Zach Penrod
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113122vR 131
ERA4.98
FIP4.98
K%21.6%
BB%14.8%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+1.4 (24%)
CH (30%)
FB-1.4 (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 75% | 2.9 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.17 | 7.27 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 75% | 2.9 | 28.6% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 6.17 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.3% | 14.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.18 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 1.1% | 2.18 | 3.39 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 12 | 67 | 287 | 96 | 37 | 5 | 41% | 2.3 | 29.3% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 2.1% | 4.05 | 3.47 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 12 | 67 | 287 | 96 | 37 | 5 | 41% | 2.3 | 33.4% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 1.7% | 4.05 | 2.86 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 6 | 33 | 179 | 32 | 37 | 3 | 23% | 1.3 | 15.1% | 21.6% | -6.5% | 2.1% | 7.83 | 5.70 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 6 | 33 | 179 | 32 | 37 | 3 | 23% | 1.3 | 17.9% | 20.7% | -2.8% | 1.7% | 7.83 | 5.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 31 | 6 | 38 | 171 | 38 | 27 | 4 | 19% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 16.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.58 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 61 | 270 | 59 | 42 | 7 | — | — | 22.0% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.6% | 14.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.02 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 0 | 14 | 64 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.25 | 4.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 235 | 0 | 200 | 887 | 180 | 138 | 14 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 16.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.25 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 31 | 170 | 782 | 171 | 125 | 20 | 33% | 1.8 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.61 | 4.68 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 111 | 36 | 200 | 920 | 201 | 147 | 23 | 33% | 1.8 | 21.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 4.61 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Penrod (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.98 | 21.6% | 14.8% | 2.7% | — | 5.09 | 21.5% | 7.0% | 22 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 73 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 72 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 71 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 70 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 70 |
| Adam Loewen L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 69 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 68 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 68 |
| Braulio Lara L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 68 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .275 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.88 | 269 | 68 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 67 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.25 | 16.3% | 11.8% | 1.9% | .345 | 4.05 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 169 | -0.20 | 3.03 | 299 | 66 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 66 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 66 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 66 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 65 |
| Robby Scott L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.42 | 23.9% | 15.9% | 4.2% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 285 | 65 |
| Justin King L 2025 · 5.56 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.56 | 24.2% | 23.6% | 2.8% | .395 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 111 | 65 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 64 |
| Jack Leathersich L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.46 | 21.7% | 19.8% | 1.3% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 101 | 64 |