Devereaux Harrison
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.7 · 2028
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.3%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%7.2%
IP108
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2028
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 9 | 0 | 11 | 53 | 12 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.97 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 26 | 16 | 95 | 386 | 88 | 38 | 14 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 2.95 | 4.96 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 26 | 26 | 132 | 568 | 111 | 55 | 18 | 15.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.89 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 34 | 14 | 98 | 429 | 100 | 58 | 8 | 19.0% | 14.8% | 2.5% | 3.95 | 4.73 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 5 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.30 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 108 | 455 | 88 | 55 | 13 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.95 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 118 | 495 | 97 | 58 | 14 | 19.5% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.53 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 21 | 115 | 485 | 97 | 56 | 14 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 21 | 118 | 498 | 100 | 56 | 14 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 21 | 118 | 499 | 101 | 56 | 15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 21 | 115 | 487 | 98 | 54 | 15 | 20.1% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.83 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 112 | 472 | 94 | 53 | 14 | 19.9% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.89 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 20 | 108 | 456 | 90 | 52 | 14 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.97 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 85 | 51 | 14 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 5.00 | 5.05 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 18 | 18 | 99 | 418 | 80 | 49 | 14 | 19.1% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 5.09 | 5.15 | +0.2 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 17 | 17 | 94 | 397 | 74 | 47 | 13 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 5.19 | 5.26 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 16 | 16 | 89 | 374 | 69 | 45 | 13 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 5.31 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | TOR | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 63 | 43 | 13 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 5.43 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 57 | 346 | 1476 | 260 | 177 | 44 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.01 | 4.78 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 33 | 200 | 854 | 150 | 102 | 25 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.01 | 4.78 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Devereaux Harrison (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.95 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.81 | 20.1% | 8.8% | 351 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.88 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .282 | 9.12 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.24 | 4.88 | 105 | 90 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.71 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.10 | 4.71 | 160 | 89 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.6% | .285 | 4.26 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -1.07 | 4.07 | 530 | 88 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.5% | .319 | 4.03 | 23.9% | 13.7% | 166 | -0.99 | 3.98 | 481 | 88 |
| Roman Angelo R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.4% | 13.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 6.22 | 20.6% | 10.6% | 12 | +0.84 | 4.02 | 262 | 88 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 195 | 88 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.8% | .336 | 5.70 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +1.40 | 4.30 | 144 | 87 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.93 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.6% | .286 | 5.22 | 16.8% | 4.4% | 61 | +0.29 | 4.24 | 367 | 87 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.90 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .284 | 3.50 | 22.7% | 14.3% | 84 | -1.40 | 3.50 | 368 | 87 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 4.93 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.16 | 4.10 | 218 | 86 |
| Trent Sellers R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.51 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 2.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 178 | 85 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.80 | 18.2% | 4.1% | 73 | -0.23 | 3.80 | 154 | 85 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .322 | 4.60 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 205 | -0.36 | 4.07 | 501 | 85 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 240 | 84 |
| Carlos Tavera R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.28 | 18.5% | 14.8% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.06 | 21.0% | 6.9% | 15 | -1.22 | 4.06 | 249 | 84 |
| Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.29 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.1% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 199 | 84 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.7% | .251 | 4.33 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.41 | 3.10 | 322 | 83 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .306 | 5.12 | 14.4% | 3.5% | 146 | +0.66 | 3.37 | 353 | 83 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .308 | 4.35 | 22.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.27 | 3.75 | 283 | 82 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 3.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 476 | 82 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | +0.5 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.9M |
| Totals | $4M | $14M | +$10M | ||