Cody Morris P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 115
ERA5.01
FIP5.09
K%25.3%
BB%15.8%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -4.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -2.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.37 (58 IP)-0.4WAR
-0.1-0.2-0.32628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CTRL3535
CMD4545
K†6060
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p7228.7%
K%
p5423.0%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
CH-1.1
CT-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201922MIX2 levels21208938811127795%4.221.6%8.1%13.5%3.1%4.354.00
201922MIX2 levels21208938811127795%4.228.6%7.0%21.6%1.8%4.352.54
202124MIX3 levels1514612409320393%4.130.9%9.1%21.9%1.1%1.622.26
202124MIX3 levels1514612409320393%4.138.8%8.3%30.4%1.2%1.621.67
202225MIX3 levels1611451806218569%2.831.3%11.6%19.7%3.3%2.003.74+0.4
202225MIX3 levels1611451806218569%2.834.4%10.0%24.4%2.8%2.002.99+0.8
202326MIX3 levels274472025433815%1.724.4%18.2%6.2%3.6%3.835.30-0.4
202326MIX3 levels274472025433815%1.726.7%16.3%10.4%4.0%3.835.12-0.3
202427AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders26238170462638%1.523.8%16.1%7.8%1.8%4.034.10
202427AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders26238170462638%1.527.1%15.3%11.8%1.8%4.033.76
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBNYY56058246623980%1.025.3%15.8%9.5%3.2%5.015.09-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBNYY52055231563680%1.124.4%15.4%8.9%3.4%5.115.22-0.4
202831MLBNYY49051216513380%1.023.6%15.3%8.2%3.6%5.255.39-0.5
202730MLBNYY1902084211330%1.124.4%15.4%8.9%3.4%5.115.22-0.2
202831MLBNYY27028118281840%1.023.6%15.3%8.2%3.6%5.255.39-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career595803428149138%1.423.6%14.4%9.2%3.8%4.495.04-0.1
/ 200 IP14813200855203123338%1.423.6%14.4%9.2%3.8%4.495.04+0.9
Career1055128011803041383149%2.725.8%11.7%14.1%2.6%3.253.84+5.1
/ 200 IP7536200843217992249%2.725.8%11.7%14.1%2.6%3.253.84+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Cody Morris (OGILVIE) 5.09 25.3%15.8%3.2% 5.30 24.0%8.6%106 +0.21
Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 29 SW 3.94 22.6%12.3%2.2%.271 4.11 14.9%9.0%43 +0.17 3.39 382 66
André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SW 4.33 18.9%15.6%1.5%.301 5.30 17.9%6.1%29 +0.97 3.58 200 65
Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 29 SP- 4.59 16.9%11.1%2.8%.369 3.64 204 64
David Lebron R 2024 · 5.07 FIP 27 SU 5.07 26.7%14.7%4.3%.278 4.18 144 64
Nathan Eovaldi R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 29 SP- 5.49 23.2%11.6%5.2%.309 3.24 24.6%20.4%340 -2.25 2.49 1,354 64
Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 64
Deck McGuire R 2026 · 5.39 FIP 29 SW 5.39 18.4%13.2%4.0%.262 3.23 622 64
Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP 29 SP- 5.10 22.8%11.5%4.5%.321 4.41 21.3%11.7%251 -0.69 3.33 556 63
Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 29 SP- 4.76 17.2%16.0%2.0%.273 3.85 138 62
Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 29 SW 4.41 18.2%10.6%2.8%.336 4.41 210 62
Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 61
Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 61
Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP 29 SW 5.09 16.9%9.2%4.1%.231 3.69 13.6%6.9%246 -1.40 3.68 424 60
Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 29 SU 3.94 22.8%11.4%2.4%.278 3.42 27.3%14.2%51 -0.52 3.22 537 60
Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.2%9.4%3.1%.317 3.55 327 59
Adam Quintana R 2024 · 4.15 FIP 27 SW 4.15 18.6%11.7%2.1%.297 1.72 201 59
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 6.19 FIP 29 SW 6.19 15.7%13.1%5.0%.294 5.26 19.2%8.7%25 -0.93 3.33 258 59
Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 30 SP- 4.06 18.2%10.5%2.1%.307 3.76 17.3%6.4%196 -0.30 3.51 269 59
Jared Mortensen R 2025 · 4.90 FIP 28 SU 4.90 20.9%18.8%2.2%.250 4.44 200 58
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 29 SU 4.18 22.7%13.7%2.3%.310 4.93 15.3%5.5%154 +0.75 4.02 748 57

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35524.5%15.5%1.305.12
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Michael Kopech ('24)49626.1%12.5%1.454.15
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21