Sean Paul Liñan

Sean Paul Liñan P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.9 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION91 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%23.9%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%13.5%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5560

CTRL—45

CMD3555

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$10M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-1	$7M	+2.2	$13M	+$8M
2031	Arb-2	$12M	+2.3	$13M	+$5M
2032	Arb-3	$18M	+2.2	$11M	+$2M
Totals		$40M		$61M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	26	99	27	11	0	0%	1.7	18.5%	13.9%	4.7%	0.0%	2.08	3.29	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	15	0	26	99	27	11	0	0%	1.7	27.3%	11.1%	16.2%	0.0%	2.08	2.29	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	6	36	165	43	11	3	50%	3.0	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	2.5%	4.54	4.05	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	12	6	36	165	43	11	3	50%	3.0	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	2.5%	4.54	4.05	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	12	6	36	165	43	11	3	50%	3.0	26.1%	6.7%	19.4%	1.8%	4.54	2.71	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.4%	4.37	4.07	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	21.5%	11.4%	10.1%	2.4%	4.37	4.07	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	5	70	297	93	26	7	26%	3.7	31.3%	8.8%	22.6%	2.4%	4.37	2.86	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	25.0%	10.7%	14.4%	1.8%	3.03	3.33	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	25.0%	10.7%	14.4%	1.8%	3.03	3.33	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	15	77	321	106	33	5	79%	4.1	33.0%	10.3%	22.7%	1.6%	3.03	2.48	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	23	21	91	414	106	46	14	91%	4.0	20.2%	13.3%	7.0%	4.0%	5.81	5.28	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	23	21	91	414	106	46	14	91%	4.0	20.2%	13.3%	7.0%	4.0%	5.81	5.28	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A+ RAW	NYY	21	19	83	373	98	43	12	90%	4.0	26.3%	11.5%	14.7%	3.2%	5.62	4.11	—
2026	21	AA RAW	NYY	2	2	8	41	8	3	2	100%	4.0	19.5%	7.3%	12.2%	4.9%	7.88	5.06	—
ROS	21	MLB MLE	NYY	2	2	8	34	8	4	1	100%	4.1	23.9%	10.4%	13.5%	2.8%	4.32	4.32	+0.1
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	100	448	114	50	15	—	—	25.5%	11.1%	14.4%	3.3%	5.69	5.20	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	24	24	130	551	138	51	15	100%	5.4	25.0%	9.3%	15.8%	2.8%	4.15	4.05	+1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	31	31	169	715	184	61	19	100%	5.5	25.7%	8.6%	17.1%	2.7%	4.00	3.89	+2.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	31	31	175	739	193	60	20	100%	5.6	26.1%	8.2%	17.9%	2.7%	3.89	3.80	+2.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	30	30	177	748	198	59	20	100%	5.9	26.4%	8.0%	18.4%	2.7%	3.80	3.74	+2.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	30	30	177	748	199	59	20	100%	5.9	26.6%	7.9%	18.7%	2.7%	3.75	3.72	+2.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	29	29	174	737	196	59	20	100%	6.0	26.6%	8.0%	18.6%	2.8%	3.75	3.76	+2.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	28	28	169	715	189	58	20	100%	6.0	26.5%	8.1%	18.3%	2.9%	3.80	3.84	+2.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	27	27	162	683	179	57	20	100%	6.0	26.2%	8.4%	17.9%	3.0%	3.90	3.97	+1.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	25	25	152	642	166	56	21	100%	6.1	25.9%	8.7%	17.2%	3.2%	4.05	4.15	+1.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYY	24	24	142	598	153	54	20	100%	5.9	25.5%	9.0%	16.5%	3.4%	4.23	4.35	+0.9
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYY	22	22	131	554	139	52	20	100%	6.0	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	3.7%	4.44	4.58	+0.5
2038	33	MLB MLE	NYY	20	20	120	508	125	50	20	100%	6.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.7%	4.0%	4.67	4.83	+0.1
2039	34	MLB MLE	NYY	18	18	110	462	111	48	20	100%	6.1	24.0%	10.4%	13.6%	4.3%	4.93	5.10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	64	270	68	25	8	100%	5.3	25.0%	9.3%	15.8%	2.9%	4.25	4.15	+0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	22	22	124	524	135	45	15	100%	5.6	25.7%	8.6%	17.1%	2.9%	4.10	3.99	+1.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	145	612	160	50	18	100%	5.6	26.1%	8.2%	17.9%	2.9%	3.99	3.90	+1.9
