Noah Skirrow — OGILVIE

Noah Skirrow P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%14.0%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	10	58	257	60	27	7	56%	3.2	18.4%	11.5%	6.9%	2.8%	4.34	4.55	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	10	58	257	60	27	7	56%	3.2	23.3%	10.5%	12.8%	2.7%	4.34	4.00	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	120	515	133	41	13	100%	4.8	21.2%	8.7%	12.5%	2.8%	4.36	3.97	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	120	515	133	41	13	100%	4.8	25.8%	8.0%	17.9%	2.5%	4.36	3.32	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	24	14	102	475	79	53	19	58%	4.2	13.8%	10.0%	3.8%	4.3%	5.84	5.56	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	24	14	102	475	79	53	19	58%	4.2	13.8%	10.0%	3.8%	4.3%	5.84	5.56	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	24	14	102	475	79	53	19	58%	4.2	16.6%	11.2%	5.5%	4.0%	5.84	5.54	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	17	95	442	64	47	9	68%	3.8	11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	2.1%	4.66	4.77	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	17	95	442	64	47	9	68%	3.8	11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	2.1%	4.66	4.77	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	25	17	95	442	64	47	9	68%	3.8	14.5%	10.6%	3.8%	2.0%	4.66	4.47	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	PHI	1	1	5	21	3	2	1	100%	5.0	14.0%	11.0%	3.0%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	64	269	40	30	8	100%	5.8	14.7%	11.0%	3.7%	3.1%	5.30	5.35	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	60	253	38	28	8	100%	6.0	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	3.3%	5.36	5.45	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	3	3	20	84	12	9	3	100%	6.7	14.7%	11.0%	3.7%	3.1%	5.30	5.35	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	PHI	5	5	31	131	20	15	4	100%	6.2	15.0%	11.2%	3.8%	3.3%	5.36	5.45	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	8	51	214	32	24	7	100%	6.3	14.9%	11.1%	3.7%	3.2%	5.34	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	126	95	28	100%	6.0	14.9%	11.1%	3.7%	3.2%	5.34	5.03	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		92	66	374	1689	274	173	52	72%	4.1	16.2%	10.3%	5.9%	3.1%	4.84	4.71	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	35	200	903	146	93	28	72%	4.1	16.2%	10.3%	5.9%	3.1%	4.84	4.71	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Skirrow (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	14.0%	11.0%	3.0%	—	5.40	14.8%	3.7%	124	+0.08	—	—	—
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	83
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	81
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	80
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	79
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	79
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	79
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	78
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	78
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	77
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	77
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	77
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	76
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	76
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	75
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	74
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	74
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	74
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	14.6%	9.8%	2.3%	.311	4.01	17.3%	6.4%	44	-0.36	4.01	272	74
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	74
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	14.5%	11.1%	1.21	5.33
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41