Nick Sinacola
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.5%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%10.1%
IP76
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD3535
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | San Jose Giants | 25 | 18 | 103 | 444 | 116 | 39 | 11 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 4.43 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 23 | 20 | 88 | 379 | 100 | 25 | 11 | 20.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 25 | 17 | 109 | 436 | 97 | 25 | 12 | 17.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.56 | 4.20 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 21 | 3 | 57 | 242 | 47 | 27 | 1 | 15.7% | 12.3% | 0.4% | 3.30 | 3.55 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SF | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 59 | 36 | 8 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.74 | 4.74 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SF | 14 | 14 | 75 | 318 | 60 | 35 | 8 | 18.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 4.70 | 4.71 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 74 | 313 | 60 | 34 | 8 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.70 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 72 | 306 | 59 | 33 | 8 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.71 | 4.73 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 32 | 8 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 54 | 32 | 8 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 51 | 31 | 8 | 18.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 48 | 30 | 8 | 18.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SF | 59 | — | 59 | 249 | 45 | 29 | 8 | 18.0% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | SF | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 5.19 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | SF | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 5.32 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 58 | 363 | 1524 | 289 | 132 | 42 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.79 | 4.09 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 32 | 200 | 839 | 159 | 73 | 23 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.79 | 4.09 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Sinacola (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 2.6% | — | 4.71 | 19.1% | 8.2% | 222 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 94 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 92 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 90 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.88 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .320 | 4.35 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.47 | 3.73 | 399 | 89 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 88 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 88 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.00 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.26 | 3.66 | 154 | 88 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 87 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 87 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.17 | 2.57 | 167 | 87 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 87 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 87 |
| Nefi Ogando R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.87 | 17.0% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .266 | 4.12 | 14.7% | 3.1% | 40 | +0.25 | 3.87 | 103 | 86 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.58 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 1.3% | .317 | 3.06 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 49 | -0.52 | 3.06 | 137 | 86 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2028 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 86 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 86 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 86 |
| Junior Lopez R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.88 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 128 | 86 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .302 | 5.19 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +1.06 | 4.13 | 265 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.