Sean Paul Liñan
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
+0.5
WAR
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2030
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.4%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2030
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 26 | 99 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 18.5% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.29 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 12 | 6 | 36 | 165 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 4.54 | 4.05 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 19 | 5 | 70 | 297 | 93 | 26 | 7 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.37 | 4.08 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 19 | 15 | 77 | 321 | 106 | 33 | 5 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 1.8% | 3.03 | 3.33 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 2 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 62 | 26 | 7 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 69 | 290 | 73 | 27 | 8 | 25.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 3.92 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 67 | 26 | 8 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.11 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 72 | 25 | 8 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.07 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 75 | 25 | 8 | 25.3% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.90 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 77 | 25 | 8 | 25.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 3.86 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 77 | 25 | 8 | 25.9% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 3.86 | 3.83 | +1.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 77 | 25 | 8 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 3.84 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 69 | 293 | 76 | 25 | 8 | 25.8% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.86 | 3.87 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 74 | 24 | 8 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.92 | +0.8 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 71 | 24 | 8 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.98 | +0.8 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 63 | 268 | 68 | 23 | 8 | 25.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.05 | +0.7 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 64 | 23 | 8 | 25.0% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 4.14 | +0.6 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 61 | 22 | 8 | 24.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 4.18 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 57 | 22 | 7 | 24.3% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.28 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 28 | 215 | 907 | 203 | 97 | 18 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.67 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 26 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 90 | 17 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.56 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Paul Liñan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.00 | 24.8% | 16.0% | 204 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 91 |
| Alex Cook R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.03 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.34 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 53 | -0.69 | 2.94 | 119 | 91 |
| Tanner Burns R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 90 |
| Sam Bragg R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 3.98 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 203 | +0.72 | 3.26 | 277 | 90 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.69 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.16 | 3.69 | 122 | 90 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.23 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.10 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +0.87 | 4.23 | 152 | 89 |
| Mark Ecker R 2027 · 3.23 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.23 | 24.6% | 10.6% | 1.6% | .322 | 4.56 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 118 | +1.33 | 3.23 | 180 | 89 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 167 | -0.40 | 3.06 | 230 | 89 |
| John Russell R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.98 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.78 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 60 | +0.80 | 3.92 | 158 | 88 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.71 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .293 | 4.53 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.82 | 2.08 | 276 | 88 |
| Gerson Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.76 | 23.6% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .294 | 5.22 | 21.3% | 2.0% | 17 | +1.46 | 3.66 | 349 | 88 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.03 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 3.52 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.51 | 2.48 | 281 | 87 |
| Mike Vasil R 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.64 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.65 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +1.01 | 3.64 | 429 | 87 |
| Parker Curry R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.75 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .341 | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.85 | 3.75 | 256 | 87 |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 87 |
| Alex Klonowski R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.58 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .331 | 4.70 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 413 | +1.12 | 3.58 | 539 | 87 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.18 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .352 | 4.29 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.11 | 3.18 | 130 | 87 |
| Jacob Rhame R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.00 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 2.9% | .240 | 3.62 | 24.4% | 17.8% | 182 | -0.38 | 2.77 | 251 | 87 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.59 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.24 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 167 | +0.65 | 2.57 | 304 | 87 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.89 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .321 | 5.42 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 36 | +1.53 | 3.44 | 213 | 87 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.0 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.7M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.8 | $4M | -$0.3M |
| Totals | $13M | $40M | +$28M | ||