Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 18 | 97 | 423 | 128 | 49 | 12 | 86% | 4.6 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.35 | 4.83 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 18 | 97 | 423 | 128 | 49 | 12 | 86% | 4.6 | 30.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 146 | 617 | 152 | 47 | 14 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 2.83 | 4.15 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 146 | 617 | 152 | 47 | 14 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.6% | 7.6% | 17.0% | 2.3% | 2.83 | 3.23 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 5 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 60% | 2.4 | 24.8% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 8.25 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 5 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 60% | 2.4 | 30.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 8.25 | 4.35 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 17.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 17.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 3.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.1 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 67 | 33 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 55 | 48 | 259 | 1119 | 235 | 123 | 35 | 87% | 4.7 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 3.75 | 4.44 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 37 | 200 | 864 | 182 | 95 | 27 | 87% | 4.7 | 21.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 3.75 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brandon Knarr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 20 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 73 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 71 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 65 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 65 |
| John Lamb L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.76 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 390 | 64 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 64 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 64 |
| Misael Siverio L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.52 | 17.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 185 | 63 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 63 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.91 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 242 | 63 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 62 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.72 | 23.3% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 372 | 62 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 60 |
| Darin Gorski L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 60 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 311 | 59 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 248 | 59 |
| Cam Alldred L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.44 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 332 | 59 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.19 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .297 | 4.74 | 16.7% | 5.5% | 243 | +1.55 | 3.19 | 817 | 58 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 58 |
| Tommy Henry L 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.78 | 17.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .399 | 5.91 | 11.5% | -2.7% | 42 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 629 | 58 |