Ty Madden
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.59
FIP4.88
K%21.1%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%10.2%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2993.0
Whiff%
p7328.9%
K%
p8128.0%
xwOBA vs
p900.268
FB+2.2 (47%)
SI (5%)
CU (4%)
SL-0.6 (15%)
CT-2.7 (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 123 | 501 | 133 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 20.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 3.01 | 5.33 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 123 | 501 | 133 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 4.7 | 26.5% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 3.2% | 3.01 | 3.56 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 25 | 118 | 492 | 146 | 50 | 16 | 96% | 4.5 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 3.43 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 26 | 25 | 118 | 492 | 146 | 50 | 16 | 96% | 4.5 | 29.7% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 3.3% | 3.43 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 120 | 539 | 141 | 51 | 20 | 82% | 4.3 | 23.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 6.47 | 6.02 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 23 | 120 | 539 | 141 | 51 | 20 | 82% | 4.3 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 3.7% | 6.47 | 4.19 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 18 | 11 | 60 | 266 | 53 | 30 | 8 | 61% | 3.3 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.59 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.59 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 96 | 418 | 85 | 47 | 14 | — | — | 20.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.46 | 4.83 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | DET | — | — | 56 | 237 | 85 | 47 | 14 | — | — | 35.9% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 7.61 | 5.81 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 86 | 364 | 85 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 4.71 | 4.84 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 86 | 364 | 84 | 35 | 14 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 4.80 | 4.88 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 82 | 347 | 78 | 34 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 4.92 | 5.01 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 81 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 4.71 | 4.84 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 82 | 346 | 80 | 33 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 4.80 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | DET | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 74 | 32 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 4.92 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 49 | 321 | 1357 | 306 | 129 | 50 | 82% | 5.4 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 4.64 | 4.41 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 31 | 200 | 845 | 191 | 80 | 31 | 82% | 5.4 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 4.64 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 85 | 420 | 1798 | 397 | 183 | 88 | 87% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 4.31 | 5.21 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 40 | 200 | 856 | 189 | 87 | 42 | 87% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 4.31 | 5.21 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ty Madden (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.21 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | — | 4.91 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 255 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 77 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 77 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 76 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 73 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 73 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.15 | 27.6% | 11.3% | 3.5% | .306 | 4.38 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 292 | +0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 73 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 72 |
| Spencer Howard R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.80 | 22.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | .314 | 4.99 | 26.2% | 16.5% | 112 | +0.19 | 2.29 | 484 | 72 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 72 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 72 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 71 |
| Grant Kipp R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.60 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 325 | 71 |
| Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.48 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 4.1% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 259 | 71 |
| Trace Bright R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 4.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 373 | 71 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 71 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.08 | 24.1% | 17.4% | 313 | -0.39 | 3.35 | 741 | 70 |
| Luke Weaver R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.32 | 23.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.34 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 225 | +0.02 | 2.26 | 1,022 | 70 |
| Hunter Dobbins R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.33 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 463 | 70 |
| Brandon White R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.08 | 24.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 264 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 78 | 22.8% | 9.9% | 1.52 | 4.83 |
| Jharel Cotton ('22) | 4 | 58 | 19.8% | 9.2% | 1.59 | 4.50 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Caleb Smith ('22) | 4 | 104 | 25.1% | 11.0% | 1.67 | 4.47 |
| Félix Peña ('20) | 4 | 62 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.46 |
| Héctor Santiago ('21) | 6 | 99 | 20.3% | 10.5% | 1.56 | 4.48 |
| Derek Holland ('21) | 7 | 92 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.59 | 5.12 |