Pete Hansen
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 26
LHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%16.9%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 114 | 468 | 126 | 39 | 10 | 96% | 4.7 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 3.09 | 4.17 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 114 | 468 | 126 | 39 | 10 | 96% | 4.7 | 26.9% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 3.09 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 24 | 24 | 128 | 555 | 134 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 3.86 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 24 | 24 | 128 | 555 | 134 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.98 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 26 | 137 | 583 | 123 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.93 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 26 | 137 | 583 | 123 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 3.93 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 16 | 16 | 66 | 283 | 64 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.23 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 46 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 130 | 557 | 110 | 43 | 14 | — | — | 19.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.27 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 6 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 16.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 3.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 26 | 26 | 155 | 654 | 113 | 45 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 25 | 25 | 150 | 635 | 111 | 45 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 24 | 24 | 144 | 606 | 106 | 45 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +1.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | STL | 22 | 22 | 135 | 570 | 99 | 44 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.71 | +1.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | STL | 21 | 21 | 126 | 531 | 90 | 43 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.91 | +0.7 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | STL | 19 | 19 | 116 | 491 | 81 | 41 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 5.14 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 107 | 451 | 72 | 40 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 5.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 16 | 16 | 94 | 397 | 70 | 28 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 17 | 17 | 104 | 439 | 77 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 79 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.71 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 76 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.91 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | STL | 17 | 17 | 102 | 431 | 71 | 36 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 5.14 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | STL | 16 | 16 | 96 | 405 | 65 | 36 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.22 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 114 | 683 | 2886 | 491 | 225 | 93 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.41 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 66 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 89 | 445 | 1889 | 351 | 159 | 46 | 99% | 4.9 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 3.93 | +7.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 40 | 200 | 849 | 158 | 72 | 21 | 99% | 4.9 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pete Hansen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 16.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.43 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 449 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Roenis Elías L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.29 | 17.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .299 | 3.96 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 251 | -0.33 | 3.19 | 564 | 87 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.05 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.13 | 19.0% | 10.2% | 252 | +0.08 | 3.47 | 393 | 85 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.79 | 17.1% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.62 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 120 | +0.83 | 3.79 | 327 | 85 |
| Jeff Locke L 2027 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.71 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.50 | 13.7% | 6.5% | 159 | +0.79 | 3.71 | 328 | 83 |
| Brandon Schaeffer L 2023 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.08 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 134 | 82 |
| Miguel Pena L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .288 | 5.94 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 68 | +1.80 | 2.86 | 282 | 81 |
| John Gast L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.80 | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 122 | 81 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.53 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 112 | 81 |
| Chris Jones L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.69 | 15.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.03 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 118 | +0.34 | 3.69 | 268 | 80 |
| Felix Doubront L 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 80 |
| Mike Montgomery L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.88 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.57 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 355 | -0.31 | 3.36 | 764 | 80 |
| Kyle Hald L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.17 | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 124 | 79 |
| Danny Duffy L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .292 | 3.94 | 22.7% | 15.3% | 481 | -0.33 | 3.29 | 915 | 79 |
| Jimmy Reed L 2024 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.54 | 12.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 137 | 79 |
| Misael Siverio L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.00 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .343 | 4.52 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.52 | 4.00 | 185 | 78 |
| Nate Smith L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.17 | 16.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 288 | 78 |
| John Michael Bertrand L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.02 | 15.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .317 | 4.46 | 13.2% | 2.3% | 199 | +0.44 | 3.72 | 463 | 78 |
| Scott Diamond L 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.73 | 12.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | .330 | 3.36 | 12.7% | 7.9% | 166 | -0.37 | 3.36 | 316 | 78 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.29 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 116 | 78 |
| Darin Gorski L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.79 | 15.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .323 | 4.39 | 15.0% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.40 | 4.39 | 206 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 136 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 1.18 | 4.60 |
| Zach Davies ('23) | 9 | 116 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Adam Wainwright ('23) AS×3GG×2SS | 9 | 125 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 4.25 |
| Marco Gonzales ('24) | 8 | 111 | 17.5% | 6.1% | 1.26 | 4.13 |
| Dallas Keuchel ('23) | 9 | 132 | 18.7% | 7.3% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Tanner Roark ('20) | 6 | 149 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 1.24 | 4.19 |