Sean Paul Liñan
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.0 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117107vR 98
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%23.9%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 119 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 26 | 99 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.5% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 3.29 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 15 | 0 | 26 | 99 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.3% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.29 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 12 | 6 | 36 | 165 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.54 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 12 | 6 | 36 | 165 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 50% | 3.0 | 26.1% | 6.7% | 19.4% | 1.8% | 4.54 | 2.71 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 5 | 70 | 297 | 93 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 3.7 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 4.37 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 5 | 70 | 297 | 93 | 26 | 7 | 26% | 3.7 | 31.3% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 2.4% | 4.37 | 2.86 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 15 | 77 | 321 | 106 | 33 | 5 | 79% | 4.1 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 1.8% | 3.03 | 3.34 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 15 | 77 | 321 | 106 | 33 | 5 | 79% | 4.1 | 33.0% | 10.3% | 22.7% | 1.6% | 3.03 | 2.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 15 | 14 | 54 | 250 | 72 | 28 | 9 | 93% | 3.6 | 22.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 6.46 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 65 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 119 | 524 | 137 | 56 | 17 | — | — | 26.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 4.76 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 23 | 23 | 130 | 551 | 138 | 50 | 15 | 100% | 5.7 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 4.03 | +2.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 30 | 30 | 169 | 715 | 184 | 61 | 19 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 2.7% | 3.99 | 3.88 | +3.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 31 | 31 | 175 | 739 | 193 | 60 | 20 | 100% | 5.6 | 26.1% | 8.1% | 18.0% | 2.7% | 3.87 | 3.79 | +3.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 30 | 30 | 177 | 748 | 198 | 59 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.4% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 2.7% | 3.79 | 3.73 | +3.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 30 | 30 | 177 | 748 | 199 | 59 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.6% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 3.74 | 3.71 | +3.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 29 | 29 | 174 | 737 | 196 | 58 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 2.7% | 3.74 | 3.75 | +3.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 28 | 28 | 169 | 715 | 189 | 58 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.5% | 8.1% | 18.4% | 2.8% | 3.79 | 3.83 | +3.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 27 | 27 | 162 | 683 | 179 | 57 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.2% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 3.0% | 3.89 | 3.96 | +2.7 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 25 | 25 | 152 | 642 | 166 | 55 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.9% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.14 | +2.2 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 24 | 142 | 598 | 153 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.34 | +1.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 131 | 554 | 139 | 52 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 3.7% | 4.43 | 4.57 | +1.3 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 120 | 508 | 125 | 50 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 4.66 | 4.82 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 68 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.09 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 124 | 524 | 135 | 44 | 15 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 4.05 | 3.94 | +2.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 145 | 612 | 160 | 50 | 17 | 100% | 5.6 | 26.1% | 8.1% | 18.0% | 2.8% | 3.93 | 3.85 | +2.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 27 | 27 | 157 | 663 | 175 | 52 | 19 | 100% | 5.8 | 26.4% | 7.9% | 18.5% | 2.8% | 3.85 | 3.79 | +3.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 27 | 27 | 162 | 684 | 182 | 54 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.6% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 2.8% | 3.80 | 3.77 | +3.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 27 | 27 | 162 | 684 | 182 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 26.6% | 7.9% | 18.7% | 2.9% | 3.80 | 3.81 | +3.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 177 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.5% | 8.1% | 18.4% | 3.0% | 3.85 | 3.89 | +2.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 26 | 26 | 154 | 650 | 171 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.2% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 3.1% | 3.95 | 4.02 | +2.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 157 | 52 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.9% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 3.3% | 4.11 | 4.21 | +2.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 135 | 570 | 145 | 51 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 3.6% | 4.29 | 4.41 | +1.6 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 125 | 528 | 132 | 49 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 4.51 | 4.65 | +1.1 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 118 | 47 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 4.1% | 4.74 | 4.90 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 279 | 279 | 1644 | 6940 | 1801 | 586 | 217 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.0% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 3.70 | +32.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 219 | 71 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.0% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 3.1% | 4.05 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 80 | 40 | 263 | 1132 | 247 | 128 | 28 | 50% | 3.3 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 4.05 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 30 | 200 | 860 | 188 | 97 | 21 | 50% | 3.3 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 4.20 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Paul Liñan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 2.8% | — | 3.89 | 25.7% | 17.2% | 475 | -0.40 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Bailey R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.37 | 24.6% | 9.9% | 2.0% | .290 | 4.39 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 215 | +1.02 | 3.37 | 306 | 89 |
| Logan Hofmann R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.21 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .239 | 6.50 | 9.7% | -12.0% | 47 | +2.29 | 4.21 | 129 | 88 |
| Javi Rivera R 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .259 | 3.71 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.72 | 229 | 87 |
| Ian Bedell R 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.64 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .285 | 5.72 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 178 | +2.08 | 3.64 | 274 | 85 |
| Zach Peek R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.40 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 45 | -0.17 | 3.40 | 233 | 85 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 84 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 84 |
| Trey Gibson R 2027 · 3.24 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.24 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 1.1% | .310 | 4.01 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 191 | +0.77 | 3.24 | 283 | 83 |
| Tyler Guilfoil R 2028 · 3.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.14 | 26.0% | 12.3% | 1.2% | .305 | 5.54 | 17.8% | 4.4% | 190 | +2.40 | 3.14 | 274 | 82 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.82 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .298 | 4.56 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 243 | -0.26 | 4.30 | 318 | 82 |
| Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.23 | 22.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .351 | 4.57 | 20.8% | 4.4% | 224 | +0.34 | 3.05 | 483 | 82 |
| Blake Money R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.53 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | .281 | 3.72 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 121 | +0.19 | 3.53 | 224 | 82 |
| Lucas Elissalt R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.1% | 11.0% | 1.9% | .253 | 4.98 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 60 | +1.13 | 3.85 | 149 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 81 |
| Bryce Mayer R 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.30 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.80 | 27.2% | 12.2% | 52 | +1.50 | 3.30 | 140 | 81 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.77 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .290 | 4.70 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 138 | +0.93 | 3.77 | 258 | 81 |
| Jake Lyons R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 81 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 81 |
| Nick Sinacola R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .335 | 3.97 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 254 | -0.38 | 3.53 | 357 | 80 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 13 | 152 | 25.8% | 8.5% | 1.15 | 4.00 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Joe Musgrove ('24) | 9 | 117 | 23.9% | 6.0% | 1.13 | 3.73 |