Noah Skirrow
P
Reading Fightin Phils
+0.4
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.0%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%7.5%
IP96
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 18 | 10 | 58 | 257 | 60 | 27 | 7 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.56 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 25 | 120 | 515 | 133 | 41 | 13 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.98 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 24 | 14 | 102 | 475 | 79 | 53 | 19 | 14.6% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 5.84 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 25 | 17 | 95 | 442 | 64 | 47 | 9 | 11.7% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 4.66 | 4.79 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 96 | 403 | 73 | 42 | 12 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 4.93 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 17 | 93 | 394 | 72 | 41 | 12 | 18.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.91 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 91 | 383 | 70 | 39 | 12 | 18.4% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.89 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 16 | 16 | 87 | 369 | 68 | 38 | 12 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.92 | 4.96 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 84 | 354 | 64 | 36 | 11 | 18.1% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 5.03 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 338 | 60 | 35 | 11 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 76 | 321 | 63 | 32 | 11 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 4.96 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 13 | 72 | 303 | 58 | 31 | 11 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 53 | 29 | 10 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.16 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 92 | 66 | 374 | 1689 | 278 | 181 | 52 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.77 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 35 | 200 | 903 | 149 | 97 | 28 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.77 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noah Skirrow (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.93 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 271 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 89 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.65 | 9.0% | -1.2% | 38 | +0.59 | 4.06 | 203 | 87 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 86 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.72 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.12 | 3.22 | 221 | 86 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 85 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 84 |
| Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 84 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.98 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 84 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.78 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.17 | 2.49 | 373 | 84 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 84 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.09 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.04 | 4.09 | 165 | 83 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 82 |
| Tim Atherton R 2023 · 3.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.77 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 101 | 82 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 82 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.13 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.24 | 3.89 | 248 | 82 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.40 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .289 | 4.45 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.05 | 4.33 | 221 | 82 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 81 |
| Iván Nova R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .283 | 4.33 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 510 | +0.03 | 4.13 | 810 | 81 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.95 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.69 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.74 | 3.69 | 283 | 80 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 448 | 80 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.