Anthony Veneziano
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
LHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
MLB
ERA4.64
FIP4.90
xFIP4.18
SIERA3.96
K%19.6%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%8.7%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4324.3%
K%
p4521.4%
xwOBA vs
p120.357
FB+0.8 (42%)
SI (11%)
CH-1.5 (7%)
SL-3.8 (51%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 94 | 393 | 127 | 37 | 11 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 3.75 | 4.27 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 123 | 566 | 129 | 66 | 24 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 5.72 | 6.26 | -1.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 28 | 25 | 134 | 564 | 128 | 50 | 14 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 3.48 | 4.29 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 43 | 14 | 103 | 451 | 90 | 45 | 13 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.47 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 48 | 2 | 50 | 232 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 17.6% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 54 | 29 | 9 | 20.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 52 | 28 | 8 | 20.2% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | STL | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 50 | 27 | 8 | 19.9% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | STL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 47 | 26 | 8 | 19.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | STL | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 44 | 25 | 8 | 18.9% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | STL | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 40 | 25 | 8 | 18.3% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 5.20 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | STL | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 5.33 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | STL | 47 | — | 47 | 197 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 5.47 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | STL | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 16.1% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 5.63 | 5.73 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 167 | 88 | 504 | 2206 | 435 | 246 | 84 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 4.45 | 4.93 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 35 | 200 | 876 | 173 | 98 | 33 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 4.45 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Veneziano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 20.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | — | 4.99 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 177 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 84 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 81 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 80 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .308 | 5.03 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.48 | 134 | 79 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.26 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .328 | 4.44 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.82 | 3.41 | 315 | 78 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | .296 | 2.82 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -1.75 | 2.58 | 160 | 78 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 78 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 76 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 76 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 76 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 76 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 75 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.82 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 244 | 75 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 75 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 165 | 74 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.16 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.04 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.12 | 3.29 | 228 | 74 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 141 | 74 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.88 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 200 | 74 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.3% | .265 | 3.56 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 166 | -0.67 | 3.06 | 299 | 74 |
| Trevor Lane L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.05 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 246 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.