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	27	27	157	663	175	53	19	100%	5.8	26.4%	8.0%	18.4%	2.9%	3.90	3.84	+2.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	27	27	162	684	182	54	20	100%	6.0	26.6%	7.9%	18.7%	2.9%	3.85	3.82	+2.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	27	27	162	684	182	55	20	100%	6.0	26.6%	8.0%	18.6%	2.9%	3.85	3.86	+2.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	158	667	177	54	20	100%	6.1	26.5%	8.1%	18.3%	3.0%	3.91	3.95	+2.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	26	26	154	650	171	54	21	100%	5.9	26.2%	8.4%	17.9%	3.2%	4.01	4.08	+1.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	24	24	144	608	157	53	21	100%	6.0	25.9%	8.7%	17.2%	3.4%	4.17	4.27	+1.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYY	22	22	135	570	145	51	21	100%	6.1	25.5%	9.0%	16.5%	3.7%	4.36	4.48	+0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYY	21	21	125	528	132	50	21	100%	6.0	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	3.9%	4.58	4.72	+0.5
2038	33	MLB CTX	NYY	19	19	114	481	118	48	20	100%	6.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.7%	4.2%	4.82	4.98	+0.1
2039	34	MLB CTX	NYY	16	16	99	418	100	43	19	100%	6.2	24.0%	10.4%	13.6%	4.5%	5.09	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		296	296	1743	7357	1901	635	242	100%	5.9	25.8%	8.6%	17.2%	3.3%	4.17	3.82	+22.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	218	73	28	100%	5.9	25.8%	8.6%	17.2%	3.3%	4.17	3.82	+2.6
Career	—	MLE		88	47	300	1296	276	151	34	53%	3.4	21.3%	11.6%	9.6%	2.6%	4.29	4.21	+19.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	31	200	863	184	100	23	53%	3.4	21.3%	11.6%	9.6%	2.6%	4.29	4.21	+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Paul Liñan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	23.9%	10.4%	2.8%	—	3.90	25.7%	17.1%	475	-0.42	—	—	—
Brandon Bailey R 2017 · 3.54 FIP	22	SP-	3.54	24.6%	9.9%	2.3%	.290	4.44	21.2%	9.6%	215	+0.90	3.54	306	92
Javi Rivera R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP-	3.78	22.3%	7.9%	2.9%	.259	3.72	18.6%	9.0%	93	-0.06	2.81	274	88
Logan Hofmann R 2021 · 4.57 FIP	21	SP-	4.57	22.1%	11.3%	3.5%	.239	6.80	9.7%	-12.0%	47	+2.23	4.57	129	87
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	86
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	86
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	85
J.C. Flowers R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SP-	3.59	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.86	16.2%	2.6%	184	+1.27	3.59	281	85
Tyler Guilfoil R 2023 · 3.18 FIP	23	SP-	3.18	26.0%	12.3%	1.3%	.305	5.52	17.8%	4.4%	190	+2.34	3.18	274	83
Nick Sinacola R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP-	4.44	19.3%	10.4%	3.0%	.335	4.05	18.2%	10.0%	254	-0.39	3.56	357	82
Jerming Rosario R 2023 · 4.18 FIP	21	SP-	4.18	22.1%	11.8%	2.6%	.351	4.39	20.8%	5.9%	246	+0.21	3.05	505	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	82
Brandon Young R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	22	SP	4.13	24.5%	12.3%	2.8%	.297	3.52	21.7%	14.1%	150	-0.61	3.08	476	82
Dualvert Gutierrez R 2021 · 3.22 FIP	20	SP-	3.22	23.5%	9.1%	1.7%	.352	4.29	15.9%	2.2%	78	+1.07	3.22	130	82
Adam Leverett R 2021 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP-	3.41	20.4%	10.0%	1.4%	.274	4.46	16.0%	6.9%	228	+1.05	3.41	401	81
Spencer Arrighetti R 2022 · 3.97 FIP	22	SP-	3.97	24.9%	13.2%	2.4%	.357	4.10	24.3%	13.3%	305	+0.13	3.92	538	81
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	81
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	81
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	80
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	80
Sam Benschoter R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SP-	3.71	26.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.344	4.98	18.5%	8.4%	306	+1.27	3.62	441	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.4	149	25.7%	8.7%	1.18	4.07
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36