Anthony Veneziano

P Round Rock Express

Age 29 LHP 6'5" / 205 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	43	14	103	4.62	4.30	20.0%	10.0%	0.3	K 17.6% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.33
2025	27	MIX2 levels	48	2	50	4.89	5.07	18.5%	13.4%	-0.3	K 17.4% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.13
2026	28	AAATEX	10	6	37	3.86	3.85	20.0%	5.6%	—	K 17.2% · BB 5.1% · FIP 4.18
2027PROJ	29	MLBTEX	2	2	15	4.69	4.76	19.0%	8.5%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBTEX	7	7	43	4.80	4.91	18.6%	8.7%	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBTEX	9	9	53	4.96	5.09	18.1%	9.0%	0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

K%45

FB Velo43

xwOBA vs12

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDanny Wirchansky (age 27) · Chris Michalak (age 30) · John Anderson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.69

FIP4.76

K%19.0%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP154

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 154 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p4324.3%

p4521.4%

xwOBA vs

p120.357

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	24.9%	10.8%	14.1%	3.5%	3.75	4.27	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	32.3%	9.4%	22.9%	2.8%	3.75	3.10	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	18.5%	12.8%	5.6%	5.6%	5.72	6.25	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	4.2%	5.72	5.15	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	19.4%	8.0%	11.3%	3.2%	3.48	4.21	+1.9
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	2.5%	3.48	3.67	+2.8
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.6%	9.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.33	+0.3
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.6%	9.0%	8.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.33	+0.3
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.30	+0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.4%	12.5%	4.9%	3.5%	4.89	5.13	-0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.4%	12.5%	4.9%	3.5%	4.89	5.13	-0.3
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.0%	4.89	5.07	-0.3
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.4%	3.86	4.18	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	17.2%	5.1%	12.1%	3.4%	3.86	4.18	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	10	6	37	160	32	9	5	60%	3.7	20.0%	5.6%	14.4%	3.1%	3.86	3.85	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	1	41	187	40	16	5	2%	1.0	21.4%	8.6%	12.8%	2.7%	3.98	3.91	+0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TEX	2	2	15	63	12	5	2	100%	7.5	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.3%	4.69	4.76	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	19	19	116	490	91	43	17	100%	6.1	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.5%	4.80	4.91	+0.6
2029	31	MLB MLE	TEX	16	16	95	402	73	36	15	100%	6.0	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.7%	4.96	5.09	+0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	7	7	43	182	34	16	6	100%	6.1	18.6%	8.7%	9.9%	3.5%	4.80	4.91	+0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	53	224	41	20	8	100%	5.9	18.1%	9.0%	9.1%	3.7%	4.96	5.09	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	17	136	589	114	52	19	30%	2.4	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.3%	4.62	4.38	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		82	25	200	867	168	77	28	30%	2.4	19.3%	8.8%	10.5%	3.3%	4.62	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		177	94	541	2366	459	238	90	53%	3.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.8%	4.41	4.82	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	35	200	875	170	88	33	53%	3.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	3.8%	4.41	4.82	+1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARound Rock Express · 37 IPFIP 3.84 → 4.18 (+0.34)K% 20.0% → 17.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.00%	—	×0.860	17.20%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.62%	—	×0.900	5.06%
HR / BF /BF	3.12%	÷1.000	×1.100	3.44%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.84 → 4.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 25 IPFIP 5.41 → 5.76 (+0.35)K% 15.7% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.65%	—	×0.860	13.46%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	17.39%	—	×0.900	15.65%
HR / BF /BF	2.61%	÷0.869	×1.100	3.30%

Result: FIP 5.41 → 5.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 90 IPFIP 4.50 → 4.57 (+0.08)K% 19.3% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	19.34%	—	×0.860	16.63%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.69%	—	×0.900	9.62%
HR / BF /BF	3.05%	÷1.111	×1.100	3.02%

Result: FIP 4.50 → 4.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 90 IPFIP 4.07 → 4.39 (+0.32)K% 20.6% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.63%	—	×0.860	17.74%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.23%	—	×0.900	10.10%
HR / BF /BF	2.35%	÷0.942	×1.100	2.74%

Result: FIP 4.07 → 4.39, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 42 IPFIP 2.70 → 3.81 (+1.11)K% 28.4% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.40%	—	×0.810	23.01%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	2.96%	—	×1.100	3.25%
HR / BF /BF	2.96%	÷0.872	×1.200	4.07%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 74).

Result: FIP 2.70 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 123 IPFIP 4.98 → 6.25 (+1.27)K% 22.8% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.79%	—	×0.810	18.46%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.66%	—	×1.100	12.83%
HR / BF /BF	4.24%	÷0.905	×1.200	5.62%

Result: FIP 4.98 → 6.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 94 IPFIP 3.10 → 4.27 (+1.17)K% 32.3% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	32.32%	—	×0.770	24.88%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.41%	—	×1.150	10.83%
HR / BF /BF	2.80%	÷1.013	×1.250	3.46%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 3.10 → 4.27, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Veneziano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.0%	8.5%	3.3%	—	4.99	18.4%	9.5%	211	+0.23	—	—	—
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	75
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	71
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	69
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	66
Scott Downs L 2005 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	18.4%	8.4%	2.9%	.283	3.29	20.5%	12.9%	206	-0.93	2.68	748	63
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	63
Mike Montgomery L 2018 · 3.64 FIP	29	SP-	3.64	16.1%	6.6%	1.9%	.300	5.22	17.4%	8.6%	108	+1.58	3.43	764	62
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	61
Yohan Flande L 2015 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP-	4.68	12.9%	5.5%	3.6%	.289	3.27	15.1%	8.4%	172	-1.41	3.18	394	60
Tommy Shirley L 2016 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	147	60
Aaron Rozek L 2024 · 3.68 FIP	28	SP-	3.68	16.2%	5.8%	2.2%	.304	4.68	16.9%	9.0%	234	+1.00	3.68	579	59
Kyle Hart L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	29	SW	5.24	17.4%	9.9%	4.3%	.286	4.29	18.4%	9.5%	196	-0.95	3.60	886	59
Darrell May L 2002 · 5.40 FIP	30	SP-	5.40	16.4%	8.1%	4.8%	.284	5.02	13.5%	7.2%	462	-0.38	4.24	657	59
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	58
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	58
Jordan Carr L 2024 · 4.42 FIP	27	SW	4.42	13.1%	8.8%	2.4%	.295	6.61	11.8%	-1.7%	47	+2.19	3.49	269	58
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	58
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2024 · 5.19 FIP	27	SP-	5.19	12.4%	7.9%	3.9%	.290	3.85	16.3%	7.3%	118	-1.34	2.95	313	57
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	57
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	56

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	102	18.9%	8.7%	1.30	4.71
Chris Narveson ('16)	2.2	109	19.4%	8.6%	1.20	4.71
Jackie Brown ('70-'77, 1 WAR*)	4.5	128	19.7%*	8.9%*	1.21*	4.93*
Rubby De La Rosa ('17)	2.1	105	19.6%	8.6%	1.32	4.49
Bob Sadowski ('63-'66, 2 WAR*)	2.2	110	17.7%*	8.0%*	1.20*	4.73*
Andrew Suárez ('23)	1.2	77	18.0%	8.1%	1.48	4.96
Mike Gardiner ('90-'95, -1 WAR*)	2.0	98	18.3%*	8.8%*	1.37*	5.10*