Anthony Veneziano
P
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 28
LHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115124vR 133
ERA4.86
FIP5.06
K%19.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%8.1%
ROS IP141
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p4324.3%
K%
p4521.4%
xwOBA vs
p120.357
FB+0.8 (42%)
SI (11%)
CH-1.5 (7%)
SL-3.8 (51%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 94 | 393 | 127 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 4.3 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 3.75 | 4.24 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 94 | 393 | 127 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 4.3 | 32.3% | 9.4% | 22.9% | 2.8% | 3.75 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 123 | 566 | 129 | 66 | 24 | 96% | 4.7 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.72 | 6.61 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 25 | 123 | 566 | 129 | 66 | 24 | 96% | 4.7 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 5.72 | 5.15 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 25 | 134 | 564 | 128 | 50 | 14 | 89% | 4.8 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 3.48 | 4.52 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 25 | 134 | 564 | 128 | 50 | 14 | 89% | 4.8 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 3.67 | +2.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 14 | 103 | 451 | 90 | 45 | 13 | 33% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 4.62 | 4.35 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 14 | 103 | 451 | 90 | 45 | 13 | 33% | 2.4 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.30 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 50 | 232 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 4% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 13.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.89 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 2 | 50 | 232 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 4% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | STL | 147 | 0 | 154 | 651 | 127 | 74 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.86 | 5.06 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | STL | 140 | 0 | 147 | 622 | 119 | 70 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.14 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | STL | 132 | 0 | 139 | 585 | 109 | 66 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | STL | 133 | 0 | 140 | 591 | 113 | 66 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.14 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | STL | 126 | 0 | 132 | 557 | 104 | 63 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 299 | 1 | 312 | 1334 | 256 | 144 | 45 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.69 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 854 | 164 | 92 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 167 | 88 | 504 | 2206 | 435 | 246 | 89 | 53% | 3.0 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.45 | 5.06 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 35 | 200 | 876 | 173 | 98 | 35 | 53% | 3.0 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 4.45 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anthony Veneziano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.06 | 19.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% | — | 5.21 | 18.9% | 7.7% | 286 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 73 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 72 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 70 |
| Brian Holmes L 2024 · 6.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.01 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 205 | 69 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 68 |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 67 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 67 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 66 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 66 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 65 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 65 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 64 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.84 | 18.7% | 12.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 2.92 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 72 | -2.92 | 2.92 | 486 | 64 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 64 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 63 |
| Colten Schmidt L 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 163 | 63 |
| Mitch Stallings L 2024 · 5.92 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.92 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 5.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 108 | 63 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 62 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 147 | 19.1% | 11.2% | 1.31 | 4.99 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |