Nick Sinacola
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 112
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
K%15.9%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%4.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 47.8% | 0.0% | 47.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.94 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 47.8% | 0.0% | 47.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.37 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 25 | 18 | 103 | 444 | 116 | 39 | 11 | 72% | 4.1 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 3.86 | 4.35 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 25 | 18 | 103 | 444 | 116 | 39 | 11 | 72% | 4.1 | 26.1% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.37 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 23 | 20 | 88 | 379 | 100 | 25 | 11 | 87% | 3.8 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 23 | 20 | 88 | 379 | 100 | 25 | 11 | 87% | 3.8 | 26.4% | 6.6% | 19.8% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 3.30 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 109 | 436 | 97 | 25 | 12 | 68% | 4.3 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 3.56 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 17 | 109 | 436 | 97 | 25 | 12 | 68% | 4.3 | 22.2% | 5.7% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 3.56 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 21 | 3 | 57 | 242 | 47 | 27 | 1 | 14% | 2.7 | 15.7% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 3.30 | 3.53 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 21 | 3 | 57 | 242 | 47 | 27 | 1 | 14% | 2.7 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 0.4% | 3.30 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 70 | 296 | 47 | 34 | 7 | 100% | 7.0 | 15.9% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.95 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 69 | 291 | 49 | 33 | 8 | 100% | 6.9 | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 67 | 282 | 48 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.93 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SF | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 4.91 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 40 | 169 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.93 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 66 | 278 | 47 | 31 | 7 | 100% | 6.6 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.57 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 143 | 94 | 21 | 100% | 6.7 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 99 | 58 | 363 | 1524 | 289 | 132 | 39 | 59% | 3.7 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 4.00 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 32 | 200 | 839 | 159 | 73 | 21 | 59% | 3.7 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Sinacola (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 15.9% | 11.3% | 2.5% | — | 4.94 | 16.8% | 5.6% | 136 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 86 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 83 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 83 |
| André Rienzo R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 15.7% | 11.1% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.00 | 19.8% | 5.1% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.58 | 200 | 83 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 83 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 82 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 82 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 82 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 82 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 81 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 81 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2029 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 81 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 81 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 80 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.79 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 0.9% | .379 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 143 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 80 |
| Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 12.8% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 367 | 79 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.08 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 107 | 79 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 78 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 16.5% | 11.3% | 1.01 | 4.93 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |