Anthony Veneziano

Anthony Veneziano P Round Rock Express

Age 28 LHP 6'5" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.80

FIP4.94

K%19.0%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p4324.3%

p4521.4%

xwOBA vs

p120.357

FB+0.8 (42%)

SI (11%)

CH-1.5 (7%)

SL-3.8 (51%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	24.9%	10.8%	14.1%	3.5%	3.75	4.27	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	22	94	393	127	37	11	100%	4.3	32.3%	9.4%	22.9%	2.8%	3.75	3.10	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	18.5%	12.8%	5.6%	5.6%	5.72	6.25	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	26	25	123	566	129	66	24	96%	4.7	22.8%	11.7%	11.1%	4.2%	5.72	5.15	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	18.9%	8.0%	10.9%	3.2%	3.48	4.25	+1.0
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	18.9%	8.0%	10.9%	3.2%	3.48	4.25	+1.0
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	25	134	564	128	50	14	89%	4.8	22.7%	8.9%	13.8%	2.5%	3.48	3.67	+2.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.1%	9.0%	8.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.38	+0.2
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	17.1%	9.0%	8.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.38	+0.2
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	14	103	451	90	45	13	33%	2.4	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	2.9%	4.62	4.30	+0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.2%	12.5%	4.7%	3.5%	4.89	5.15	-0.3
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	17.2%	12.5%	4.7%	3.5%	4.89	5.15	-0.3
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	2	50	232	43	31	7	4%	1.0	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.0%	4.89	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	1	41	187	40	16	5	2%	1.0	21.4%	8.6%	12.8%	2.7%	3.98	3.91	+0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	9	5	32	139	28	7	3	56%	3.6	16.7%	4.5%	12.2%	2.4%	3.06	3.57	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	9	5	32	139	28	7	3	56%	3.6	16.7%	4.5%	12.2%	2.4%	3.06	3.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	TEX	9	5	32	139	28	7	3	56%	3.6	20.1%	5.0%	15.1%	2.2%	3.06	3.22	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	TEX	2	2	13	55	10	6	2	100%	6.5	19.0%	10.1%	8.9%	3.2%	4.80	4.94	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	TEX	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	19.0%	10.1%	8.9%	3.2%	4.80	4.94	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	45	194	38	13	5	—	—	19.8%	6.5%	13.4%	2.5%	3.56	3.96	+0.3
FULL	28	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	1	5	1	1	0	—	—	19.0%	10.1%	8.9%	3.2%	4.80	4.56	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TEX	140	0	147	622	116	63	21	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.1%	8.6%	3.4%	4.91	5.03	-0.8
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	132	0	139	585	107	60	21	0%	1.1	18.3%	10.2%	8.1%	3.5%	5.05	5.18	-1.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	TEX	51	0	54	228	43	23	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	10.1%	8.6%	3.4%	4.91	5.03	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	72	0	76	321	59	33	11	0%	1.1	18.3%	10.2%	8.1%	3.5%	5.05	5.18	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		165	1	173	744	143	73	24	1%	1.0	19.2%	9.7%	9.4%	3.3%	4.75	4.51	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	1	200	862	166	85	28	1%	1.0	19.2%	9.7%	9.4%	3.3%	4.75	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		176	93	536	2345	449	236	87	53%	3.0	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	3.7%	4.37	4.81	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	35	200	875	168	88	33	53%	3.0	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	3.7%	4.37	4.81	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Veneziano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	19.0%	10.1%	3.2%	—	5.10	18.5%	8.4%	286	+0.16	—	—	—
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	72
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	72
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	71
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	69
Andy Oliver L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	28	SP-	3.93	19.9%	9.9%	2.3%	.321	7.12	16.6%	2.7%	21	+3.19	3.93	165	68
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	68
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	67
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	67
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	66
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	65
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	65
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	64
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	64
Colten Schmidt L 2023 · 5.23 FIP	27	SW	5.23	14.4%	8.0%	4.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	163	64
Carlos Teller L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	28	SP-	3.75	13.8%	10.9%	0.8%	.329	4.75	13.3%	3.1%	187	+1.00	3.75	333	64
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	64
Manny Banuelos L 2019 · 5.89 FIP	28	SP-	5.89	18.7%	12.8%	5.0%	.322	2.95	22.9%	12.0%	72	-2.94	2.95	486	63
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	63
Steven Moyers L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	28	SW	5.24	14.7%	8.1%	4.3%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	464	62
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	147	18.7%	10.1%	1.31	4.92
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56