablo Oramas L 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.41 | 18.6% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .334 | 3.88 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 209 | +0.47 | 3.41 | 440 | 83 |
| Dylan Dodd L 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.78 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .338 | 3.68 | 24.4% | 21.0% | 60 | -1.10 | 3.29 | 412 | 83 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.09 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .310 | 3.54 | 23.9% | 16.0% | 205 | -0.55 | 3.17 | 372 | 82 |
| Nick Additon L 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.74 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.5% | .307 | 4.18 | 14.4% | 7.1% | 106 | +0.44 | 3.12 | 217 | 82 |
| Chipper Smith L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 109 | 82 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.09 | 15.5% | 10.0% | 1.9% | .326 | 4.80 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 119 | +0.71 | 4.09 | 227 | 82 |
| Matt Moore L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.14 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .323 | 4.53 | 19.7% | 11.3% | 475 | +0.39 | 2.83 | 845 | 82 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.25 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 116 | 81 |
| Justin Marks L 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.91 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.68 | 3.82 | 324 | 81 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.2M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $5M | $22M | +$16M | ||