John Michael Bertrand
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 28
LHP
6'3" / 238 lbs
AAA
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115124vR 133
ERA5.06
FIP5.06
K%12.7%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%2.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 134 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20% | 1.6 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.69 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20% | 1.6 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 19 | 118 | 487 | 92 | 35 | 6 | 70% | 4.4 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 3.65 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 19 | 118 | 487 | 92 | 35 | 6 | 70% | 4.4 | 18.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 1.2% | 3.65 | 3.09 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 29 | 156 | 653 | 125 | 45 | 14 | 97% | 5.2 | 15.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 4.15 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 29 | 156 | 653 | 125 | 45 | 14 | 97% | 5.2 | 19.1% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 2.1% | 4.15 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 144 | 594 | 101 | 52 | 11 | 96% | 5.3 | 13.4% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.82 | 4.23 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 144 | 594 | 101 | 52 | 11 | 96% | 5.3 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 2.82 | 3.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 15 | 13 | 67 | 313 | 45 | 36 | 7 | 87% | 4.5 | 12.7% | 12.1% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.37 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 12.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SF | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 12.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | SF | — | — | 134 | 595 | 81 | 65 | 14 | — | — | 13.6% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.22 | 4.99 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | SF | — | — | 7 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 12.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.06 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 49 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.06 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 81 | 341 | 47 | 36 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 13.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.06 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 14 | 83 | 350 | 47 | 36 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 4.79 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 113 | 87 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 13.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.10 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 88 | 493 | 2075 | 302 | 185 | 42 | 85% | 4.7 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 3.74 | 4.10 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 36 | 200 | 842 | 123 | 75 | 17 | 85% | 4.7 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 3.74 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Michael Bertrand (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.06 | 12.7% | 10.4% | 2.4% | — | 5.16 | 13.5% | 3.1% | 167 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.55 | 11.5% | 10.2% | 2.1% | .283 | 3.99 | 14.7% | 6.1% | 220 | -0.56 | 3.78 | 311 | 90 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 89 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 85 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.33 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .278 | 4.14 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 423 | -0.19 | 4.01 | 642 | 84 |
| Michael Roth L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.86 | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 483 | 82 |
| Kramer Sneed L 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.29 | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 116 | 82 |
| Kyle Hald L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.17 | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 124 | 82 |
| Amilcar Gaxiola L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.37 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 321 | 81 |
| Orlando Lara L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.00 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.09 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | +0.09 | 3.82 | 426 | 81 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.16 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .367 | 4.34 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 128 | +0.18 | 3.97 | 280 | 80 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 80 |
| Everett Teaford L 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 78 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 78 |
| Mike Belfiore L 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.3% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 135 | 77 |
| Santiago Gutierrez L 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.20 | 11.0% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .314 | 3.91 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 169 | -0.29 | 3.87 | 341 | 77 |
| Jeffry Antigua L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.65 | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 133 | 77 |
| Blair Walters L 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.72 | 14.6% | 14.2% | 1.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 262 | 76 |
| Darin Gorski L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 75 |
| Brad Mills L 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.98 | 14.5% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .294 | 6.49 | 14.4% | 2.6% | 44 | +1.51 | 4.98 | 182 | 75 |
| Felix Doubront L 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 86 | 13.2% | 10.4% | 1.02 | 5.08 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Jeff Locke ('17) | 3 | 109 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 0.99 | 5.22 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Mike Pelfrey ('17) | 3 | 135 | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.14 | 4.99 |
| Chi Chi González ('22) | 4 | 64 | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.41 | 5.44 |