Joey Mancini
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
+0.1
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.7 · 2027
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%7.6%
IP110
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
STUF3030
CTRL5050
CMD3535
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 25 | 13 | 95 | 429 | 102 | 37 | 10 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.4% | 6.54 | 4.18 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 27 | 9 | 106 | 438 | 107 | 44 | 5 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 2.12 | 3.65 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 27 | 14 | 123 | 553 | 84 | 47 | 16 | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.74 | 5.08 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 4 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 10 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.52 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 20 | 110 | 464 | 69 | 50 | 14 | 14.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 5.20 | 5.20 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 118 | 499 | 79 | 57 | 14 | 15.7% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 5.09 | 4.86 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 21 | 113 | 478 | 74 | 50 | 14 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.11 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 21 | 21 | 114 | 479 | 76 | 50 | 14 | 16.0% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 5.07 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 20 | 111 | 468 | 76 | 48 | 14 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 5.08 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 20 | 20 | 108 | 454 | 73 | 47 | 14 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.12 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 69 | 46 | 14 | 15.8% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 5.19 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 18 | 18 | 100 | 421 | 65 | 44 | 14 | 15.6% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 5.23 | 5.28 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 17 | 17 | 95 | 402 | 61 | 43 | 13 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 5.32 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 57 | 42 | 13 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 5.42 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 15 | 85 | 359 | 52 | 40 | 13 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 5.53 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 14 | 14 | 80 | 336 | 54 | 36 | 12 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 5.49 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 37 | 332 | 1455 | 241 | 150 | 35 | 16.6% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 22 | 200 | 876 | 145 | 90 | 21 | 16.6% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Mancini (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 14.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.09 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 338 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 91 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 91 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.25 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -1.02 | 3.92 | 272 | 88 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.81 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.19 | 308 | 88 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 88 |
| Scarlyn Reyes R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.53 | 13.9% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .321 | 4.88 | 13.7% | 5.3% | 70 | +0.35 | 4.17 | 317 | 88 |
| Kyle Haynes R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 240 | 88 |
| Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 118 | 88 |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 87 |
| Sam Highfill R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 87 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 4.44 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 312 | -0.22 | 3.99 | 748 | 87 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.65 | 9.0% | -1.2% | 38 | +0.59 | 4.06 | 203 | 86 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.46 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 195 | 86 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.31 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .297 | 3.37 | 18.1% | 12.8% | 343 | -0.94 | 2.78 | 536 | 86 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .356 | 5.73 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.57 | 4.61 | 177 | 86 |
| Brannon Easterling R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.37 | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 334 | 85 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 85 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 106 | 85 |
| Gabriel Arias R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 195 | 85 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .344 | 4.99 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.37 | 4.37 | 412 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.