Brandon Knarr — OGILVIE

Brandon Knarr P ACL Brewers

Age 28 LHP 5'10" / 217 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 118

ERA4.45

FIP4.45

K%23.6%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	18	97	423	128	49	12	86%	4.6	22.6%	13.6%	9.0%	3.5%	4.35	4.86	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	18	97	423	128	49	12	86%	4.6	30.3%	11.6%	18.7%	2.8%	4.35	3.58	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	146	617	152	47	14	100%	5.6	19.5%	8.5%	11.0%	2.8%	2.83	4.08	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	146	617	152	47	14	100%	5.6	24.6%	7.6%	17.0%	2.3%	2.83	3.23	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	5	3	12	62	19	9	2	60%	2.4	24.8%	16.0%	8.9%	3.7%	8.25	5.04	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	5	3	12	62	19	9	2	60%	2.4	24.8%	16.0%	8.9%	3.7%	8.25	5.04	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	5	3	12	62	19	9	2	60%	2.4	30.6%	14.5%	16.1%	3.2%	8.25	4.35	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	3	1	3	17	4	3	0	33%	1.1	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	0.0%	10.80	3.35	—
2024	26	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	3	1	3	17	4	3	0	33%	1.1	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	0.0%	10.80	3.35	—
2024	26	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	3	1	3	17	4	3	0	33%	1.1	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	0.0%	10.80	3.40	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	MIL	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	23.6%	10.4%	13.2%	3.0%	4.45	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIL	3	3	20	84	20	9	3	100%	6.7	23.4%	10.5%	12.8%	3.2%	4.52	4.57	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIL	1	1	6	25	6	3	1	100%	6.0	23.4%	10.5%	12.8%	3.2%	4.52	4.57	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	25	6	3	1	100%	6.0	23.4%	10.5%	12.8%	3.2%	4.52	4.19	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	201	100	33	100%	6.0	23.4%	10.5%	12.8%	3.2%	4.52	4.19	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		55	48	259	1119	235	123	35	87%	4.7	21.0%	11.0%	10.1%	3.1%	3.75	4.42	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	37	200	864	182	95	27	87%	4.7	21.0%	11.0%	10.1%	3.1%	3.75	4.42	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Knarr (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.45	23.6%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.57	23.4%	12.8%	20	+0.12	—	—	—
Mike Minor L 2016 · 5.63 FIP	28	SP	5.63	19.2%	11.8%	4.8%	.330	3.76	23.2%	16.4%	443	-1.87	2.43	807	71
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	67
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	66
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	65
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	64
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	63
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	62
John Lamb L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	28	SP	4.64	22.5%	7.2%	4.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	390	62
Derek Holland L 2015 · 4.83 FIP	28	SP	4.83	16.7%	6.1%	4.3%	.270	4.63	18.8%	9.6%	414	-0.20	3.75	686	61
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	60
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	60
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	59
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	58
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	57
Zach Penrod L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	26	SP	4.27	17.3%	14.2%	1.5%	.263	4.46	21.1%	6.8%	141	+0.19	3.41	174	57
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	27	SP	4.56	15.4%	12.3%	2.2%	.363	3.60	21.2%	13.2%	140	-0.96	3.46	440	55
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	55
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	54
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	54
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	54