Noah Skirrow
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
K%18.0%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 10 | 58 | 257 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 56% | 3.2 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 10 | 58 | 257 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 56% | 3.2 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.00 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 120 | 515 | 133 | 41 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 3.90 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 120 | 515 | 133 | 41 | 13 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.8% | 8.0% | 17.9% | 2.5% | 4.36 | 3.32 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 14 | 102 | 475 | 79 | 53 | 19 | 58% | 4.2 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.84 | 5.64 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 14 | 102 | 475 | 79 | 53 | 19 | 58% | 4.2 | 16.6% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.84 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 17 | 95 | 442 | 64 | 47 | 9 | 68% | 3.8 | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 4.66 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 17 | 95 | 442 | 64 | 47 | 9 | 68% | 3.8 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 4.66 | 4.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 51 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 64 | 269 | 49 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 46 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 8 | 51 | 214 | 39 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.96 | 4.66 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 91 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.96 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 66 | 374 | 1689 | 278 | 181 | 49 | 72% | 4.1 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.65 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 35 | 200 | 903 | 148 | 97 | 26 | 72% | 4.1 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Skirrow (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | — | 5.02 | 18.3% | 7.6% | 124 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 84 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 83 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 78 |
| Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 78 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 77 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 77 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.66 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .380 | 7.26 | 10.9% | 1.2% | 25 | +2.60 | 3.26 | 118 | 76 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 76 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 75 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 75 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 75 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 75 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 74 |
| Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 74 |
| Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 74 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 73 |
| Lucas Harrell R 2029 · 4.06 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 12.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 3.64 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 30 | -0.42 | 3.64 | 139 | 73 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.25 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.84 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 44 | -0.41 | 3.84 | 272 | 73 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 1.19 | 4.93 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |