Tyler Bremner
P
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA3.98
FIP3.98
K%24.5%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%17.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 11 | 11 | 34 | 145 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 3.1 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 67 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.5% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 3.0% | 3.98 | 3.98 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.5% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 3.95 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 99 | 419 | 115 | 32 | 12 | — | — | 27.5% | 7.6% | 19.8% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.00 | +1.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.5% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 3.57 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 138 | 582 | 150 | 41 | 17 | 100% | 5.5 | 25.8% | 7.0% | 18.8% | 3.0% | 3.89 | 3.82 | +2.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 167 | 706 | 186 | 48 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 26.4% | 6.9% | 19.6% | 2.9% | 3.80 | 3.73 | +3.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 181 | 764 | 204 | 52 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 3.68 | +3.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 180 | 760 | 204 | 51 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.8% | 6.7% | 20.1% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.67 | +3.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 177 | 749 | 201 | 51 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.8% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 3.0% | 3.71 | 3.71 | +3.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 172 | 726 | 194 | 51 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.7% | 7.0% | 19.7% | 3.1% | 3.76 | 3.80 | +3.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 164 | 694 | 183 | 50 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.4% | 7.2% | 19.2% | 3.2% | 3.86 | 3.93 | +2.8 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 154 | 652 | 170 | 49 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.1% | 7.5% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 4.01 | 4.10 | +2.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 156 | 48 | 22 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 17.8% | 3.6% | 4.19 | 4.31 | +1.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 142 | 46 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 3.9% | 4.40 | 4.53 | +1.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 128 | 45 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 4.63 | 4.78 | +0.9 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 111 | 470 | 114 | 43 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 4.89 | 5.06 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 100 | 421 | 99 | 41 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 4.8% | 5.17 | 5.36 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 74 | 20 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.8% | 7.0% | 18.8% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 3.79 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 117 | 494 | 130 | 34 | 14 | 100% | 5.6 | 26.4% | 6.9% | 19.6% | 2.9% | 3.77 | 3.70 | +2.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 25 | 25 | 147 | 621 | 166 | 42 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.65 | +3.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 157 | 663 | 178 | 45 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.8% | 6.7% | 20.1% | 2.9% | 3.68 | 3.64 | +3.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 160 | 676 | 181 | 46 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.8% | 6.8% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.68 | 3.68 | +3.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 178 | 46 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.7% | 7.0% | 19.7% | 3.0% | 3.73 | 3.77 | +3.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 153 | 646 | 171 | 47 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.4% | 7.2% | 19.2% | 3.2% | 3.83 | 3.90 | +2.7 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 145 | 612 | 160 | 46 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.1% | 7.5% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 3.98 | 4.07 | +2.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 149 | 45 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 17.8% | 3.6% | 4.15 | 4.27 | +1.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 135 | 44 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 3.8% | 4.36 | 4.49 | +1.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 121 | 43 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 4.1% | 4.59 | 4.74 | +0.9 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 103 | 39 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 4.85 | 5.02 | +0.5 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 86 | 35 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 5.12 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 282 | 282 | 1672 | 7057 | 1830 | 532 | 237 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 7.5% | 18.4% | 3.4% | 4.04 | 3.71 | +33.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 219 | 64 | 28 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.9% | 7.5% | 18.4% | 3.4% | 4.04 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 34 | 145 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 3.1 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.05 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 65 | 200 | 853 | 217 | 81 | 29 | 100% | 3.1 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Bremner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 24.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% | — | 3.74 | 26.3% | 19.5% | 486 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Brendan Beck R 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 83 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 80 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.69 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .256 | 5.06 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.37 | 3.69 | 333 | 78 |
| Braxton Bragg R 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.78 | 22.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | .325 | 2.47 | 26.2% | 18.1% | 59 | -1.31 | 2.47 | 155 | 78 |
| Gavin Stone R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.22 | 27.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% | .385 | 3.71 | 23.0% | 14.2% | 394 | +0.49 | 2.39 | 485 | 78 |
| Michael Grove R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.46 | 24.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | .409 | 5.62 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 176 | +1.16 | 3.54 | 377 | 78 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.19 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.8% | 341 | +0.25 | 4.19 | 433 | 77 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 236 | -0.19 | 3.12 | 482 | 77 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.56 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | .392 | 4.05 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 198 | -0.51 | 3.53 | 281 | 77 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 77 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 76 |
| Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 76 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 76 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 76 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .362 | 2.86 | 31.1% | 20.9% | 96 | -1.14 | 2.26 | 256 | 75 |
| Austin Gordon R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.70 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .315 | 5.46 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 75 | +0.76 | 4.70 | 159 | 75 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 75 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 75 |
| Ethan Pecko R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.32 | 24.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.32 | 18.1% | 8.7% | 56 | +1.00 | 3.32 | 242 | 75 |
| Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .297 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 14.1% | 150 | -0.61 | 3.11 | 420 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 14 | 144 | 25.9% | 7.5% | 1.31 | 4.05 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Joe Musgrove ('24) | 9 | 117 | 23.9% | 6.0% | 1.13 | 3.73 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |