Mike Montgomery P Oklahoma City Dodgers
Age 37 LHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION45 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.55
FIP4.66
xFIP4.06
SIERA4.01
K%20.1%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%9.4%
IP45
WAR · 45 IP × (5.30 − 4.66) / 9.8+0.0
K†5050
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1091.6
Whiff%
p2621.9%
K%
p1617.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.382
CT+0.5

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201526MLBSeattle Mariners2727155665122551417.3%8.4%2.1%4.403.88+2.8
201627MLBChicago Cubs4971004149236822.2%8.7%1.9%2.523.36+2.4
201728MLBChicago Cubs4414131540100511018.5%9.4%1.8%3.383.72+2.6
201829MLBChicago Cubs381912453486351016.1%6.6%1.8%3.993.57+2.6
201930MLBKansas City Royals371710746384381917.2%8.2%4.8%4.715.32+0.1
202031MLBKansas City Royals3152341117.4%4.3%4.3%5.064.57-0.0
202132AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders441776169218.5%12.4%2.2%7.564.33+0.0
202233AAASyracuse Mets2419733395935914.9%10.9%2.9%6.634.82+0.0
202334AAAOklahoma City Dodgers1816773656853416.4%15.2%1.2%5.264.30+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202637MLBLAD45451913820520.1%10.6%2.8%4.554.66-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202738MLBLAD39391653119518.9%11.3%3.2%4.875.09-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career24412478934196013198117.6%9.3%2.4%4.334.09+12.1
/ 200 IP6231200866152812117.6%9.3%2.4%4.334.09+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mike Montgomery (OGILVIE) 4.66 20.1%10.6%2.8% 5.09 18.9%7.6%39 +0.43
Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP 37 SW 3.99 19.3%9.5%2.4%.269 3.68 405 88
Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.59 FIP 37 SW 4.59 19.2%8.8%3.6%.280 3.72 395 76
Heriberto Ruelas L 2024 · 3.56 FIP 35 SU 3.56 17.2%6.7%1.9%.294 3.05 117 75
Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.60 FIP 36 SW 4.60 11.7%8.4%2.6%.351 3.39 138 70
Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP 37 SU 5.02 17.8%15.1%2.7%.400 4.22 159 66
Wilfredo Ledezma L 2025 · 3.47 FIP 36 SU 3.47 26.7%8.3%2.9%.302 2.56 109 62
Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.84 FIP 36 SP- 3.84 19.4%8.5%2.4%.312 3.84 101 61
J.A. Happ L 2026 · 4.34 FIP 37 SU 4.34 21.4%7.7%3.8%.221 4.94 18.2%11.0%152 +0.60 3.28 1,053 60
Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.65 FIP 36 SP- 4.65 18.1%8.3%3.7%.339 4.65 109 60
Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.15 FIP 37 SP- 4.15 13.6%9.9%1.7%.287 4.15 149 57
Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.15 FIP 37 SW 4.15 8.6%4.5%2.2%.306 4.62 5.7%-0.3%35 +0.47 3.28 199 57
Oscar Rivera L 2025 · 5.36 FIP 36 SU 5.36 9.8%7.8%3.8%.252 3.85 237 57
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2023 · 3.68 FIP 34 SP- 3.68 16.8%7.1%2.0%.307 3.68 119 57
Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.40 FIP 35 SP- 4.40 12.2%10.4%1.8%.264 4.40 249 54
Mauricio Lara L 2026 · 3.67 FIP 37 SP- 3.67 12.1%7.6%1.1%.294 4.24 12.2%5.6%219 +0.57 3.57 444 53
Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 5.22 FIP 36 SP- 5.22 12.2%6.8%4.2%.320 4.24 445 52
Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 5.23 FIP 37 SP- 5.23 19.6%8.1%5.0%.316 4.40 408 50
Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP 38 SW 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 41
Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP 36 SW 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 40
Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 37 SW 4.04 22.0%8.1%3.2%.289 4.08 16.8%1.6%44 +0.04 3.51 219 40

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.